Apple Defies Expectations with Strong iPhone Sales in China
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AAPL?
Source: CNBC
- Strong Performance in China: In the first nine weeks of 2026, Apple saw a 23% surge in iPhone sales in China, contrasting sharply with a 4% year-over-year decline in the overall smartphone market, demonstrating Apple's resilience and strong market share amidst fierce competition.
- Financial Results Exceed Expectations: During the holiday quarter, Apple's revenue in Greater China jumped 38% to $25.53 billion, surpassing estimates by approximately $4.7 billion, indicating robust consumer enthusiasm for the iPhone 17 lineup and a strong demand for upgrades.
- Cost Management Advantage: By securing long-term memory supply contracts, Apple effectively managed costs and avoided price hikes due to the global memory shortage, further solidifying its competitive position in the market.
- AI Partnership Enhances Competitiveness: Apple's multi-year partnership with Google to leverage Gemini AI technology for Siri enhances its product intelligence, and while the annual fee of around $1 billion is significant, it provides crucial support for Apple's efforts to catch up in the AI space.
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Analyst Views on AAPL
Wall Street analysts forecast AAPL stock price to rise
27 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 270.230
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
Current: 270.230
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
About AAPL
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. Its product categories include iPhone, Mac, iPad, and Wearables, Home and Accessories. Its software platforms include iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, visionOS, and tvOS. Its services include advertising, AppleCare, cloud services, digital content and payment services. The Company operates various platforms, including the App Store, that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games and podcasts. It also offers digital content through subscription-based services, including Apple Arcade, Apple Fitness+, Apple Music, Apple News+, and Apple TV+. Its products include iPhone 16 Pro, iPhone 16, iPhone 15, iPhone 14, iPhone SE, MacBook Air, MacBook Pro, iMac, Mac mini, Mac Studio, Mac Pro, iPad Pro, iPad Air, AirPods, AirPods Pro, AirPods Max, Apple TV, Apple Vision Pro and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Major Siri Overhaul: The WWDC 2026 invitations suggest a significant redesign of Siri, expected to feature a chatbot-style interface across iOS 27, iPadOS 27, and macOS 27, enhancing user interaction.
- Enhanced Multi-Tasking: The new Siri version is anticipated to better handle multiple commands, support external AI agents, and effectively utilize personal data and on-screen content to answer queries, increasing the assistant's utility.
- Performance Improvement Focus: Apple plans to emphasize performance enhancements in the next software cycle, including bug fixes, faster operations, and improved battery life, particularly optimizing for enterprise users, schools, and developing markets.
- Hardware Release Delays: Due to industry-wide memory shortages, the launch of new Mac Studio models is expected to be delayed until October, while the redesigned touchscreen MacBook Pro with M6 chips may also be postponed to late 2026 or early 2027.
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- Market Share Growth: Apple's share gains across multiple markets are expected to drive revenue growth of approximately 15% in Q2, setting a solid foundation for the upcoming WWDC and new iPhone launch, thereby boosting market confidence.
- Cash Flow Advantage: Apple's robust free cash flow distinguishes it from competitors, especially as many are heavily investing in artificial intelligence, positioning Apple well for future product innovations and market leadership.
- Price Target Increase: Morgan Stanley has set a price target of $315 for Apple, suggesting that with positive EPS revisions and modest multiple expansion, the stock could reach $300 by September, reflecting strong market confidence in its future performance.
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- Management Changes: Following Combs' departure at the end of 2025, Abel is unlikely to replace him, with Ted Weschler continuing to manage about 6% of the portfolio, indicating a preference for maintaining the existing management structure.
- Core Holdings Strategy: In his annual letter, Abel emphasized a focus on core holdings such as Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, and Moody's, which are expected to compound value over decades, reflecting a long-term investment strategy.
- Amazon Stake Reduction: Berkshire nearly eliminated 80% of its stake in Amazon in Q4 2025, with market speculation linking this decision to Combs' investment style, raising further questions about the company's investment direction.
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- Airline Industry Hit by Fuel Costs: KLM has canceled over 150 European flights due to soaring jet fuel costs, indicating financial strain on the airline industry, which could negatively affect related companies like Boeing.
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- Tesla Rating Adjustment: Jefferies raised Tesla's price target from $300 to $350, anticipating Q1 results will show a widening gap between vision and execution, and concerns about funding may arise without a convincing robotaxi announcement, potentially leading to merger considerations with SpaceX.
- Apple's Positive Outlook: Morgan Stanley reiterated Apple as overweight, expecting a modest 1-2% upside in revenue and EPS in the upcoming earnings report, despite supply constraints, indicating the company's resilience in the market.
- Amazon Price Target Increase: Bank of America raised Amazon's price target from $275 to $298, believing that with strong assets and customer focus, Amazon is well-positioned to capitalize on the global growth of eCommerce and enterprise demand for AI capabilities, showcasing robust growth potential.
- Microsoft's Favorable Outlook: Deutsche Bank reiterated Microsoft as a buy, expecting Azure's performance and guidance to be focal points in the upcoming earnings report, indicating that the company's broad progress in AI initiatives will drive future growth.
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