JPM Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how JPM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, JPM sees a -2.67% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.42% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.42%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
JPM Key Earning Data
JPM Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Performance Exceeds Expectations: JPMorgan Chase & Co. reported an EPS of $5.07, exceeding expectations of $4.63, indicating strong earnings performance.
Net Income and Revenue Growth: The firm achieved a net income of $14.6 billion on revenue of $46 billion, reflecting an 8% year-on-year revenue growth of $3.5 billion.
Market Revenue Increase: NIR ex. Markets increased by $2.2 billion or 20%, driven by higher asset management fees and investment banking fees, showcasing strong performance in these areas.
Equities Trading Performance Surge: Markets revenue rose by $1.7 billion or 21%, indicating robust trading performance, particularly in equities which saw a 48% increase due to elevated client activity.
Net Income Resilience: CCB reported net income of $4.4 billion on revenue of $18.3 billion, up 4% year-on-year, demonstrating resilience in consumer and small business banking.
Client Investment Asset Growth: Client investment assets in CCB increased by 7% year-on-year, driven by market performance and strong flows into managed products, indicating healthy client engagement.
Net Income Growth: The Commercial & Investment Bank reported net income of $6.9 billion on revenue of $19.7 billion, up 12% year-on-year, reflecting strong performance in investment banking fees and advisory services.
Wealth Management Growth: Asset & Wealth Management reported net income of $1.6 billion with revenue up 12% year-on-year, driven by strong net inflows and higher average market levels, indicating growth in wealth management services.
Shareholder Capital Distribution: The firm distributed $11 billion of capital to shareholders, including a common dividend increase to $1.40 per share, reflecting strong capital management and shareholder returns.
Strong Demand for Investments: Long-term net inflows in Asset & Wealth Management were $54 billion for the quarter, indicating strong demand for investment products and services.
Negative
NII Decline Analysis: NII ex. Markets was down $430 million or 2%, driven by the impact of lower rates and deposit margin compression as well as lower deposit balances in CCB.
Expense Increase Analysis: Expenses of $23.6 billion were up $840 million or 4%, largely driven by compensation, including growth in employees across the front office and technology, higher brokerage and distribution fees, as well as marketing and legal expense.
Credit Costs and Risks: Credit costs were $3.3 billion, with net charge-offs of $2.3 billion and a net reserve build of $973 million, indicating increased risk and uncertainty in the credit environment.
CET1 Ratio Decline: The CET1 ratio decreased to 15.4%, down 30 basis points versus the prior quarter, indicating a reduction in capital strength.
Loan Demand Decline: Average Banking & Payments loans were down 3% year-on-year and down 1% sequentially, reflecting limited demand for new loans across client segments.
Cautious Investment Banking Outlook: The investment banking outlook is cautious due to challenging market conditions, with a noted reduction in equity underwriting fees by 9% year-on-year.
Economic Outlook Uncertainty: Despite strong performance in some areas, the overall economic outlook remains uncertain, with increased probability weightings associated with downside scenarios in the CECL framework.
JPM FAQs
How does JPM typically perform around its earnings report dates?
JPM's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -2.67% change leading up to the report and a +1.43% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
JPM Earning Call Sentiment
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

JPM.N
2.49%