Iran Conflict Drives Spotlight on Energy Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 days ago
0mins
Source: Fool
- ExxonMobil's Advantageous Assets: ExxonMobil (XOM) benefits from low-cost, high-return assets in Guyana and the Permian Basin, with projections indicating that by 2030, these assets will account for 65% of its upstream production, thereby enhancing cash flow and market competitiveness amid oil prices exceeding $100.
- Rising Demand for SLB Technology: SLB (SLB), an energy technology provider, generated $13.3 billion from its Production Systems business last year; despite the Iranian conflict potentially causing a $0.06 to $0.09 decline in EPS, elevated oil prices are expected to boost demand for its technology, driving future performance recovery.
- Stable Growth of Enterprise Products Partners: Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) operates over 50,000 miles of pipelines and 300 million barrels of liquid storage, with 82% of its gross operating margin derived from fee-based contracts, ensuring stability amid oil and gas price fluctuations, while export volumes are projected to reach record highs.
- Market Investment Opportunities: As investors seek exposure to energy stocks, the introduction of fractional shares allows participation in top energy stocks with a minimum investment of $100, reflecting market confidence and expectations for future growth in the energy sector.
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Analyst Views on XOM
Wall Street analysts forecast XOM stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 170.990
Low
114.00
Averages
132.17
High
158.00
Current: 170.990
Low
114.00
Averages
132.17
High
158.00
About XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation is an energy provider and chemical manufacturer. The Company’s principal business involves exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas; the manufacture, trade, transport and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals and a wide variety of specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and other new business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima systems, carbon materials, and lithium. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments manufacture and sell petroleum products and petrochemicals. Energy Products segment includes fuels, aromatics, and catalysts and licensing. Chemical Products segment consists of olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. Specialty Products segment includes finished lubricants, basestocks and waxes, synthetics, and elastomers and resins.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- LNG Production Commencement: The Golden Pass joint venture between Exxon Mobil and QatarEnergy has started production at its Texas facility, marking a significant milestone for one of the largest U.S. export projects, with the first cargo expected in Q2.
- Capacity Expansion: The initial production unit will add 6 million metric tons per year of LNG capacity, and once fully operational, the facility will produce 18 million metric tons annually, significantly enhancing U.S. supply capabilities in the global energy market.
- Strategic Importance: Following damage to Qatar's Ras Laffan facility due to Iranian strikes, this facility is poised to become a critical source of supply, further solidifying the U.S. position in the global energy supply chain.
- Investment Context: The Golden Pass project, with a total investment of $10 billion, sees QatarEnergy holding a 70% stake and Exxon Mobil a 30% stake; despite facing delays and cost overruns since its 2019 inception, the project's launch underscores its strategic significance.
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- ExxonMobil's Integration Advantage: Through vertical integration, ExxonMobil controls the entire supply chain from oil extraction to refining and distribution, ensuring that incremental revenue flows directly to the bottom line during oil price spikes, avoiding profit margin squeezes often faced by traditional exploration companies.
- Chevron's Low-Cost Position: Supported by its low-cost position in the Permian Basin and Guyana assets, Chevron maintains robust profits by leveraging specialized refineries to process its own oil, reducing reliance on expensive raw materials and curtailing volatility in commodity prices.
- Shareholder Value Creation: Both ExxonMobil and Chevron demonstrate the ability to create consistent shareholder value through dividends and buybacks, backed by strong operating cash flow, highlighting their competitive moats and strategic significance in navigating the challenges of the energy market.
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- Market Recovery Signal: Despite the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite experiencing their worst week of 2026, stock futures rose after Trump indicated “great progress” in negotiations with Iran, reflecting investor optimism about market recovery.
- TSA Employee Pay Restoration: Trump signed an executive order ensuring Transportation Security Administration employees will receive pay after Congress failed to reach a deal to end the government shutdown, alleviating traveler frustrations caused by long security wait times.
- AI Drug Development Partnership: Eli Lilly struck a $2.75 billion deal with Insilico Medicine to bring AI-developed drugs to market, enhancing Lilly's market confidence and potentially accelerating the application of AI in the pharmaceutical industry.
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- Oil Price Surge Impact: As the Iran War continues, tanker routes through the Strait of Hormuz have become critical choke points, pushing WTI crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, benefiting companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron, whose stock prices rose by 3.36% and 1.70%, respectively.
