XOM Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how XOM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, XOM sees a -0.90% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.88% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.40%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
XOM Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
81.06B
-0.77%
-7.67%
Gross Margin
21.28%
-1.80%
-8.39%
Operating Margin
11.08%
-6.97%
-17.25%
Net Margin
9.78%
0.00%
-4.31%
EPS
1.72
-9.47%
-10.88%
No Data Available
XOM Earnings Analysis
Exxon Mobil Corp Corporation (XOM.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Strong Earnings Performance: Earnings of $34 billion in 2024, marking the third highest result in a decade despite softer market conditions.
Cash Flow Generation: Generated cash flow from operations of $55 billion, also the third highest in the decade, to fund profitable growth and maintain financial strength.
Record Production Milestone: Achieved record production from advantaged assets, with the highest liquids production in over 40 years, and a projected increase in production from 1.5 million to 2.3 million barrels per day by 2030.
Return on Capital Employed: Delivered a return on capital employed of 13%, with a five-year average of 11%, and a projected increase to approximately 17% when excluding cash balances and capital projects under construction.
Dividends and Buybacks Strategy: Distributed over $125 billion in dividends and buybacks over the last five years, exceeding the closest competitor by $30 billion.
Negative
Earnings Decline Amid Market Softness: Earnings fell short of expectations with a reported $34 billion in earnings for 2024, which, while the third highest in a decade, reflects a decline from previous years amid softer market conditions.
Cash Flow Sustainability Concerns: Free cash flow, although positive, was impacted by working capital adjustments, raising concerns about the sustainability of cash generation in the face of fluctuating market conditions.
Operational Efficiency Challenges: Despite achieving record production levels, the company faces challenges in maintaining operational efficiency, particularly in the Gulf of Mexico, where its presence remains limited compared to competitors.
Legal Battle Impact: The ongoing legal battle with the California Attorney General over advanced recycling practices could lead to increased costs and reputational damage, diverting resources from core operations.
Projected Capital Expenditures: The projected capital expenditures for 2025 are estimated between $27 billion and $29 billion, indicating a significant financial commitment that may strain cash flow if market conditions do not improve.
XOM FAQs
How does XOM typically perform around its earnings report dates?
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XOM Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Exxon Mobil misses Q4 2024 estimates, stock dips
XOM.N
-0.25%Positive
The earnings call presents strong financial performance with significant earnings and cash flow, a 4% dividend increase, and a robust shareholder return plan. The Q&A section reveals positive sentiment towards project milestones, demand for low carbon solutions, and a healthy LNG market. Despite some concerns about reserve replacement transparency, the overall sentiment remains positive, especially with new product markets and carbon capture initiatives. The lack of market cap information limits precise prediction, but the overall tone suggests a stock price increase within the positive range (2% to 8%).
