TSLA Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how TSLA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TSLA sees a +5.56% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.83% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.35%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
TSLA Key Earning Data
TSLA Earnings Analysis
Positive
Vehicle Delivery Surge: Record vehicle deliveries at an annualized rate of nearly 2,000,000 units in Q4 2024, showcasing significant growth in production and demand.
Global Best-Selling Vehicle: Model Y achieved the status of the best-selling vehicle of any kind globally in 2024, highlighting Tesla's market leadership in the automotive sector.
Record Energy Storage Deployments: Energy storage deployments reached an all-time high in Q4, driven by MegaPack and Powerwall, indicating strong demand for Tesla's energy solutions.
Strong Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow for the quarter was $2 billion, contributing to a total of $3.6 billion in free cash flow for the year, demonstrating robust financial health.
Cost Management Efficiency: Overall cost per car was reduced to below $35,000, reflecting effective cost management strategies despite increased depreciation and other costs.
Negative
Automotive Margin Decline: Automotive margins declined quarter over quarter due to lower average selling prices (ASPs) and recognition of FSD-related revenue in Q3, indicating a challenging pricing environment.
Rising Operating Expenses: Operating expenses increased both year over year and sequentially, primarily driven by rising R&D costs, which could pressure profitability in the near term.
Production Disruption Impact: The transition to the new Model Y across all factories will result in several weeks of lost production, negatively impacting Q1 margins and overall output.
Free Cash Flow Analysis: Free cash flow for Q4 was $2 billion, but this was overshadowed by a $600 million mark-to-market benefit from Bitcoin, suggesting underlying cash generation may be weaker than it appears.
Tariff and Supply Chain Risks: The company faces significant uncertainty regarding tariffs and supply chain localization, which could adversely affect profitability and operational efficiency.
TSLA FAQs
How does TSLA typically perform around its earnings report dates?
TSLA's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +5.56% change leading up to the report and a +1.83% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Tesla Inc (TSLA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
TSLA Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Tesla Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast, stock dips
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