Analysts Forecast 11% Growth Potential for SUSA
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 18 2025
0mins
Should l Buy COST?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Performance Analysis: The iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF (SUSA) has an implied analyst target price of $144.73, indicating a potential upside of 10.77% from its current trading price of $130.66.
Notable Holdings with Upside: Key underlying holdings in SUSA include Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH), Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO), and Costco Wholesale Corp (COST), each showing significant upside potential based on analyst target prices.
Analyst Target Comparisons: MOH's average target is $195.36 (16.64% upside), CSCO's is $75.06 (13.38% upside), and COST's is $1092.44 (12.39% upside) compared to their recent trading prices.
Investor Considerations: Questions arise regarding the validity of analysts' targets and whether they reflect realistic expectations or are overly optimistic, necessitating further research by investors.
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Analyst Views on COST
Wall Street analysts forecast COST stock price to rise
24 Analyst Rating
19 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 997.840
Low
769.00
Averages
1061
High
1205
Current: 997.840
Low
769.00
Averages
1061
High
1205
About COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation (Costco) operates membership warehouses and e-commerce sites that offer a selection of nationally branded and private-label products in a wide range of categories. The Company buys the majority of its merchandise directly from suppliers and route it to cross-docking consolidation points (depots) or directly to its warehouses. It operates 891 warehouses, including 614 in the United States and Puerto Rico, 108 in Canada, 40 in Mexico, 35 in Japan, 29 in the United Kingdom, 19 in Korea, 15 in Australia, 14 in Taiwan, seven in China, five in Spain, two in France, and one each in Iceland, New Zealand and Sweden. It also operates e-commerce sites in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Korea, Taiwan, Japan and Australia. The Company provides wide selection of merchandise, plus the convenience of specialty departments and exclusive member services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Refund System Launch: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) launched the CAPE refund processing system on Monday, expected to handle up to $166 billion in refund applications, although payments are not anticipated until 60 to 90 days post-application acceptance.
- Legal Action Dynamics: Major companies like Costco and FedEx have sued the U.S. government to secure timely tariff refunds, while Walmart and Amazon have refrained from litigation, possibly to avoid negative attention from Trump.
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- Costco Sales Growth: In March, Costco reported an 11.3% year-over-year sales increase, with comparable sales rising 9.4%, demonstrating the company's strong resilience and customer loyalty in the retail market, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Valuation Challenges: With a P/E ratio of 52, Costco's stock price remains high despite slowing growth, reflecting the market's strong recognition of its stability and reliability, which may limit short-term investment opportunities.
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- Oil Price Buffer: While high oil prices increase shipping costs, Costco's gasoline sales attract more customers during price spikes, boosting profits in its fuel division and driving additional traffic to its stores.
- Sales Growth in Staples: Costco's comparable sales, adjusted for gas prices, increased by 6.4% in the first 31 weeks of the fiscal year, outperforming nearly all other retailers, demonstrating its strong performance and competitive edge during economic turmoil.
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- Membership Model Advantage: Costco's membership model reduces the importance of retail sales, with membership fees contributing most of its profits, maintaining a retention rate of around 90%, which allows it to attract customers frequently even during economic turmoil.
- Oil Price Impact Mitigation: Although high oil prices can increase shipping costs, Costco benefits from selling gasoline, which not only generates additional profits but also attracts more customers during price spikes, further driving store traffic and sales growth.
- Strong Sales Performance: Costco's comparable sales (adjusted) increased by 6.4% in the first 31 weeks of the fiscal year, outperforming nearly all other retailers, and despite a price-to-earnings ratio of 52—nearly double that of the S&P 500—it demonstrates significant growth potential amid economic uncertainty.
See More
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- Tariff Refund Policy: Trump stated he will 'remember' companies that do not seek refunds, implying these firms might receive government support in the future, thereby influencing corporate refund decisions and their relationship with the government.
- Refund System Launch: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) launched the CAPE refund processing system on Monday, expected to handle up to $166 billion in refund applications, although payments are not anticipated until 60 to 90 days post-application acceptance.
- Legal Action Dynamics: Major companies like Costco and FedEx have sued the U.S. government to secure timely tariff refunds, while Walmart and Amazon have refrained from litigation, possibly to avoid negative attention from Trump.
- Future Tariff Plans: Trump mentioned that the alternative tariffs being developed could yield higher revenue but will be more complex to implement, with these new tariffs not expected to take effect until July, potentially impacting corporate financial planning.
