Advance Auto Parts sees increased options trading amid market interest
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) has experienced a price increase of 4.84%, reaching a 20-day high. This surge in stock price comes as the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) is up 0.55% and the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.25%, indicating a positive market environment.
The significant options trading volume of 8,920 contracts today, which represents approximately 892,000 shares, reflects heightened market interest in AAP. Notably, the $55 strike call option has traded 2,756 contracts, suggesting that investors are optimistic about AAP's future price movements. This activity may be influencing the stock's performance positively.
The increase in options trading could signal investor confidence in AAP's growth potential, especially as the automotive sector shows signs of improvement. This trend may attract further attention from investors looking for opportunities in the market.
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- Financial Improvement: Advance Auto Parts reported fourth-quarter sales of $1.97 billion, a slight decline from the previous year, yet comparable-store sales increased by 1.1%, marking the third consecutive quarter of improvement, with 2026 sales guidance set between $8.485 billion and $8.575 billion, reflecting a growth of 1% to 2%.
- Rising Car Prices Benefit Parts Sales: The average new car price in the U.S. reached $50,326, pushing used car prices up to $26,043, which encourages consumers to retain their vehicles longer, leading to increased repair needs and consequently boosting auto parts sales.
- Competitive Pricing Advantage: Advance Auto Parts maintains a lower forward P/E and P/S ratio compared to most competitors, indicating that its stock remains undervalued, allowing investors to be patient during the company's recovery while enjoying a reliable dividend yield of approximately 1.7%, consistently paid since 2006.
- Strategic Store Closures: The company closed over 500 corporate stores and 200 independent locations in 2025, saving around $70 million in annual operating costs, and plans to open 40 to 45 new stores in 2026, with 10 to 15 being high-margin hub locations.
Earnings Season Overview: More than 74% of S&P 500 companies reporting so far have exceeded analysts' EPS estimates, while 73% have surpassed revenue expectations, indicating a generally positive earnings season despite flat aggregate growth rates.
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Rivian's Challenges: Rivian Automotive (RIVN) faced a 25% decline in year-over-year revenue growth due to the expiration of EV tax credits, although sales figures still exceeded expectations, and the company narrowed its losses.
Market Recommendations: Analysts have identified five stocks that they recommend buying now, suggesting these companies are well-positioned for future growth despite broader market trends.
- Earnings Beat: Advance Auto Parts reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.86 for Q4, significantly surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $0.42, indicating strong operational performance and boosting investor confidence.
- Sales Growth: The company achieved quarterly sales of $1.973 billion, exceeding the Street's expectation of $1.952 billion, demonstrating robust sales momentum in the competitive auto parts market.
- Future Guidance: Advance Auto expects fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share to range from $2.40 to $3.10, which, while below the analysts' estimate of $2.66, still reflects confidence in its future profitability.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Following the earnings announcement, several analysts adjusted their price targets for Advance Auto Parts, with BMO raising its target from $55 to $60 and RBC increasing its target from $57 to $63, indicating a positive outlook on the company's prospects.
- Margins Stabilizing: Advance Auto Parts is seeing stabilization in its margins, even though visibility on achieving a 7% operating margin remains limited, indicating some progress in improving financial health.
- Market Response: Despite challenges, the market response to Advance Auto Parts has been relatively positive, with investors cautiously optimistic about its future profitability, which may influence stock performance.
- Operational Efficiency Improvements: The company is implementing measures to enhance operational efficiency to address market competition and cost pressures, thereby laying the groundwork for achieving higher margins.
- Strategic Adjustments: Advance Auto Parts may need to make strategic adjustments to adapt to the changing market environment, ensuring it can meet higher profitability targets in the future.
- Sales Recovery: Advance Auto Parts reported a 1.1% increase in comparable sales for Q4 after three years of declines, indicating initial success in its sales strategy transformation, with expectations for 2026 comparable sales growth accelerating to the 1% to 2% range, reflecting a gradual recovery in market demand.
- Operating Margin Improvement: The adjusted operating income margin expanded by over 200 basis points from near breakeven levels, reaching 2.5% at the end of 2025, with plans to further increase it to a range of 3.8% to 4.5% in 2026, significantly enhancing the company's profitability and investment appeal.
- Strategic Restructuring Measures: The company plans to close over 500 underperforming stores and add 100,000 new SKUs to enhance product variety and availability, which is expected to optimize operational efficiency and improve customer experience, thereby driving future sales growth.
- Cash Flow Outlook: Despite a negative free cash flow of $298 million in 2025, the company anticipates a return to approximately $100 million in 2026, reflecting efforts in cost optimization and operational efficiency, which bolsters investor confidence in future financial health.
- Market Performance: U.S. stocks traded lower this morning, with the Dow Jones index falling approximately 0.1% to 49,387.55, indicating a cautious market sentiment regarding economic outlook.
- Sector Dynamics: Utility stocks gained 1.5%, while communication services stocks fell by 0.6%, reflecting a divergence in market performance across sectors that could influence investors' asset allocation strategies.
- Earnings Highlights: Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, with earnings per share of $0.86 surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.42, and sales reaching $1.973 billion, demonstrating the company's strong performance in a competitive market.
- Economic Data: The annual inflation rate eased to 2.4% in January, the lowest level since May, down from 2.7% in the previous month, which may impact the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.










