Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data, I'll analyze whether to buy or sell CASY stock.

Casey's General Stores (CASY) shows strong fundamentals with impressive earnings growth of 22% compound annual growth rate over three years. The company has demonstrated solid revenue growth of 2.6% to $15 billion, maintaining stable EBIT margins.

Management & Insider Confidence

• Insiders hold significant stake worth $87 million, indicating strong alignment with shareholder interests
• CEO compensation at $11 million is below industry median of $13 million for similar-sized companies, suggesting prudent management

Recent Price Action

• Current price: $432.17
• Regular market change: +1.25%
• Trading near Fibonacci resistance level of $435.18
• RSI(14) at 65.00 indicates approaching but not yet overbought territory

Analyst Consensus Recent analyst ratings show mixed but generally positive sentiment:

• BMO Capital: Hold rating with $450 price target (Dec 2024)
• Evercore ISI: Buy rating with $470 target (Dec 2024)
• RBC Capital: Hold rating with $428 target (Dec 2024)

Sell Signals:

• Trading near resistance levels
• Valuation appears full at current levels
• Some analysts suggesting limited upside from current prices

Buy Signals:

• Strong earnings growth trajectory
• Solid insider ownership
• Well-managed business with controlled executive compensation
• Stable margins despite competitive environment

Based on the technical and fundamental analysis, CASY appears fairly valued at current levels. Investors should consider selling partial positions or taking profits, while maintaining core holdings for long-term growth potential.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a comprehensive analysis for CASY's price prediction in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing strong upward momentum, currently trading at $432.17. The stock has formed a solid support level around $420 and has been consistently making higher lows, indicating bullish sentiment.

Fundamental Growth Drivers

According to recent analysis, Casey's General Stores has demonstrated impressive performance with:

• 22% annual EPS growth over three years
• Revenue growth of 2.6% to $15 billion
• Strong EBIT margins maintenance

Price Target Analysis

Based on the technical indicators and Fibonacci levels:

• Current price: $432.17
• Next resistance level: $441.70 (Fibonacci R2)
• Strong support: $414.08 (Fibonacci S1)

Considering the company's strong fundamentals, consistent earnings growth, and reasonable insider investment with management alignment, CASY stock is expected to reach $465-475 by end of 2025, representing approximately 8-10% upside from current levels.

The S1 support level for CASY Stock is $414.08 ,The R1 resistant level for CASY Stock is $435.18.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-11, the price of CASY Stock was $427.

The target price for CASY Stock according to analyst rating is 430.43, with the highest price target at 485.00 and the lowest at 338.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on CASY Stock overall.

The market cap of CASY is $15.8B.

Based on the provided data and context, here is my analysis of whether CASY is overvalued:

Valuation Analysis: CASY's current P/E ratio of 27.45x is notably higher than its historical average, suggesting premium pricing compared to its earnings power.

Growth & Profitability: The company demonstrates solid fundamentals with improving gross margins from 19.6% to 21.84% over recent quarters and net margin expansion from 2.42% to 4.58%.

Market Position: Casey's has shown strong execution with 22% annual EPS growth over three years and maintains healthy revenue growth of 2.6%, indicating effective business operations despite its mature industry.

Competitive Advantage: The company's strategic focus on smaller markets with populations under 5,000 provides competitive insulation and steady cash flows.

Risk Assessment: While trading at premium multiples, CASY's defensive business model, improving margins, and strategic market positioning suggest the premium valuation may be justified.

Casey's General Stores, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the names Casey's and Caseys General Store in 16 states, primarily in Iowa, Illinois, and Missouri. Its convenience stores carry a range of food items, including freshly prepared foods such as regular and breakfast pizza, donuts, hot breakfast items, and hot and cold sandwiches, beverages, tobacco and nicotine products, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other non-food items. In addition, all but four offer fuel for sale on a self-service basis. Its GoodStop brand offers fuel for sale on a self-serve basis, and a range of selection of snacks, beverages, tobacco products, and other essentials. It also operates two stores selling primarily tobacco and nicotine products, one liquor-only store, and one grocery store. The Company operates approximately 2,521 stores. The Company operates three distribution centers. It has a fleet of approximately 397 tractors used for distribution.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's the price prediction for Casey's General Stores (CASY) stock by 2030:

Casey's General Stores (CASY) stock is projected to reach approximately $750-800 by 2030, driven by its consistent earnings growth of 22% annually over recent years and strong expansion in convenience store operations. The company's robust financial health, demonstrated by steady revenue growth and efficient management (CEO compensation below industry median), supports this bullish outlook. The strategic partnerships with emerging technology companies like SoundHound AI for voice AI solutions position CASY well for future digital transformation and market competitiveness.

CASY has a total of 20292 employees.