Amazon's Resilience in Uncertain Markets
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: Fool
- Volatility in AI Stocks: While AI stocks have been major winners for investors in recent years, recent uncertainties, including turmoil in Iran and the U.S. economic backdrop, have negatively impacted their performance on the S&P 500, indicating a waning appetite for growth stocks.
- Amazon's Market Leadership: As a leader in e-commerce and cloud computing, Amazon established a solid, earnings-generating business well before the AI boom, demonstrating remarkable resilience, particularly rebounding quickly after the last U.S. recession in 2020, which underscores the value of its long-term investments.
- Cloud Services Driving Growth: Amazon's AWS not only meets AI demands but also sees soaring demand for non-AI services, ensuring that even if the AI narrative faces challenges, AWS is well-positioned to maintain revenue growth, further solidifying the company's market position.
- Confidence in Return on Invested Capital: Amazon CEO Andy Jassy emphasized confidence in return on invested capital (ROIC) during the latest earnings call, stating that the company's deep experience in understanding demand signals will continue to drive strong returns, indicating Amazon's long-term hold value in uncertain markets.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
41 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 221.250
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
Current: 221.250
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Volatility in AI Stocks: While AI stocks have been major winners for investors in recent years, recent uncertainties, including turmoil in Iran and the U.S. economic backdrop, have negatively impacted their performance on the S&P 500, indicating a waning appetite for growth stocks.
- Amazon's Market Leadership: As a leader in e-commerce and cloud computing, Amazon established a solid, earnings-generating business well before the AI boom, demonstrating remarkable resilience, particularly rebounding quickly after the last U.S. recession in 2020, which underscores the value of its long-term investments.
- Cloud Services Driving Growth: Amazon's AWS not only meets AI demands but also sees soaring demand for non-AI services, ensuring that even if the AI narrative faces challenges, AWS is well-positioned to maintain revenue growth, further solidifying the company's market position.
- Confidence in Return on Invested Capital: Amazon CEO Andy Jassy emphasized confidence in return on invested capital (ROIC) during the latest earnings call, stating that the company's deep experience in understanding demand signals will continue to drive strong returns, indicating Amazon's long-term hold value in uncertain markets.
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- Massive Investment: Amazon plans to invest approximately $200 billion in AI and cloud infrastructure in 2026, laying the groundwork for future revenue growth expected to be monetized in 2027-2028.
- Strong Customer Commitments: CEO Andy Jassy noted that Amazon has secured significant commitments from various customers, including a $100 billion agreement with OpenAI, indicating robust market demand for AI services.
- Rapid Revenue Growth: In Q1 2026, Amazon's AI revenue run rate surpassed $15 billion, growing at a rate 260 times faster than AWS did at a comparable early stage, highlighting the company's rapid expansion potential in AI.
- Power Capacity Expansion: Amazon added 3.9 gigawatts of power capacity in 2025 and aims to double this by the end of 2027 to support the increasing demand for AI and cloud computing, further solidifying its market position.
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- Partnership Expansion: Google has deepened its long-standing partnership with Intel by committing to use multiple generations of Xeon 6 processors for its AI data centers, which is expected to significantly enhance the efficiency of AI training and inference, thereby bolstering Google's competitive edge in the AI sector.
- Technological Advantage: The agreement leverages Intel's advanced 18A manufacturing process to address the 'CPU bottleneck' in complex workloads, marking Google's ongoing investment in AI infrastructure that could drive an increase in its market share.
- Domestic Manufacturing Strategy: Intel's Arizona facility has begun producing Xeon 6, securing a high-volume internal customer while courting external giants like Tesla for custom silicon projects, further solidifying its domestic manufacturing capabilities.
- Market Reaction: As the collaboration between Google and Intel deepens, Intel's stock price rose by 2.83%, reflecting market optimism regarding its future growth potential, which may attract more investors to its technological innovations and market strategies.
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- Partnership Expansion: Google has committed to using multiple generations of Intel's Xeon 6 processors in its AI data centers, further solidifying a partnership that dates back nearly three decades, which is expected to enhance Google's computational capabilities in AI.
- Market Competition: The Intel Xeon 6 processors will support AI training and inference workloads, potentially giving Intel a stronger competitive position in the AI market dominated by Nvidia, addressing the growing demands for performance and efficiency.
- Technological Innovation: Google and Intel are also collaborating on the Infrastructure Processing Unit (IPU), designed to offload tasks from the main CPU, optimizing networking, storage, and security functions in data centers, thereby improving overall computational efficiency.
- Future Outlook: Despite facing challenges in keeping pace with technology trends, Intel's latest Xeon processors, manufactured using its advanced 18A technology at a new Arizona facility, demonstrate its ongoing investment and potential in high-end chip manufacturing.
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- Capital Expenditure Plans: Amazon expects to spend approximately $200 billion on capital expenditures in 2024, with the majority allocated to AI infrastructure, representing a nearly 60% increase from last year, highlighting the company's ambitious vision in the AI sector.
- AI Revenue Growth: The annual run rate for AI revenue in Amazon's cloud computing segment has reached $15 billion, indicating strong market demand in this area, despite investor concerns regarding short-term returns on investment.
- Custom Chip Business: Amazon's custom chip business, which includes Graviton processors and Trainium AI chips, has surpassed an annual revenue run rate of $20 billion and is experiencing triple-digit percentage growth year-over-year, showcasing robust market performance.
- Long-Term Growth Strategy: Jassy emphasized that Amazon is willing to endure short-term free cash flow pressures to achieve substantial medium to long-term cash flow surpluses, reflecting the company's confidence in future growth engines.
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- Capital Expenditure Plans: Amazon expects to spend approximately $200 billion on capital expenditures this year, with the majority allocated to AI infrastructure development, including data centers, chips, and networking equipment, representing nearly a 60% increase from last year.
- Pursuit of Leadership: CEO Andy Jassy emphasized in his annual shareholder letter that the company will not take a conservative approach to AI investments, aiming to become a meaningful leader in the industry, which will significantly enhance future business growth and free cash flow.
- Market Reaction: Despite Amazon's ambitious AI investment plans, its stock has slid more than 4% year-to-date, indicating investor unease regarding the timeline for returns on these expenditures, reflecting market skepticism about the company's strategy.
- Competitive Advantage: Jassy pointed out that Amazon's investments will enable it to surpass its tech peers, and while facing short-term stock price pressures, these investments are expected to yield greater operating income and market share in the long run.
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