- ExxonMobil's Integration Advantage: ExxonMobil's vertical integration allows it to control the entire supply chain from extraction to refining and distribution, ensuring that when oil prices rise, profits flow directly to the bottom line, avoiding the profit squeezes often faced by traditional exploration companies.
- Chevron's Growth Potential: Chevron's low-cost position in the Permian Basin and its Guyana assets enable it to maintain robust profits in a capital-intensive energy market, while specialized refineries help mitigate commodity price volatility, unlike competitors reliant on expensive raw materials.
- Resilience in Uncertainty: Both ExxonMobil and Chevron's business models provide them with competitive advantages in unpredictable oil markets, as they leverage stable downstream operations and strong cash flows to consistently support stock buybacks and dividend growth, demonstrating resilience amid geopolitical tensions.
See More
Five Stocks Supporting the S&P 500
- Strong Energy Performance: Following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran, oil and gas prices surged, with ExxonMobil and Chevron both rising approximately 40% year-to-date, highlighting the critical role of the energy sector in supporting the S&P 500 amid market volatility.
- Consumer Staples Resilience: Walmart and Costco, as consumer staples giants, have seen their stock prices increase over 10% year-to-date, demonstrating their ability to attract consumers under inflationary pressures, which underscores their resilience and market appeal in uncertain economic conditions.
- Micron Technology's Surprising Gains: Despite a recent pullback, Micron Technology's shares remain significantly up year-to-date, driven by high demand for its high-bandwidth memory and NAND flash memory crucial for AI infrastructure, indicating the potential of tech stocks in the current market landscape.
- Importance of Market Diversification: While these five stocks have provided some support to the S&P 500, the index still faces potential correction risks, emphasizing the importance of portfolio diversification to navigate future market fluctuations.
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- Strong Energy Performance: Following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran that caused oil and gas prices to soar, ExxonMobil and Chevron have seen their stock prices rise approximately 40% year-to-date, making the energy sector the only S&P 500 sector to deliver double-digit gains, significantly supporting the index's performance.
- Consumer Staples Resilience: Amid rising inflation pressures, Walmart and Costco have both seen stock price increases of over 10% year-to-date, indicating that consumers still turn to these low-price retailers when tightening their budgets, thereby enhancing their positions within the S&P 500.
- Micron Technology's Unexpected Performance: Despite a recent pullback, Micron Technology's stock remains significantly up year-to-date, primarily due to its high-bandwidth memory and NAND flash memory being critical for AI infrastructure, making it the highest-weighted tech stock outside the
See More
Golden Pass LNG Project Begins Production
- LNG Production Commencement: The Golden Pass joint venture between Exxon Mobil and QatarEnergy has started production at its Texas facility, marking a significant milestone for one of the largest U.S. export projects, with the first cargo expected in Q2.
- Capacity Expansion: The initial production unit will add 6 million metric tons per year of LNG capacity, and once fully operational, the facility will produce 18 million metric tons annually, significantly enhancing U.S. supply capabilities in the global energy market.
- Strategic Importance: Following damage to Qatar's Ras Laffan facility due to Iranian strikes, this facility is poised to become a critical source of supply, further solidifying the U.S. position in the global energy supply chain.
- Investment Context: The Golden Pass project, with a total investment of $10 billion, sees QatarEnergy holding a 70% stake and Exxon Mobil a 30% stake; despite facing delays and cost overruns since its 2019 inception, the project's launch underscores its strategic significance.
See More
Oil Prices Surge, ExxonMobil and Chevron Poised to Benefit
- Surging Oil Prices: Blocked trade routes in the Strait of Hormuz have pushed WTI crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, creating unprecedented market opportunities for oil companies, particularly ExxonMobil and Chevron, which are uniquely positioned to capitalize on this turbulence.
- ExxonMobil's Integration Advantage: Through vertical integration, ExxonMobil controls the entire supply chain from oil extraction to refining and distribution, ensuring that incremental revenue flows directly to the bottom line during oil price spikes, avoiding profit margin squeezes often faced by traditional exploration companies.
