The chart below shows how ASB performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ASB sees a -4.30% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.52% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Strong Q1 Earnings: The company reported GAAP earnings of $0.59 per share for Q1, indicating strong financial performance.
Loan Growth Strategies: Total loans grew by $526 million during the quarter, with significant contributions from commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, reflecting effective growth strategies.
Customer Deposit Growth: Core customer deposits increased by $500 million, demonstrating strong customer engagement and retention.
Net Interest Income Increase: Net interest income rose to $286 million, a $16 million increase from the previous quarter, driven by effective balance sheet repositioning.
Net Interest Margin Expansion: The net interest margin expanded by 16 basis points to 2.97%, indicating improved profitability from lending activities.
CET1 Capital Improvement: The company added 10 basis points of CET1 capital, showcasing a strengthened capital position and enhanced profitability profile.
Credit Risk Management Success: Delinquencies and charge-offs decreased, reflecting disciplined credit risk management and a stable loan portfolio.
Market Expansion Strategy: The expansion of the commercial banking team and entry into new markets, such as Kansas City, positions the company for future growth and market share capture.
Record High Customer Satisfaction: Customer satisfaction scores reached record highs, indicating a strong consumer value proposition and effective service delivery.
Economic Resilience Strategy: The company is well-positioned to navigate economic uncertainties, with proactive measures in place to monitor customer activity and credit quality.
Negative
Earnings Report Concerns: The company reported a GAAP earnings of $0.59 per share, which may not meet market expectations, indicating potential concerns about profitability.
Loan Volume Challenges: Despite loan growth of $526 million, the overall average quarterly loans decreased slightly, suggesting challenges in maintaining loan volume.
Loan Sale Loss Impact: The company experienced a $7 million loss from the loan sale, which negatively impacted non-interest income, raising concerns about revenue stability.
Non-Interest Expense Analysis: Total non-interest expense was $211 million, which included a $4 million OREO write down, indicating potential issues with asset quality and management.
Non-Interest Income Outlook: The company expects non-interest income to grow by only 0% to 1% in 2025, reflecting a cautious outlook on revenue generation.
CRE Non-Performing Loans Increase: The commercial real estate (CRE) non-performing loans (NPLs) increased slightly, which could signal emerging credit quality issues in that segment.
Anticipated Financial Impact: The company anticipates elevated payoffs in the coming quarters, which could impact loan growth and overall financial performance.
Net Charge-Off Ratio Decline: The net charge-off ratio decreased to 0.12%, but any increase in charge-offs in the future could indicate deteriorating credit conditions.
Trade Uncertainty Impact: The company is facing uncertainty due to tariffs and trade negotiations, which could impact customer activity and overall economic conditions.
Earnings call transcript: Associated Banc-Corp Q1 2025 beats EPS estimates
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