The chart below shows how NOG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NOG sees a +1.19% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.19% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.11%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Production Resilience: Production remained resilient at over 121,800 BOE per day, despite a 1% decrease compared to Q2, and a 19% increase compared to Q3 of 2023.
Record Oil Production Increase: Oil production increased to 70,900 barrels per day, up 2% from Q2, setting a new NOG record for oil production.
Strong Operational Performance: Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was $412 million, reflecting strong operational performance despite lower commodity prices.
Free Cash Flow Increase: Free cash flow of $177 million in the quarter was 32% higher sequentially and up 39% from the same period last year, benefiting from higher tilled count in Q2.
Net Acreage Expansion: We aggregated an additional 1,250 net acres through our Ground Game, bringing us to over 4,700 net acres and 6.8 net wells on the year.
Negative
Oil Volume Growth Amid Decline: Three straight quarters of declining CapEx, fewer wells turned on, and yet we've delivered growing oil volumes and activity is still pooling with a growing D&C list.
Record Free Cash Flow: Even in a quarter of weaker oil and gas prices, we generated record free cash flow, near-record adjusted EBITDA and drove volume growth in our two biggest contributing basins, the Permian and the Williston.
Capital Efficiency Impact: The third quarter results clearly reflect that as our capital efficiency shines through and proves the points we made then.
Limited Cash Flow Impact: We closed Point at the very end of the third quarter, and as a result, received little to no benefit from a cash flow perspective.
Debt Management Options: While the larger XCL transaction that closed at the beginning of Q4 will have a modest impact on our borrowings in the near-term, we maintain a number of different options and could quickly turn out the debt at any point in time.
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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