XOM Relative Valuation
XOM's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, XOM is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 16.24 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 12.31. The fair price of Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is between 64.91 to 112.31 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 117.22 USD , Exxon Mobil Corp is Overvalued By 4.37%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
64.91-112.31
Current Price：117.22
4.37%
Overvalued
16.24
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
7.73
EV/EBITDA
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.73. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.91. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.56, Undervalued between 3.56 and 4.74, Fairly Valued between 7.09 and 4.74, Overvalued between 7.09 and 8.27, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.27. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.73 falls within the Overvalued range.
16.93
EV/EBIT
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current EV/EBIT of 16.93. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 11.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.33, Undervalued between -2.33 and 4.45, Fairly Valued between 18.01 and 4.45, Overvalued between 18.01 and 24.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 24.78. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 16.93 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
117.22
PS
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current PS of 117.22. The 5-year average PS is 1.77. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -15.34, Undervalued between -15.34 and -6.78, Fairly Valued between 10.33 and -6.78, Overvalued between 10.33 and 18.88, and Strongly Overvalued above 18.88. The current Forward PS of 117.22 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.
8.57
P/OCF
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current P/OCF of 8.57. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.13, Undervalued between 4.13 and 5.50, Fairly Valued between 8.25 and 5.50, Overvalued between 8.25 and 9.62, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.62. The current Forward P/OCF of 8.57 falls within the Overvalued range.
14.34
P/FCF
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current P/FCF of 14.34. The 5-year average P/FCF is 12.01. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.28, Undervalued between 3.28 and 7.65, Fairly Valued between 16.37 and 7.65, Overvalued between 16.37 and 20.73, and Strongly Overvalued above 20.73. The current Forward P/FCF of 14.34 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.90. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.04 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -7.04% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.93, the current P/B ratio is about -1.55% higher. Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.81%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 8.54%, the current FCF yield is approximately -43.68% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.89% , the current FCF yield is about -39.01% lower.
1.90
P/B
Median3y
2.04
Median5y
1.93
4.81
FCF Yield
Median3y
8.54
Median5y
7.89
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for XOM's competitors is 73.32, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Exxon Mobil Corp Corp (XOM) exhibits a P/S ratio of 117.22, which is 59.86% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -5.08%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of XOM decreased by 0.63% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 15.03 to 17.02.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -5.08%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of XOM in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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