Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis of SWKS stock:

Major Recent Event Impact Skyworks Solutions experienced a significant decline of 24.1% following its Q1 FY2025 earnings report and the announcement that Apple, its largest customer, will reduce content in iPhone 17. The company disclosed that its content position in the new iPhone will decrease by 20-25%, which represents a substantial revenue impact given that Apple accounts for 69% of Skyworks' FY2024 revenue.

Financial Performance

• Q1 FY2025 Results:
  • Revenue: $1.068 billion (beat estimates of $1.066 billion)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.60 (beat estimates of $1.57)
  • Operating cash flow: $377 million (35% margin)
  • Free cash flow: $338 million (32% margin)

Forward Guidance Concerns Q2 FY2025 guidance came in below analyst expectations:

• Revenue guidance: $935-965 million (below $949.04 million estimate)
• Adjusted EPS guidance: $1.20 (below $1.22 estimate)

Analyst Sentiment Shift Following the earnings report, there has been a significant shift in analyst sentiment:

• Current consensus: Hold
• Total ratings: 19 analysts
• Distribution: 1 Strong Buy, 1 Somewhat Bullish, 12 Neutral, 3 Somewhat Bearish, 2 Bearish
• Average price target: $79.95 (21.06% decrease from previous target)

Technical Analysis Current RSI (14) is at 15.99, indicating severely oversold conditions. The stock is trading below both its 20-day SMA ($86.56) and 60-day SMA ($87.41), suggesting strong bearish momentum.

Sell Recommendation Given the following factors:

1. Significant revenue risk from Apple's content reduction
2. Below-consensus guidance
3. Widespread analyst downgrades
4. Negative technical indicators
5. Lack of clear near-term catalysts

The stock appears poised for further weakness in the near term. While the oversold conditions might lead to a technical bounce, the fundamental challenges suggest avoiding the stock at current levels.

Based on the comprehensive data analysis and recent market events, here is the price prediction for SWKS stock in 2025:

Current Market Situation: SWKS is currently trading at $64.64, having experienced a significant decline of 25.99% last week. The stock has been heavily impacted by two major negative catalysts:

1. Apple Content Reduction: SWKS announced a 20-25% content reduction in the upcoming iPhone 17, which will result in an estimated $600+ million annual revenue loss.

2. Weak Q2 Guidance: The company provided lower-than-expected guidance for Q2 FY2025, with projected EPS of $1.20 versus analyst estimates of $1.22.

Price Target Analysis: Multiple analysts have significantly lowered their price targets:

• Mizuho: Reduced from $105 to $62
• Stifel: Reduced from $105 to $62
• B. Riley Securities: Reduced from $110 to $65

The current consensus price target stands at $86.78, though this may continue to adjust downward as more analysts update their models.

2025 Price Prediction: Based on the severe iPhone content loss impact and analyst downgrades, SWKS stock is expected to trade in the range of $60-75 through 2025, with a base case target of $65 due to continued pressure from Apple's dual-sourcing strategy and increased competition in the RF solutions market.

The S1 support level for SWKS Stock is $67.03 ,The R1 resistant level for SWKS Stock is $89.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-11, the price of SWKS Stock was $64.4.

The target price for SWKS Stock according to analyst rating is 73.76, with the highest price target at 118.00 and the lowest at 55.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on SWKS Stock overall.

The market cap of SWKS is $10.4B.

Based on the provided data and recent market events, SWKS appears significantly overvalued at current levels. The company recently announced a major setback with Apple reducing its content reliance by 20-25% for iPhone 17, which triggered a 23% stock price plunge and multiple analyst downgrades. The current PE ratio of 27.67 is at the highest level in recent quarters despite deteriorating fundamentals. Multiple analysts including Mizuho, B. Riley Securities, and Stifel have downgraded SWKS and significantly lowered their price targets to $62-65 range, suggesting further downside risk. The company's heavy reliance on Apple (69% of revenue) and loss of exclusive socket position represents a structural challenge that could impact growth prospects well into FY2026.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc. is engaged in designing, manufacturing, and marketing semiconductor products, including intellectual property. The Company’s analog semiconductors are connecting people, places, and things, across new applications within the aerospace, automotive, broadband, cellular infrastructure, connected home, entertainment, and gaming, industrial, medical, military, smartphone, tablet, and wearable markets. It operates engineering, manufacturing, sales, and service facilities throughout Asia, Europe, and North America. The Company offers a range of products, such as Amplifiers, Antenna Tuners, Attenuators, Automotive Tuners and Digital Radios, Circulators/Isolators, Wireless ASoC, Demodulators, Detectors, Digital Power Isolators, Diodes, Directional Couplers, Diversity Receive Modules, Filters, Front-end Modules, Hybrid, Low-Noise Amplifiers, Modulators, Optocouplers/Optoisolators, Phase Locked Loops, Phase Shifters, Power Dividers/Combiners, Receivers, and Switches.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze SWKS's potential price for 2030:

Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) is projected to reach $95-105 by 2030, primarily driven by its strategic pivot towards broad markets growth and potential recovery in Apple business after the iPhone 17 content loss. The company's transformation from heavy Apple dependency (currently 69% of revenue) to a more diversified portfolio focusing on IoT, automotive, and industrial applications should help stabilize long-term growth. Despite near-term headwinds from losing 20-25% iPhone content in 2025, Skyworks' development of next-generation solutions for iPhone 18 and beyond positions it for potential growth recovery by 2027-2030.

SWKS has a total of 9750 employees.