Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the latest data and news, I'll provide a comprehensive analysis of whether to buy or sell DPZ stock.

Recent Performance and Price Action

• DPZ stock is currently trading at $458.92, down 4.62% in pre-market trading after reporting Q4 earnings
• The stock has fallen about 20% from its 52-week high
• Key support level at $450.80 and resistance at $466.01 based on accumulated volume analysis

Q4 2024 Earnings Analysis

• Revenue grew 2.9% YoY to $1.44B, missing estimates of $1.48B
• EPS of $4.89 vs consensus of $4.92
• US same-store sales grew only 0.4%, below expectations of 1.5%
• International same-store sales increased 2.7% excluding currency impact

Growth & Expansion

• Added 364 net new stores globally in Q4
• Strong digital presence with over 85% of US sales being digital
• Management expects 3% same-store sales growth in 2025
• Plans to reach 7,700+ US stores by 2028, up from current 6,930

Positive Catalysts

• Board approved 15% dividend increase to $1.74 per share
• Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway increased stake by 86% in Q4 2024
• Strong value proposition in inflationary environment
• Effective "Hungry for MORE" strategy driving order count growth

Risks

• Slowing US sales growth amid consumer spending concerns
• Rising competition in delivery space
• Store closures in some international markets

Conclusion: SELL

Despite Berkshire's increased stake and strong long-term fundamentals, DPZ's current valuation appears stretched given slowing growth and near-term headwinds. The disappointing Q4 earnings and weak US same-store sales suggest consumer spending pressures are impacting performance. With the stock trading at 24.6x forward earnings and showing technical weakness, investors should consider taking profits at current levels.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's the price prediction for DPZ stock in 2025:

Current Market Analysis: DPZ is currently trading at $457.80, showing significant volatility with today's trading range of $432.01-$460.02 [Relevant Data]. The stock has experienced a -4.62% decline in pre-market trading and -0.99% during regular market hours.

2025 Price Target Analysis: Based on multiple factors, DPZ stock is expected to reach $495-500 by end of 2025. This projection is supported by:

1. Oppenheimer's recent price target of $495 and Morgan Stanley's target of $496, indicating strong institutional confidence in the company's growth trajectory.

2. The company's strategic "Hungry for MORE" initiative and consistent store expansion, with a net increase of 364 stores in Q4 2024 and plans for over 7,700 US stores by 2028.

3. Strong digital sales performance with over 85% of US sales being digital, positioning the company well for future growth.

The price target considers:

• Continued international expansion across 90+ markets
• Strong profit margins at 18%+
• 15% dividend increase to $1.74 per share
• Berkshire Hathaway's recent investment showing institutional confidence

The S1 support level for DPZ Stock is $442.26 ,The R1 resistant level for DPZ Stock is $485.7.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-28, the price of DPZ Stock was $489.5.

The target price for DPZ Stock according to analyst rating is 485.00, with the highest price target at 559.00 and the lowest at 402.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on DPZ Stock overall.

The market cap of DPZ is $16.5B.

Based on the latest earnings report and market data, here's a concise analysis of DPZ's valuation:

Recent Performance DPZ is currently trading at $457.94, down 4.62% in pre-market and -0.96% in regular market trading. The significant drop follows disappointing Q4 earnings where US same-store sales grew only 0.4% versus expected 1.5%.

Valuation Metrics

• Current P/E (2023): 28.11x
• EV/EBITDA (2023): 21.29x
• Price/Sales (2023): 3.26x
• These multiples show moderate improvement from 2022 but remain elevated compared to historical averages

Growth & Profitability

• Revenue growth slowed to 2.9% YoY ($1.44B vs expected $1.48B)
• Net margin improved to 11.59% in 2023 from 9.97% in 2022
• EPS of $4.89 missed consensus of $4.92

Technical Analysis

• RSI(14) at 53.07 indicates neutral momentum
• Trading above both 60-day (446.85) and 200-day (450.91) moving averages
• Bollinger Band analysis suggests moderate volatility with price near the upper band

Based on slowing growth metrics, compressed margins due to inflation, and rich valuation multiples compared to peers, DPZ appears moderately overvalued at current levels. The recent earnings miss and declining same-store sales growth suggest potential near-term pressure on the stock price.

Domino’s Pizza, Inc. is a pizza company with a significant business in both delivery and carryout pizza. The Company operates through three segments: U.S. stores, international franchise, and supply chain. The U.S. stores segment is comprised primarily of its franchise operations, which consists of franchised stores located in the United States. The segment also operates a network of United States Company-owned stores. The international franchise segment primarily includes operations related to the Company’s franchising business in foreign markets. The supply chain segment primarily includes the distribution of food, equipment and supplies to stores from the Company’s supply chain center operations in the United States and Canada. Its Pinpoint Delivery, a technology that allows customers to receive a delivery nearly anywhere, including places like parks, baseball fields and beaches. It is a public restaurant brand with a global enterprise of more than 20,500 stores in over 90 markets.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, I'll analyze DPZ's price prediction for 2030 in 3 concise sentences:

Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is projected to reach $650-700 by 2030, driven by its robust expansion plans to have over 8,500 stores in the U.S. market and continued international growth across 90+ markets. The company's consistent profit margins around 40%, strong brand recognition, and strategic focus on digital innovation (with over 85% of U.S. sales being digital) provide a solid foundation for sustained growth. While near-term headwinds exist as shown by recent quarterly performance, the company's franchise-based model (99% of locations) and steady dividend growth (18% CAGR over past five years) suggest strong potential for long-term value appreciation.

DPZ has a total of 11200 employees.