Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze RGA's price prediction for 2025:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently showing bearish signals with RSI at 27.18 (oversold territory) and MACD trending downward (-7.15) with a negative histogram (-2.77). The stock is trading below both its 20-day (214.10) and 60-day (216.74) moving averages, indicating a short-term downtrend.
Price Levels and Support/Resistance
Key Fibonacci levels for RGA:
- Resistance R3: $239.02
- Resistance R2: $225.73
- Resistance R1: $217.52
- Pivot: $204.23
- Support S1: $190.94
- Support S2: $182.73
- Support S3: $169.44
Fundamental Factors
- The company maintains a healthy dividend yield of 1.54%
- Recent analyst ratings show a generally positive outlook with 4 out of 5 analysts giving "Somewhat Bullish" ratings
- Average analyst price target is $245.60, with a range of $232-$255
2025 Price Prediction
Based on technical and fundamental analysis, here are the three scenarios for RGA stock price in 2025:
Base Case ($235-245): 60% probability
- Supported by analyst consensus price targets
- Assumes continued stable business performance
- Represents ~20% upside from current levels
Bull Case ($255-265): 25% probability
- Driven by strong execution and potential market share gains
- Aligned with most optimistic analyst targets
- Would require significant improvement in technical indicators
Bear Case ($190-200): 15% probability
- If market conditions deteriorate significantly
- Technical weakness persists
- Support levels break down
The most likely scenario is the base case, supported by:
- Strong analyst consensus
- Current oversold conditions suggesting potential rebound
- Stable fundamental metrics