NVDA Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how NVDA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NVDA sees a -4.18% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +8.10% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.48%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
NVDA Key Earning Data
NVDA Earnings Analysis
Positive
Q4 Revenue Surge: Q4 revenue reached $39.3 billion, up 12% sequentially and 78% year-on-year, exceeding the outlook of $37.5 billion.
Significant Revenue Growth: Fiscal 2025 revenue was $130.5 billion, up 114% from the prior year, showcasing significant growth.
Data Center Revenue Surge: Data Center revenue for fiscal 2025 was $115.2 billion, more than doubling from the prior year, with Q4 data center revenue at a record $35.6 billion, up 16% sequentially and 93% year-on-year.
Record Sales Performance: Blackwell sales exceeded expectations with $11 billion in revenue, marking the fastest product ramp in the company's history.
Increased Adoption of Inference Platform: NVIDIA's full-stack inference platform has seen increased adoption, with companies achieving significant performance improvements and cost reductions using NVIDIA technologies.
Consumer Internet Revenue Surge: Consumer Internet revenue tripled year-on-year, driven by generative AI and deep learning use cases.
Record Automotive Revenue Growth: Automotive revenue reached a record $570 million, up 27% sequentially and 103% year-on-year, driven by the ramp in autonomous vehicles.
Gross Margin Improvement: NVIDIA's gross margin was 73%, with expectations to improve as Blackwell ramps up production and system availability increases.
Shareholder Returns Overview: The company returned $8.1 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and cash dividends in Q4.
Q1 Revenue Outlook: The outlook for Q1 includes expected revenue of $43 billion, with continued strong demand and growth in both Data Center and Gaming segments.
Negative
Gaming Revenue Decline: Gaming revenue decreased 22% sequentially and 11% year-on-year, indicating a decline in demand despite strong holiday sales.
Networking Revenue Decline: Networking revenue declined 3% sequentially, suggesting potential challenges in this segment despite robust attachment to GPU compute systems.
China Data Center Sales Decline: Data center sales in China remained well below levels seen prior to export controls, indicating a competitive market and regulatory challenges.
Gross Margin Decline: GAAP gross margin was down sequentially, reflecting the impact of the initial deliveries of the Blackwell architecture and potential cost pressures.
Operating Expenses Increase: Operating expenses increased by 9% sequentially, driven by higher engineering development costs and infrastructure costs for new product introductions.
NVDA FAQs
How does NVDA typically perform around its earnings report dates?
NVDA's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -4.18% change leading up to the report and a +8.10% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
NVDA Earning Call Sentiment
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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