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LLY Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Eli Lilly and Co(LLY) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Eli Lilly and Co earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-30Pre-Market6.027.02+16.6116.07B17.60B+9.53+3.81+11.47
FY2025Q22025-08-07Pre-Market5.616.31+12.4814.67B15.56B+6.06-14.14-14.33
FY2025Q12025-05-01Pre-Market3.523.34-5.1112.72B12.73B+0.05-11.66-13.77
FY2024Q42025-02-06Pre-Market5.035.32+5.7713.43B13.53B+0.76+3.35+3.66
FY2024Q32024-10-30Pre-Market1.521.18-22.3712.12B11.44B-5.61-6.28-10.79
FY2024Q22024-08-08Pre-Market2.643.92+48.489.97B11.30B+13.40+9.48+20.66
FY2024Q12024-04-30-2.532.58+1.988.93B8.77B-1.81+5.95+4.00
FY2023Q42024-02-06-2.472.49+0.818.97B9.35B+4.27-0.17+4.40
FY2023Q32023-11-02--0.080.10+225.008.96B9.50B+5.96+4.66+11.66
FY2023Q22023-08-08-1.982.11+6.577.59B8.31B+9.51+14.87+18.74
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LLY Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Eli Lilly and Co reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-30. The company achieved an EPS of 7.02, compared to analyst estimates of 6.02 by 16.61% . Revenue for the quarter reached 17.60B compared to expectations of 16.07B by 9.53% .
The stock price reacted with a 3.81% one-day change and a 11.47% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Eli Lilly and Co growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

LLY Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Eli Lilly and Co(LLY) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 17.71B and an EPS of 7.16.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 3.24%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 4%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 2.52% . These revisions correlate with a 39.50% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Eli Lilly and Co long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between LLY's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+3.24%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+4%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+2.52%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+39.50%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:63.53B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:23.68
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Stock Price1014.49
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LLY Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Eli Lilly and Co revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 7.02 (Actual) vs.6.02 (Estimate) (16.61%)
Revenue: 17.60B (Actual) vs. 16.07B (Estimate) (9.53%)
Price Reaction: 3.81%(1-Day), 11.47%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 6.31 (Actual) vs.5.61 (Estimate) (12.48%)
Revenue: 15.56B (Actual) vs. 14.67B (Estimate) (6.06%)
Price Reaction: -14.14%(1-Day), -14.33%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: 3.34 (Actual) vs.3.52 (Estimate) (-5.11%)
Revenue: 12.73B (Actual) vs. 12.72B (Estimate) (0.05%)
Price Reaction: -11.66%(1-Day), -13.77%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how LLY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LLY sees a -1.69% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.46% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.99%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 2.17% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 21.12% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-30
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance, strategic advancements, and positive market reception. Key highlights include raised revenue and EPS guidance, new trials and product launches, and a focus on market expansion. The management's responses in the Q&A were generally well-received, with analysts showing interest in the company's innovation and market strategies. Despite some vague responses, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by growth prospects and strategic initiatives.
Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
The earnings call summary and Q&A section highlight strong revenue growth, key pipeline milestones, and a reaffirmed financial guidance for 2025. The launch of new products like Mounjaro and Zepbound, along with positive developments in orforglipron, suggest a robust market position. Despite some concerns about pricing and competition, the company's strategies to address these issues, such as the LillyDirect channel and potential coverage growth for anti-obesity medicines, indicate a positive outlook. Overall, the sentiment is positive, with strong product performance and strategic initiatives supporting stock price growth.
Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 45% revenue increase, a rise in gross margin, and substantial EPS growth. The company executed significant share repurchases and dividend distributions, which are positive indicators for shareholders. Despite increased expenses, the overall financial health appears robust. The Q&A session highlights management's confidence in market share dynamics and product development, with opportunities in oral medications like orforglipron. However, some concerns remain regarding formulary access and management's lack of clarity on specific issues. Overall, the positive financials and strategic focus suggest a positive stock price movement.
Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance with a 45% revenue increase and a 1% gross margin improvement. The Q&A highlighted strategic efforts to maintain market share despite formulary changes, with promising growth prospects for new products like Orfagliptron. The company's shareholder return plan includes significant dividends and share repurchases, further boosting investor confidence. Although there are concerns about pricing strategy and PBM restrictions, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by optimistic guidance and robust sales growth, particularly for Mounjaro and Zepbound.
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-30
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with a 15% revenue increase and positive EPS growth. The company raised its full-year revenue outlook and expects significant demand for its diabetes and obesity products. Despite competitive pressures and supply chain challenges, the optimistic guidance and strategic pipeline expansion in immunology and oncology provide a positive outlook. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in growth drivers and cost management, although they avoided specific guidance details. Overall, the sentiment is positive, with potential for a 2% to 8% stock price increase.
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-08
The earnings call presents a strong financial performance with a 36% revenue increase and an 86% EPS rise, driven by demand for key products. Despite competitive pressures, the company has raised its revenue outlook by $3 billion, indicating confidence in future performance. The Q&A section shows management addressing competitive and regulatory concerns, while maintaining positive sentiment among analysts. The absence of share repurchase or dividend programs slightly tempers the outlook, but overall, the financial strength and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of LLY’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

LLY reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-30, showcasing a revenue of 17.60B against an estimate of 16.07B, resulting in a 9.53% surprise. The EPS was 7.02, surpassing the expected 6.02 by 16.61% . The stock experienced a 3.81% price change on the earnings day and a 11.47% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did LLY’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following LLY’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-30, the stock price moved by 3.81% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 11.47% change. Historically, LLY’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.69% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +4.46% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for LLY for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate LLY’s annual revenue to reach 17.71B, while the EPS is projected at 7.16. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 3.24% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 2.52% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does LLY’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between LLY’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 3.24%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 2.52% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from LLY’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, LLY’s stock price typically moves by -1.69% in the 10 days before its earnings and +4.46% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 7.16 and revenue of 17.71B.
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What is the sentiment in Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance, strategic advancements, and positive market reception. Key highlights include raised revenue and EPS guidance, new trials and product launches, and a focus on market expansion. The management's responses in the Q&A were generally well-received, with analysts showing interest in the company's innovation and market strategies. Despite some vague responses, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by growth prospects and strategic initiatives.
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