See More
Three Retail Giants Gain Market Share
- Costco's Profit Growth: Costco's net margin has reached 3%, with membership fees contributing over half of its profits despite only accounting for 2% of revenue, showcasing its resilience and potential for sustained growth amid economic uncertainty.
- Dutch Bros.' Rapid Expansion: Dutch Bros. reported a 29% revenue increase in its latest quarter, alongside a 7.7% rise in comparable-store sales, demonstrating its strong appeal among young consumers and significant market potential yet to be tapped.
- Five Below's Strong Performance: Five Below's net sales surged 24% in the latest quarter, matching Dutch Bros.' growth momentum, indicating that under new CEO Winnie Park, the company is regaining market attention and is poised for continued growth in the coming years.
- Intensifying Market Competition: While these three companies operate in distinct niches, they are all gaining market share in their respective fields, reflecting a rising consumer demand for diverse retail experiences, which may lead to increased competition in the future.
See More
S&P 500 Hits New Highs Amidst High Valuations
- High Valuations in S&P 500: The S&P 500's cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio has reached a 10-year high, indicating high valuations in the market, making it increasingly difficult to find bargain stocks despite the overall market rebound.
- Costco's Market Performance: Costco's P/E ratio stands at 52, reflecting its strong demand and reliability in the retail sector, with March sales increasing by 11.3% year-over-year, showcasing robust market demand despite a challenging comparison period.
- Palantir's Rapid Growth: Palantir's revenue surged 70% year-over-year in Q4 2025, driven by a remarkable 137% growth in U.S. commercial contracts, completing 180 deals worth over $1 million, highlighting its strong performance and appeal in the AI sector.
- Investment Opportunities: Although Costco and Palantir are currently highly valued, they remain on investors' buy lists should their stock prices drop significantly, particularly after earnings reports or during market fluctuations, potentially offering better entry points.
See More
Analysis of Market Performance for Costco and Palantir
- Costco Sales Growth: In March, Costco reported an 11.3% year-over-year sales increase, with comparable sales rising 9.4%, demonstrating the company's strong resilience and customer loyalty in the retail market, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Valuation Challenges: With a P/E ratio of 52, Costco's stock price remains high despite slowing growth, reflecting the market's strong recognition of its stability and reliability, which may limit short-term investment opportunities.
- Palantir Contract Value Milestone: Palantir achieved a record total contract value of $4.3 billion in Q4 2025, with a 70% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by a remarkable 137% growth in U.S. commercial contracts, highlighting strong demand in the AI sector.
- AI-Driven Growth Potential: Palantir's operating margin stands at 57% and free cash flow margin at 56%, indicating unique advantages in AI technology application, and despite a high P/E ratio of 231, it continues to attract investor interest.
See More
Costco Remains Resilient Amid Middle East Conflict
- Membership Model Advantage: Costco's membership model reduces the importance of retail sales, with most profits coming from membership fees, maintaining a customer retention rate of around 90%, which ensures stable foot traffic amid economic uncertainty.
- Oil Price Buffer: While high oil prices increase shipping costs, Costco's gasoline sales attract more customers during price spikes, boosting profits in its fuel division and driving additional traffic to its stores.
- Sales Growth in Staples: Costco's comparable sales, adjusted for gas prices, increased by 6.4% in the first 31 weeks of the fiscal year, outperforming nearly all other retailers, demonstrating its strong performance and competitive edge during economic turmoil.
- High Valuation Reflects Market Confidence: With a price-to-earnings ratio of 52, nearly double that of the S&P 500, Costco, although not typically viewed as a growth stock, continues to deliver strong results, maintaining high demand among investors.
See More
Costco Demonstrates Resilience Amid Market Turmoil
- Market Volatility Response: With Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz, market volatility has intensified, yet Costco (NASDAQ: COST) has shown remarkable resilience, with only a 4% drop in March compared to the S&P 500's maximum decline, highlighting its stability in uncertain environments.
- Membership Model Advantage: Costco's membership model reduces the importance of retail sales, with membership fees contributing most of its profits, maintaining a retention rate of around 90%, which allows it to attract customers frequently even during economic turmoil.
- Oil Price Impact Mitigation: Although high oil prices can increase shipping costs, Costco benefits from selling gasoline, which not only generates additional profits but also attracts more customers during price spikes, further driving store traffic and sales growth.
- Strong Sales Performance: Costco's comparable sales (adjusted) increased by 6.4% in the first 31 weeks of the fiscal year, outperforming nearly all other retailers, and despite a price-to-earnings ratio of 52—nearly double that of the S&P 500—it demonstrates significant growth potential amid economic uncertainty.
See More
