The chart below shows how CVX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CVX sees a +0.20% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.61% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.06%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Permian Production Surge: Record production growth of nearly 18% in the Permian, contributing to Chevron's overall production increase of 7% in 2024.
Shareholder Cash Returns: Returned a record $27 billion in cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, with a total of $75 billion returned over the past three years.
Earnings and ROCE Performance: Achieved adjusted earnings of $2.06 per share, with a strong adjusted ROCE of 10.5% for the year, reflecting efficient capital management.
Dividend Increase Announcement: Announced a 5% increase in the dividend, marking the 38th consecutive year of annual dividend increases, demonstrating commitment to shareholder returns.
Project Startups Success: Successfully completed key project startups in the Gulf of America, including first oil at the FGP, adding 260,000 barrels of oil production capacity.
Negative
Earnings Decline Report: Chevron reported earnings of $320 million, a decrease of $900 million compared to the previous quarter, indicating a significant decline in profitability.
Earnings Performance Decline: Adjusted upstream earnings were negatively impacted by revisions to asset retirement obligations and timing effects, leading to lower overall earnings performance.
Downstream Earnings Decline: Adjusted downstream earnings decreased due to softer refining and chemicals margins, reflecting a challenging market environment for these segments.
Cash Flow Challenges: In 2024, Chevron's cash flow excluding working capital was adversely affected by $150 million in tax charges related to a Canadian asset sale and $500 million in special items, indicating operational challenges.
Operating Expenses Increase: Operating expenses for TCO increased by approximately $5 per barrel from 2022 to 2023, which could pressure future cash flow guidance and operational efficiency.
Earnings call transcript: Chevron Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast, stock drops
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