VRRM Earnings

VRRM reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 262.00M against an estimate of 238.00M, resulting in a 10.21% surprise. The EPS was 0.37, surpassing the expected 0.34 by 8.82% . The stock experienced a -1.47% price change on the earnings day and a -3.57% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following VRRM's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by -1.47% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -3.57% change. Historically, VRRM's stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.68% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.38% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate VRRM’s annual revenue to reach 241.00M, while the EPS is projected at 0.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.02% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.1% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between VRRM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.02%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.1% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, VRRM's stock price typically moves by +1.68% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.38% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.00 and revenue of 241.00M.

The company's earnings call reveals a mix of positive and neutral elements. While there are concerns about margin impacts due to the New York City contract, the company maintains strong financial metrics, with increased net income, EPS, and EBITDA. The reaffirmation of full-year guidance and active share repurchase plan are positive signals. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence in future growth, especially in Government Systems and California markets. Despite some uncertainties, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.