VRRM

Verra Mobility Corp

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Advanced Chart

21.655

-0.705(-3.150%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Line

Candle

YTD

High

22.040

Open

22.020

VWAP

21.66

Vol

514.31K

Mkt Cap

3.56B

Low

21.440

Amount

11.14M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

13.04

Total Shares

166.52M

4.46B

EV/OCF(TTM)

19.95

P/S(TTM)

4.18

Verra Mobility Corporation provides smart mobility technology solutions across the United States, Australia, Europe, and Canada. The Company has three segments. Commercial Services segment is a provider of automated toll and violations management, and title and registration solutions to rental car companies (RACs) and fleet management companies (FMCs) and other large fleet owners in North America. In Europe, the segment provides violations processing through Euro Parking Collection plc and consumer tolling services through Pagatelia S.L.U. Government Solutions segment is a provider of automated safety solutions in the United States, Canada, and Australia to state and local governments. In the United States, the segment provides government agencies with road safety cameras to detect and process traffic violations for red-light, speed, school bus, and city bus lanes. Parking Solutions segment provides an end-to-end commercial parking management solution in the markets of North America.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q2

FY2025Q1

242.15M

+7.36%

233.52M

+4.99%

216.94M

+3.44%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.17% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -18.99%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.17%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-18.99%

In Past 3 Month

4 Analyst Rating

30.09% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast VRRM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VRRM is 28.17 USD with a low forecast of 23.00 USD and a high forecast of 31.50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

30.09% Upside

Current: 21.655

Low

23.00

Averages

28.17

High

31.50

30.09% Upside

Current: 21.655

Low

23.00

Averages

28.17

High

31.50

Baird

David Koning

Hold

Buy

Upgrades

$27

2025-04-22

Reason

Baird

David Koning

Price Target

$27

2025-04-22

Upgrades

Hold

Buy

Reason

Baird upgraded Verra Mobility to Outperform from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $27. The firm likes Verra's "strong market position" and views the difficult macro backdrop as a good time to upgrade. High quality companies are less pressured by investors during uncertain times, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Baird says Verra's New York City contract is being renewed, which is 16% of total revenue, and states may want more cameras during a difficult macro backdrop to generate more ticket revenue.

Morgan Stanley

James Faucette

Hold

Maintains

$25 → $23

2025-03-27

Reason

Morgan Stanley

James Faucette

Price Target

$25 → $23

2025-03-27

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Verra Mobility to $23 from $25 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Checks from U.S. airlines indicate domestic travel weakness in Q1, which could impact Verra's Commercial Services segment, the analyst tells investors. However, the firm is "optimistic that this seems largely transitory" and believes concerns are priced in with the stock down 19% over the past month and 13% year-to-date, the analyst added.

Baird

David Koning

Hold

Maintains

$29 → $28

2024-11-01

Reason

Baird

David Koning

Price Target

$29 → $28

2024-11-01

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Baird lowered the firm's price target on Verra Mobility to $28 from $29 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm said Q3 results okay as revenue missed mildly/EPS was in line and 2024 guidance reiterated, but initial 2025 guidance below Street.

Deutsche Bank

Faiza Alwy

Strong Buy

Maintains

$31 → $29

2024-11-01

Reason

Deutsche Bank

Faiza Alwy

Price Target

$31 → $29

2024-11-01

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

Deutsche Bank lowered the firm's price target on Verra Mobility to $29 from $31 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

Morgan Stanley

James Faucette

Hold

Maintains

$26 → $25

2024-10-30

Reason

Morgan Stanley

James Faucette

Price Target

$26 → $25

2024-10-30

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Baird

David Koning

Hold

Maintains

$28 → $29

2024-10-14

Reason

Baird

David Koning

Price Target

$28 → $29

2024-10-14

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Baird raised the firm's price target on Verra Mobility to $29 from $28 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm expects Q3 results likely roughly in line, and 2024 guidance likely reiterated at upper end of ranges and they like the company and its moat a lot but view risk/reward as balanced.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM.O) is 23.76, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 35.65. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Verra Mobility Corp 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

35.65

Current PE

23.76

Overvalued PE

97.50

Undervalued PE

-26.20

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

11.44

Current EV/EBITDA

10.87

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

12.76

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

10.12

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PS

3.95

Current PS

3.75

Overvalued PS

4.62

Undervalued PS

3.29