The chart below shows how PG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PG sees a -1.19% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.35% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.94%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Quarterly Organic Sales Growth: Organic sales for the quarter grew 3%, with volume contributing 2 points and mix adding 1 point, indicating strong overall sales performance.
Core Earnings Growth: Core earnings per share increased to $1.88, up 2% versus the prior year, demonstrating solid profitability growth.
Shareholder Returns Strategy: The company returned over $4.9 billion to shareholders this quarter, including $2.4 billion in dividends and $2.5 billion in share repurchases, reflecting strong cash management and commitment to shareholder value.
North America Sales Growth: North America organic sales grew 4%, driven by 4 points of volume growth, showcasing robust market performance and share growth across 8 of 10 categories.
Consistent Organic Sales Growth: The company has delivered 26 consecutive quarters of 2% or better organic sales growth, averaging 5.5% organic sales growth over the past 6.5 years, indicating consistent long-term growth.
Negative
Greater China Sales Decline: Organic sales in Greater China declined 3%, a significant improvement from a 15% decline last quarter, but still indicates ongoing challenges in the market.
Profitability Pressure Indicators: Core gross margin decreased by 30 basis points, while core operating margin declined by 80 basis points, reflecting pressure on profitability.
Commodity Cost Headwind Impact: The company expects a commodity cost headwind of approximately $200 million after tax, equating to a $0.08 per share impact for fiscal 2025, indicating ongoing cost pressures.
Foreign Exchange Impact: Foreign exchange rates have moved sharply against the company, with an expected headwind of approximately $300 million after tax, translating to a $0.12 per share impact for fiscal 2025.
Core EPS Growth Outlook: The guidance for core EPS growth remains at 5% to 7%, but with increased headwinds from commodities and foreign exchange, the outlook is skewed towards the lower end of the range.
Earnings call transcript: P&G Q2 2024 beats EPS forecast, stock rises
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