- Chevron's Low-Cost Position: Supported by its low-cost position in the Permian Basin and Guyana assets, Chevron maintains robust profits by leveraging specialized refineries to process its own oil, reducing reliance on expensive raw materials and curtailing volatility in commodity prices.
- Shareholder Value Creation: Both ExxonMobil and Chevron demonstrate the ability to create consistent shareholder value through dividends and buybacks, backed by strong operating cash flow, highlighting their competitive moats and strategic significance in navigating the challenges of the energy market.
See More
Stock Futures Rise Amid Oil Price Surge and Market Recovery
- Oil Price Surge: Crude oil prices skyrocketed by 55% in March following Trump's threat to seize Iranian oil, marking the largest monthly gain ever, which pressures the U.S. economy and forces companies to adjust pricing strategies to cope with rising costs.
- Market Recovery Signal: Despite the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite experiencing their worst week of 2026, stock futures rose after Trump indicated “great progress” in negotiations with Iran, reflecting investor optimism about market recovery.
- TSA Employee Pay Restoration: Trump signed an executive order ensuring Transportation Security Administration employees will receive pay after Congress failed to reach a deal to end the government shutdown, alleviating traveler frustrations caused by long security wait times.
- AI Drug Development Partnership: Eli Lilly struck a $2.75 billion deal with Insilico Medicine to bring AI-developed drugs to market, enhancing Lilly's market confidence and potentially accelerating the application of AI in the pharmaceutical industry.
See More
ExxonMobil and Chevron's Energy Advantages Amidst Geopolitical Tensions
- Oil Price Surge Impact: As the Iran War continues, tanker routes through the Strait of Hormuz have become critical choke points, pushing WTI crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, benefiting companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron, whose stock prices rose by 3.36% and 1.70%, respectively.
- ExxonMobil's Integration Advantage: ExxonMobil's vertical integration allows it to control the entire supply chain from extraction to refining and distribution, ensuring that when oil prices rise, profits flow directly to the bottom line, avoiding the profit squeezes often faced by traditional exploration companies.
- Chevron's Growth Potential: Chevron's low-cost position in the Permian Basin and its Guyana assets enable it to maintain robust profits in a capital-intensive energy market, while specialized refineries help mitigate commodity price volatility, unlike competitors reliant on expensive raw materials.
- Resilience in Uncertainty: Both ExxonMobil and Chevron's business models provide them with competitive advantages in unpredictable oil markets, as they leverage stable downstream operations and strong cash flows to consistently support stock buybacks and dividend growth, demonstrating resilience amid geopolitical tensions.
See More
Five Stocks Supporting the S&P 500
- Strong Energy Performance: Following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran, oil and gas prices surged, with ExxonMobil and Chevron both rising approximately 40% year-to-date, highlighting the critical role of the energy sector in supporting the S&P 500 amid market volatility.
- Consumer Staples Resilience: Walmart and Costco, as consumer staples giants, have seen their stock prices increase over 10% year-to-date, demonstrating their ability to attract consumers under inflationary pressures, which underscores their resilience and market appeal in uncertain economic conditions.
- Micron Technology's Surprising Gains: Despite a recent pullback, Micron Technology's shares remain significantly up year-to-date, driven by high demand for its high-bandwidth memory and NAND flash memory crucial for AI infrastructure, indicating the potential of tech stocks in the current market landscape.
- Importance of Market Diversification: While these five stocks have provided some support to the S&P 500, the index still faces potential correction risks, emphasizing the importance of portfolio diversification to navigate future market fluctuations.
See More
S&P 500 Avoids Correction Despite Market Pressures
- Strong Energy Performance: Following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran that caused oil and gas prices to soar, ExxonMobil and Chevron have seen their stock prices rise approximately 40% year-to-date, making the energy sector the only S&P 500 sector to deliver double-digit gains, significantly supporting the index's performance.
- Consumer Staples Resilience: Amid rising inflation pressures, Walmart and Costco have both seen stock price increases of over 10% year-to-date, indicating that consumers still turn to these low-price retailers when tightening their budgets, thereby enhancing their positions within the S&P 500.
- Micron Technology's Unexpected Performance: Despite a recent pullback, Micron Technology's stock remains significantly up year-to-date, primarily due to its high-bandwidth memory and NAND flash memory being critical for AI infrastructure, making it the highest-weighted tech stock outside the
See More
