The chart below shows how MA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MA sees a -0.60% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.41% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.42%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Strong Financial Performance: 4th quarter net revenues increased by 16% and adjusted net income rose by 19% year-over-year on a non-GAAP currency neutral basis, indicating strong financial performance.
Global GDV Growth: Worldwide gross dollar volume (GDV) grew by 12% year-over-year, with cross-border volume increasing by 20%, reflecting robust consumer spending and travel recovery.
Operating Income Improvement: Operating income increased by 17%, showcasing effective cost management and operational efficiency despite a 15% rise in operating expenses.
Stock Repurchase Impact: Mastercard repurchased $3.4 billion worth of stock during the quarter, contributing an $0.08 increase to earnings per share, demonstrating strong capital management and shareholder return strategy.
Services Segment Growth Potential: The services and solutions segment generated nearly $11 billion in revenue, with a penetration rate of less than 7%, indicating significant growth potential in this area.
Negative
Operating Expenses Impact: Operating expenses increased 15%, outpacing the 16% growth in net revenues, indicating potential pressure on profit margins.
Increased Operating Expenses: Total adjusted operating expenses were higher than anticipated, primarily due to acquisition-related expenses, which could impact future profitability.
Acquisition Impact on Finances: The acquisition of Recorded Future closed earlier than expected, leading to unplanned expenses that were not part of the Q4 forecast, suggesting potential financial strain.
Transaction Growth Slowdown: In Q4, transaction growth remained flat sequentially compared to volumes, indicating a slowdown in transaction growth despite higher average ticket sizes.
2025 Revenue Growth Forecast: The forecast for full year 2025 net revenue growth is expected to be at the low end of low double digits to low teens, down from the 16% exit rate in Q4 2024, indicating a potential deceleration in growth.
Earnings call transcript: Mastercard's Q4 2024 performance beats expectations
MA.N
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