XOM Valuation

Exxon Mobil Corp

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111.280

+2.05(1.877%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

XOM Relative Valuation

XOM's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, XOM is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 15.75 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 14.08. The fair price of Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is between 24.52 to 161.29 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

24.52-161.29

Current Price：109.23

Fair

16.04

Trailing

Forward

7.15

EV/EBITDA

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.15. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.96. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.46, Undervalued between 3.46 and 4.71, Fairly Valued between 7.21 and 4.71, Overvalued between 7.21 and 8.46, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.46. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.15 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

15.26

EV/EBIT

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current EV/EBIT of 15.26. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5.91, Undervalued between -5.91 and 3.24, Fairly Valued between 21.55 and 3.24, Overvalued between 21.55 and 30.70, and Strongly Overvalued above 30.70. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 15.26 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.40

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current PS of 1.40. The 5-year average PS is 1.09. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.56, Undervalued between 0.56 and 0.83, Fairly Valued between 1.36 and 0.83, Overvalued between 1.36 and 1.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.63. The current Forward PS of 1.40 falls within the Overvalued range.

8.02

P/OCF

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current P/OCF of 8.02. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.82. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.12, Undervalued between 4.12 and 5.47, Fairly Valued between 8.17 and 5.47, Overvalued between 8.17 and 9.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.51. The current Forward P/OCF of 8.02 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

13.54

P/FCF

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a current P/FCF of 13.54. The 5-year average P/FCF is 12.56. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.10, Undervalued between 2.10 and 7.33, Fairly Valued between 17.80 and 7.33, Overvalued between 17.80 and 23.03, and Strongly Overvalued above 23.03. The current Forward P/FCF of 13.54 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.77. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.07 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -14.40% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.88, the current P/B ratio is about -5.87% higher. Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 6.29%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 9.11%, the current FCF yield is approximately -30.89% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.57% , the current FCF yield is about -16.86% lower.

1.81

P/B

Median3y

2.07

Median5y

1.88

6.25

FCF Yield

Median3y

9.11

Median5y

7.57

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for XOM's competitors is 1.01, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Exxon Mobil Corp Corp (XOM) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.40, which is 38.67% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -11.68%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of XOM decreased by 5.65% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 13.24 to 15.77.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -11.68%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of XOM in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-11.68%

89.99B → 79.48B

Revenue Growth

-13.06%

10.64 → 9.25

Margin Expansion

19.09%

13.24 → 15.77

P/E Change

-5.65%