Based on the provided data, I'll analyze if PSN is overvalued through multiple perspectives.
Valuation Analysis: PSN's Q3 2024 P/E ratio of 19.74x and EV/EBITDA of 146.96x indicate significantly elevated valuation levels compared to historical averages.
Recent Performance: The stock experienced a significant decline of -10.04% on January 23, 2025, following concerns about contract renewals.
Contract Risk: William Blair downgraded PSN to Market Perform due to elevated risk associated with the classified humanitarian U.S. State Department contract renewal in Q1 2025, which could represent approximately 10% of total revenue.
Growth Metrics: Q3 2024 shows revenue growth to $1.81B with improving net margins of 4.73%, though gross margins declined to 19.9% from 21.15% in Q1 2024.
Recent Acquisition: PSN acquired TRS Group for $36M on February 4, 2025, enhancing its environmental remediation capabilities, though this appears insufficient to offset the contract renewal concerns.
Based on elevated valuation metrics, significant contract renewal risks, and declining margins, PSN appears overvalued at current levels.