Should I Buy Exxon Mobil Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. XOM has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
XOM stock price ended at $103.12 on Thursday, after losing -0.52%
The Exxon Mobil Corp stock price decreased by -0.52% on the last trading day (22 May 2025), dropping from 104.53 to 103.66. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.28% , ranging from a day low of $103.64 to a day high of 104.965. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.91% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 4.29M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 16.72M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.74B.
XOM Technical Signals
XOM(Exxon Mobil Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is -5.30%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of XOM over the last 5 trading days is 1.59B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
XOM Moving Average Analysis
Exxon Mobil Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, May 23, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $111.37332666666666, and $113.99766666666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $102.88200666666665, and $100.25766666666665. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
XOM Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Exxon Mobil Corp(XOM) as of 16 May 2025 is 10.97%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 108.58 to 108.19. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-123.602
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.34
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-92.07
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.95
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.521
Bearish
Closing price
close < fibonacci_S1
103.66
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
XOM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Exxon Mobil Corp(XOM), our algorithm predicts XOM's 1-month price at $106.52, with an -1.54%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.99%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -1.54% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with RGCO.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.99%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
XOM
No Data
RGCO
Down: -1.54%Similarity: 90.99%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
RGCO.O
90.99%
-1.54%
ALGT.O
90.38%
-1.28%
XOM Seasonality Analysis
Based on XOM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in XOM. In contrast,Marchoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while August has the lowest probability (10.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
People Also Watch
FAQ
Should I buy Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N) stock?
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N) stock in a year?
How has Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bull technical signals does XOM have?
Which bearish technical signals does XOM have?
Is XOM a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM)'s moving average?
What is price prediction for XOM stock next month?
What is price prediction 2025 for XOM Stock?