AOSL Stock Price Prediction

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd

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20.730

-0.380(-1.800%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AOSL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

AOSL stock price ended at $20.73 on Friday, after losing -1.8%

The Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd stock price decreased by -1.8% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), dropping from 20.12 to 20.73. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.43% , ranging from a day low of $20.12 to a day high of 20.81. The price has declined in 8 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -4.73% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 409.75K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 633.50K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 13.03M.

AOSL Technical Signals

AOSL(Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd Corp) has 3 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-02. The total price change during this trend is -0.86%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of AOSL over the last 5 trading days is 6.84M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

AOSL Moving Average Analysis

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $25.829259999999998, and $27.766. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $19.562739999999998, and $17.625999999999998. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AOSL Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd(AOSL) as of 16 May 2025 is 17.05%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 23.46 to 23.14. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

1.426

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.131

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

4.59

Bullish

2 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-1.03

Bearish

Closing price

close < fibonacci_S1

20.73

Bearish

AOSL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd(AOSL), our algorithm predicts AOSL's 1-month price at $21.33, with an -7.83%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.84%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -7.83% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with FND.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.84%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

AOSL

Future prediction

Up: -7.83%

FND

Down: -7.83%Similarity: 95.84%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

FND.N

95.84%

-7.83%

SNDK.O

95.52%

-7.81%

AAL.O

95.42%

-5.65%

WSC.O

95.15%

-8.75%

MIDD.O

94.94%

-3.76%

TXN.O

94.14%

-6.47%

INN.N

93.89%

-7.37%

PINS.N

93.73%

-5.13%

MOG.B.N

93.60%

+1.38%

PL.N

93.59%

-6.36%

AOSL Seasonality Analysis

Based on AOSL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is81.82%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AOSL. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at81.82%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (81.82%), while April has the lowest probability (27.27%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd. (AOSL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.