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  3. AA
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AA

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
High
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Open
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VWAP
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Vol
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Mkt Cap
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Low
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Total Shares
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EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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P/S(TTM)
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Financial AI Agent
Financial AI Agent

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
3.22B
-7.59%
0.844
-18.85%
3.25B
-3.51%
0.801
-62.73%
3.29B
+9.01%
0.828
+112.29%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Alcoa Corporation (AA) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.78% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 40.65%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.78%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.17%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+40.65%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast AA stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AA is 39.13 USD with a low forecast of 28.00 USD and a high forecast of 45.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AA stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AA is 39.13 USD with a low forecast of 28.00 USD and a high forecast of 45.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 44.010
sliders
Low
28.00
Averages
39.13
High
45.00
Current: 44.010
sliders
Low
28.00
Averages
39.13
High
45.00
BofA
Lawson Winder
Underperform
maintain
$28 -> $33
2025-11-24
Reason
BofA
Lawson Winder
Price Target
$28 -> $33
2025-11-24
maintain
Underperform
Reason
BofA analyst Lawson Winder raised the firm's price target on Alcoa to $33 from $28 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. The firm is refreshing its price forecasts for North American Metals & Mining stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. The firm sees the macro backdrop as challenging due to China's slowing commodity demand but notes this may be offset by a rebound in demand in U.S. and Europe.
Argus
Buy
maintain
$35 -> $45
2025-10-30
Reason
Argus
Price Target
$35 -> $45
2025-10-30
maintain
Buy
Reason
Argus raised the firm's price target on Alcoa to $45 from $35 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says that despite near-term tariff challenges, the company has made strategic investments that will benefit margins and enhance production capabilities when demand recovers. The recent pullback amid tariff uncertainty and regulatory pressure offers a buying opportunity, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Morgan Stanley
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
2025-10-24
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
2025-10-24
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Alcoa to $43.50 from $42.50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm, which expects the company will share plans for creating value across the aluminum supply chain from bauxite to aluminum during its investor day, also sees scope for Alcoa to announce higher capital returns to shareholders, the analyst tells investors in a preview of the event.
BMO Capital
Katja Jancic
Market Perform
maintain
$35 -> $37
2025-10-23
Reason
BMO Capital
Katja Jancic
Price Target
$35 -> $37
2025-10-23
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital analyst Katja Jancic raised the firm's price target on Alcoa to $37 from $35 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The company delivered slightly better-than-expected Q3 results, while the current aluminum/MWP spot prices could offer incremental upside, if sustained, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA
BofA
Underperform
maintain
$27 -> $28
2025-10-23
Reason
BofA
BofA
Price Target
$27 -> $28
2025-10-23
maintain
Underperform
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on Alcoa to $28 from $27 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares after the company reported Q3 adjusted EBITDA of $270M, above BofA and consensus estimates. The firm adds that recently announced foray into the future production of gallium, in partnership with the U.S. and Australian governments, is "a small but interesting development." The firm marks-to-market commodity prices higher and raises Q4 EBITDA estimates, which drives its price target increase, but it reiterates an Underperform rating given the ongoing tariffs on Canadian shipments, rampup issues at San Ciprian, and poor bauxite quality in Alumina.
HSBC
Buy
upgrade
$33 -> $41
2025-10-17
Reason
HSBC
Price Target
$33 -> $41
2025-10-17
upgrade
Buy
Reason
HSBC raised the firm's price target on Alcoa to $41 from $33 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says precious metal prices are hitting "record decades-high levels," with copper outperforming base and bulk metals on supply disruptions. HSBC expects Freeport to benefit from the strength in copper and gold prices.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Alcoa Corp (AA.N) is 12.99, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -7.14. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Alcoa Corp 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PE
-7.14
Current PE
12.99
Overvalued PE
54.08
Undervalued PE
-68.36

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.45
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
10.06
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
2.84

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
0.66
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
0.84
Undervalued PS
0.48
AI Stock Picker
AI Stock Picker

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress areSelling! The selling amount has increased306.25%over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Intellectia AI SwingMax
Intellectia AI SwingMax

AA News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-10
06:01:22
China lifts export restrictions on gallium and germanium, according to NY Times.
select
link
2025-10-26 (ET)
2025-10-26
15:08:45
Trump overturns Biden administration regulation on copper smelter emissions, according to Reuters.
select
link
2025-10-22 (ET)
2025-10-22
16:11:29
Alcoa Supports Production and Shipment Forecast for Alumina Segment in FY25
select
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events

News

[object Object]
Preview
4.5
12-04Benzinga
Small Cap Stocks Surge as Natural Gas Prices Reach Three-Year Highs: Market Movers for Wednesday

  • Market Performance: Small-cap stocks surged over 1% as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut increased following disappointing private employment data, while large-cap indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 saw minimal gains.

