$
30.680
-0.16(-0.519%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings
Line
Line
|
Candle
Candle
1D
5D
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
High
31.320
Open
30.800
VWAP
--
Vol
4.91M
Mkt Cap
7.94B
Low
30.170
Amount
--
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
4.15
Total Shares
179.56M
EV
9.22B
EV/OCF(TTM)
8.22
P/S(TTM)
0.62
Alcoa Corporation is a vertically integrated aluminum company comprised of bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting and casting), and energy generation. The Company’s operations are comprised of two business segments: Alumina and Aluminum. The Alumina segment primarily consists of its bauxite mines and alumina refineries, which generally include the mining of bauxite and other aluminous ores, as well as the refining, production, and sale of smelter grade and non-metallurgical alumina. The alumina produced by this segment is sold to internal and external aluminum smelter customers; a portion of the alumina is sold to external customers who process it into industrial chemical products. The Aluminum segment consists of the Company’s aluminum smelting and casting operations along with the Company’s energy production assets in Brazil, Canada, and the United States. It has direct and indirect ownership of 26 operating locations across nine countries on six continents.
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
3.04B
+4.75%
0.431
-24.33%
3.10B
-11.12%
0.479
-53.98%
2.98B
-11.67%
0.614
-71.44%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Alcoa Corporation (AA) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.82% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 20.03%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.82%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-6.87%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+20.03%
In Past 3 Month
10 Analyst Rating
up Image
7.56% Upside
Wall Street analysts forecast AA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AA is 33.00 USD with a low forecast of 27.00 USD and a high forecast of 42.00  USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
up Image
7.56% Upside
Current: 30.680
sliders
Low
27.00
Averages
33.00
High
42.00
Morgan Stanley
Carlos De Alba
Overweight
downgrade
$40 -> $38
2025-07-18
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Carlos De Alba lowered the firm's price target on Alcoa to $38 from $40 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares after updating the firm's estimates to incorporate the latest company guidance and commentary following Q2 earnings.
JPMorgan
Neutral
downgrade
$28 -> $27
2025-07-17
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Alcoa to $27 from $28 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares following the Q2 report. The company reported a beat but faces a continued tariff overhang and San Ciprian headwinds, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA
Lawson Winder
Underperform
maintain
$26 -> $27
2025-07-17
Reason
BofA analyst Lawson Winder raised the firm's price target on Alcoa to $27 from $26 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. The firm raised its Q3 EBITDA forecast to $328M from $205M on higher mark-to-market alumina and aluminum pricing after Alcoa reported Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $313M, which was above BofA's forecast and the Bloomberg consensus figure.
B. Riley
Buy
downgrade
$38 -> $37
2025-07-15
Reason
B. Riley lowered the firm's price target on Alcoa to $37 from $38 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated estimates to reflect forward curve updates.
Morgan Stanley
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$40
2025-07-15
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Alcoa to $40 from $37.50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Alcoa announced that the restart process of the San Ciprian smelter in Spain will resume, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Citi
initiated
$42
2025-07-07
Reason
Citi resumed coverage of Alcoa with a Buy rating and $42 price target. The firm's Commodity Team is "very bullish" on the 6- to 18-month outlook for aluminum given key demand drivers - datacenters and AI, decarbonization, along with supply constraints around China cap, competition from power from AI and datacenters, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Alcoa Corp (AA.N) is 14.33, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -8.28. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Alcoa Corp 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PE
-8.28
Current PE
14.33
Overvalued PE
52.71
Undervalued PE
-69.27

Forward EV/EBITDA

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.30
Current EV/EBITDA
5.99
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
9.99
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
2.60

Forward PS

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PS
0.63
Current PS
0.68
Overvalued PS
0.84
Undervalued PS
0.42

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+3.85%
3.02B
Total Revenue
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-7.03%
119.00M
Operating Profit
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+387.10%
151.00M
Net Income after Tax
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+472.73%
0.63
EPS - Diluted
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+190.24%
357.00M
Free Cash Flow
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-2.35%
7.06
Gross Profit Margin - %
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-283.13%
4.56
FCF Margin - %
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+367.29%
5.00
Net Margin - %
FY2025Q2
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
1.0M
USD
1
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
Volume
0
3-6
Months
1.6M
Volume
2
6-9
Months
2.0M
Volume
5
0-12
Months
0.0
Volume
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
Volume
Months
3-6
5
3.1M
Volume
Months
6-9
4
3.3M
Volume
Months
0-12
0
0.0
Volume
Months
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
32.5K
USD
1
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
65.0K
USD
2
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months

AA News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-07-16 (ET)
2025-07-16
16:12:11
Alcoa backs FY25 Alumina segment production, shipments view
select
2025-07-16
16:11:48
Alcoa sees Q3 operational tax expense $50M-$60M
select
2025-07-16
16:11:01
Alcoa reports Q2 adjusted EPS 39c, consensus 51c
select
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News

9.5
07-24WSJ
Honeywell Raises Outlook After Strong Quarter as Conglomerate Moves Ahead With Separation Plans
8.0
07-18SeekingAlpha
Alcoa CEO says Canada growth projects on pause due to Trump's tariffs
6.0
07-18Benzinga
Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on Alcoa, Lowers Price Target to $38
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FAQ

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What is Alcoa Corp (AA) stock price today?

The current price of AA is 30.68 USD — it has decreased -0.52 % in the last trading day.

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