AOSL Stock Price Prediction

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd

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19.750

-0.540(-2.660%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AOSL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

AOSL stock price ended at $19.75 on Tuesday, after losing -2.66%

The Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd stock price decreased by -2.66% on the last trading day (06 May 2025), dropping from 19.73 to 19.75. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.69% , ranging from a day low of $19.25 to a day high of 19.96. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 21.24% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -72.34K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 248.83K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 4.91M.

AOSL Technical Signals

AOSL(Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd Corp) has 1 buy signal and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-02. The total price change during this trend is -5.55%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of AOSL over the last 5 trading days is 6.25M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a outlook in the mid-term.

AOSL Moving Average Analysis

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Wednesday, May 7, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $21.72218666666667, and $23.30366666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $16.605146666666666, and $15.023666666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AOSL Short Selling Analysis

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Strong sell

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

3.46

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

84.464

Bearish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-1.692

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-1.112

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

88.544

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

AOSL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

AOSL Seasonality Analysis

Based on AOSL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is81.82%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AOSL. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at81.82%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (81.82%), while April has the lowest probability (27.27%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd. (AOSL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.