  • Employment Data Impact: The ADP report indicated a loss of 32,000 jobs in November, contrary to expectations, suggesting a cooling labor market and contributing to the anticipation of a rate cut.

  • Sector Highlights: Energy stocks outperformed with rising oil and natural gas prices, while Microchip Technology saw a significant stock increase after raising its earnings outlook, contrasting with Netflix's decline due to regulatory scrutiny.

  • Cryptocurrency Movement: Bitcoin rose 1.3% to $92,500, aiming for a second consecutive gain after a recent selloff, reflecting ongoing volatility in the crypto market.

[object Object]
Preview
6.5
12-01NASDAQ.COM
Analysts Forecast 11% Growth for AOA in the Future

  • ETF Analysis: The iShares Core 80/20 Aggressive Allocation ETF (AOA) has an implied analyst target price of $99.35 per unit, indicating a potential upside of 10.70% from its recent trading price of $89.75.

  • Alcoa Corporation Insights: Alcoa Corporation (AA) shows significant upside potential, with analysts projecting a target price of $231.28 per share, which is 454.09% higher than its recent price of $41.74.

  • Analyst Target Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' high target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that further investor research is needed to assess the validity of these targets.

  • Market Sentiment: A high target price relative to a stock's current trading price may indicate optimism but could also lead to potential downgrades if the targets are based on outdated information.

[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-27NASDAQ.COM
Significant Options Activity on Wednesday: CRK, AA, UNH

  • Alcoa Corporation Options Activity: Alcoa Corporation (AA) has seen a significant options volume of 57,161 contracts today, equating to about 5.7 million underlying shares, which is 97.3% of its average daily trading volume over the past month.

  • High Volume Put Option: The $37.50 strike put option for Alcoa, expiring on December 5, 2025, has particularly high activity with 18,719 contracts traded, representing approximately 1.9 million underlying shares.

  • UnitedHealth Group Options Activity: UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH) has recorded an options volume of 79,689 contracts today, representing around 8.0 million underlying shares, or 88.9% of its average daily trading volume over the past month.

  • High Volume Call Option: The $330 strike call option for UnitedHealth, expiring on November 28, 2025, has seen notable trading with 4,588 contracts exchanged, corresponding to about 458,800 underlying shares.

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People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is Alcoa Corp (AA) stock price today?

The current price of AA is 44.01 USD — it has decreased -0.2 % in the last trading day.

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What is Alcoa Corp (AA)'s business?

Alcoa Corporation is a vertically integrated aluminum company comprised of bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting and casting), and energy generation. The Company’s operations are comprised of two business segments: Alumina and Aluminum. The Alumina segment primarily consists of its bauxite mines and alumina refineries, which generally include the mining of bauxite and other aluminous ores, as well as the refining, production, and sale of smelter grade and non-metallurgical alumina. The alumina produced by this segment is sold to internal and external aluminum smelter customers; a portion of the alumina is sold to external customers who process it into industrial chemical products. The Aluminum segment consists of the Company’s aluminum smelting and casting operations along with the Company’s energy production assets in Brazil, Canada, and the United States. It has direct and indirect ownership of 26 operating locations across nine countries on six continents.

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What is the price predicton of AA Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast AA stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AA is 39.13 USD with a low forecast of 28.00 USD and a high forecast of 45.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Alcoa Corp (AA)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Alcoa Corp revenue for the last quarter amounts to 3.00B USD, increased 3.13 % YoY.

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What is Alcoa Corp (AA)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Alcoa Corp. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.89 USD, increased 134.21 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Alcoa Corp (AA)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Alcoa Corporation (AA) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.78% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 40.65%.
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How many employees does Alcoa Corp (AA). have?

Alcoa Corp (AA) has 13900 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Alcoa Corp (AA) market cap?

Today AA has the market capitalization of 11.40B USD.

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