Norfolk Southern Corp's stock fell as it hit a 20-day low amid broader market declines, with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.52% and the S&P 500 down 1.36%.
The recent rejection of the merger application with Union Pacific by the Surface Transportation Board, supported by Canadian National Railway, has raised concerns about the future of the merger. The rejection was based on a lack of necessary information and transparency, which could hinder the anticipated benefits of the merger, including enhanced competition and reduced shipping costs.
This development may lead to increased scrutiny of Norfolk Southern's strategic plans and could impact investor confidence, especially as the railroad sector faces challenges in achieving operational efficiencies.
Wall Street analysts forecast NSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NSC is 316.56 USD with a low forecast of 297.00 USD and a high forecast of 340.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NSC is 316.56 USD with a low forecast of 297.00 USD and a high forecast of 340.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 290.160
Low
297.00
Averages
316.56
High
340.00
Current: 290.160
Low
297.00
Averages
316.56
High
340.00
Barclays
Brandon Oglenski
Overweight
downgrade
$340 -> $320
2026-01-30
New
Reason
Barclays
Brandon Oglenski
Price Target
$340 -> $320
AI Analysis
2026-01-30
New
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Barclays analyst Brandon Oglenski lowered the firm's price target on Norfolk Southern to $320 from $340 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The company's Q4 Results were weaker than expected "but not shocking" as management had highlighted a soft volume environment, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm continues to see long-term value in Norfolk Southern's combination with Union Pacific.
Citi
Neutral
downgrade
$317 -> $300
2026-01-30
New
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$317 -> $300
2026-01-30
New
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Norfolk Southern to $300 from $317 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
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Susquehanna
Susquehanna
Buy
maintain
2026-01-19
Reason
Susquehanna
Susquehanna
Price Target
2026-01-19
maintain
Buy
Reason
Susquehanna expects Union Pacific (UNP) to trade down modestly on Tuesday after the Surface Transportation Board rejected the company's Norfolk Southern (NSC) merger application. The rejection is "without prejudice" and the STB invites the companies to re-submit the application in whole to address the deficiencies, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Susquehanna continues to believe the transaction will ultimately be approved. It keeps a Buy rating on Union Pacific.
Citi
Neutral
maintain
$307 -> $317
2026-01-07
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$307 -> $317
2026-01-07
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Norfolk Southern to $317 from $307 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and targets in the transports group as part of its 2026 outlook. Citi sees a better setup in 2026 for the sector due to tighter capacity, which it believes should support higher rates.
About NSC
Norfolk Southern Corporation is a holding company engaged in the rail transportation business. The Company is engaged in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the Southeast, East, and Midwest and, via interchange with rail carriers, to and from the rest of the United States. It also transports overseas freight through several Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports. It offers an intermodal network in the eastern half of the United States. Its railroad operations system reaches various manufacturing plants, electric generating facilities, mines, distribution centers and transload facilities. It serves various industries such as agriculture, forest and consumer products, automotive, chemicals, and metals and construction. Its coal franchise supports the electric generation market, directly serving over 18 coal-fired power plants, as well as the export, domestic metallurgical, and industrial markets, through direct rail and river, lake, and coastal.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.