The chart below shows how AI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AI sees a +0.41% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.26% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.98%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Accelerated Revenue Growth: C3.ai's revenue growth accelerated to 29% year-over-year in Q2, reaching $94.3 million, with subscription revenue increasing by 22% to $81.2 million.
Revenue and Subscription Growth: In Q3, total revenue reached $98.8 million, a 26% increase year-over-year, with subscription revenue growing by 22% to $85.7 million.
Strong Gross Profit Margin: Non-GAAP gross profit was $68.2 million in Q3, representing a 69% gross margin, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Partnership Agreement Surge: The partnership with Microsoft resulted in closing 28 agreements across nine different industries, marking a 460% increase quarter-over-quarter.
Sales Pipeline Surge: C3.ai's joint qualified sales pipeline with Microsoft surged by 244% year-over-year, showcasing the effectiveness of their partnership.
Strategic Alliance for AI Solutions: The expanded strategic alliance with AWS aims to offer advanced enterprise AI solutions, enhancing global reach and execution speed.
Partner Ecosystem Importance: In Q3, 71% of agreements were delivered in collaboration with partners, highlighting the importance of the partner ecosystem.
Generative AI Client Engagement: C3 Generative AI pilots were closed with notable clients including the U.S. Department of Defense and various government agencies, demonstrating customer traction.
Agentic AI Advancements: C3.ai's advancements in Agentic AI enhance the autonomy, accuracy, and efficiency of AI models, strengthening market position.
AI Application Leadership: The company has over 130 enterprise-ready AI applications, positioning it well to capitalize on the shift towards AI adoption in enterprises.
Strong Cash Position: C3.ai's cash position remains strong with $724.3 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, ensuring financial stability.
Negative
Ongoing Financial Challenges: Operating loss for Q3 was $23.1 million, which, while better than guidance, still indicates ongoing financial challenges.
Quarterly Net Loss: Net loss for the quarter was $15.8 million, reflecting continued struggles to achieve profitability.
Negative Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $22.4 million, although this was an improvement from the previous year, it still indicates cash flow issues.
Gross Margin Moderation: The company expects some moderation in gross margins due to a higher mix of pilots, which carry greater costs during the pilot phase.
Operating Margin Outlook: Operating margin is also expected to moderate in the near term due to increased investments in sales, partner ecosystem, and R&D.
Q4 Operational Loss Guidance: Guidance for Q4 indicates a non-GAAP loss from operations expected to be between $30 million to $40 million, suggesting continued financial strain.
Geopolitical Stability Impact: The company’s guidance is contingent on geopolitical stability, indicating that external factors could adversely impact business results.
C3.ai, Inc. (AI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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