The chart below shows how MA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MA sees a +0.19% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.67% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.81%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Revenue Surge: 1. Strong Revenue Growth: Mastercard reported a 14% increase in net revenues for Q3 2024, driven by healthy consumer spending and robust cross-border volume growth of 17% year-over-year.
Adjusted Net Income Increase: 2. Increased Adjusted Net Income: Adjusted net income rose by 13% compared to the previous year, reflecting strong operating income growth.
Share Repurchase Impact: 3. Significant Share Repurchases: During the quarter, Mastercard repurchased $2.9 billion worth of stock, contributing an additional $0.08 to earnings per share (EPS), which increased by 16% to $3.89.
Value-Added Services Growth: 4. Growth in Value-Added Services: Net revenue from value-added services and solutions grew by 19% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for consulting, marketing services, and fraud and security solutions.
Global Acceptance Expansion: 5. Expansion in Global Acceptance: Mastercard's acceptance has doubled over the last five years, with tap-on-phone technology now live in over 110 markets, significantly increasing transaction flows.
Negative
Operating Expenses Surge: 1. Increased Operating Expenses: Operating expenses rose by 12% in Q3 2024, outpacing the 14% increase in net revenues, indicating rising costs that could pressure margins.
Q4 Revenue Growth Outlook: 2. Lowered Q4 Revenue Growth Outlook: The company expects Q4 2024 net revenue growth to be in the low-teens range, which is a slowdown compared to previous quarters, suggesting potential challenges ahead.
Tax Rate Increase Impact: 3. High Anticipated Tax Rate Impact: The anticipated impact of the Pillar Two global minimum tax rules is expected to increase the tax rate by approximately 4%, which could reduce net income in future periods.
Market Competition Impact: 4. Competitive Market Pressures: The competitive environment remains intense, leading to increased incentives and rebates to win volume, which could compress net pricing and affect profitability.
Minimal Acquisition Impact: 5. Limited Impact from Acquisitions: The forecast indicates that acquisitions are expected to have a minimal impact on revenue growth rates, suggesting that organic growth may be slowing.
Mastercard Incorporated (MA) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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