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  3. NOG
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NOG

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
536.97M
-1.56%
0.914
-17.67%
508.82M
-11.81%
0.794
-40.33%
502.38M
-28.92%
0.688
-49.81%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 1.56% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -0.81%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.56%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.5%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-0.81%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast NOG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NOG is 28.86 USD with a low forecast of 25.00 USD and a high forecast of 34.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NOG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NOG is 28.86 USD with a low forecast of 25.00 USD and a high forecast of 34.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 24.640
sliders
Low
25.00
Averages
28.86
High
34.00
Current: 24.640
sliders
Low
25.00
Averages
28.86
High
34.00
Citi
Buy
downgrade
$32 -> $28
2025-10-20
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$32 -> $28
2025-10-20
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Northern Oil and Gas to $28 from $32 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model into earnings to reflect macroeconomic uncertainty and pricing volatility.
Morgan Stanley
Devin McDermott
Underweight
downgrade
$27 -> $26
2025-10-14
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Devin McDermott
Price Target
$27 -> $26
2025-10-14
downgrade
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Devin McDermott lowered the firm's price target on Northern Oil and Gas to $26 from $27 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for Energy in the North America stock under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. The firm expects "clean" Q3 operational updates, but cash flow will likely be generally below consensus due to weaker gas and NGL realizations.
Mizuho
Neutral
downgrade
$32 -> $28
2025-09-15
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$32 -> $28
2025-09-15
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Mizuho lowered the firm's price target on Northern Oil and Gas to $28 from $32 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings in the integrated oil space after updating its commodity price outlook and valuations. Mizuho still sees a positive skew in gas prices over the next 12 months. Oil stocks are pricing in the current strip while gas stocks offer a 10%-15% discount based on implied commodity prices, the analyst tells investors in a research note. As such, the firm maintains a relative preference for large-cap, gas exploration and production companies with "selective exposure" to core oil names.
William Blair
NULL
to
Outperform
initiated
2025-08-25
Reason
William Blair
Price Target
2025-08-25
initiated
NULL
to
Outperform
Reason
William Blair initiated coverage of Northern Oil and Gas with an Outperform rating. The firm says the company's non-operated status allows it to "largely corner" the non-operated upstream acquisition market. Northern has industry-leading economies of scale across four core U.S. basins and has completed over 15 accretive acquisitions since 2021, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight -> Underweight
downgrade
$29 -> $27
2025-08-18
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$29 -> $27
2025-08-18
downgrade
Equal Weight -> Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley downgraded Northern Oil and Gas to Underweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $27, down from $29. The firm is shifting to a more defensive stance in oil exploration and production following the stocks' outperformance relative to oil over the past two weeks. Oil fundamentals still screen as soft into year end, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Morgan Stanley says Northern Oil reduced growth expectations Q2 and further downside is possible if oil moves lower.
Piper Sandler
Mark Lear
Neutral
downgrade
$31 -> $25
2025-08-04
Reason
Piper Sandler
Mark Lear
Price Target
$31 -> $25
2025-08-04
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler analyst Mark Lear lowered the firm's price target on Northern Oil and Gas to $25 from $31 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm revises estimates following Q2 results, highlighted by the company reducing FY25 capex guidance 12% to $988M at midpoint to drill and TIL 26% and 14% less wells in the FY25 program, respectively.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG.N) is 7.78, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 5.36. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Northern Oil and Gas Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Overvalued
5Y Average PE
5.36
Current PE
7.78
Overvalued PE
7.04
Undervalued PE
3.67

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
3.15
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
3.52
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
2.78

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
1.35
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
1.64
Undervalued PS
1.06
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
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NOG News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-06
16:24:01
Northern Oil and Gas Announces Q3 Earnings Per Share of $1.03, Exceeding Consensus Estimate of 87 Cents
select
2025-10-21 (ET)
2025-10-21
16:11:18
Northern Oil and Gas increases FY25 annual production forecast to 132,500 - 134,000 Boepd.
select
2025-10-21
16:08:57
Northern Oil and Gas Releases Third Quarter Report
select
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events

News

[object Object]
Preview
8.0
12-04NASDAQ.COM
Are Options Traders Aware of Insights About NOG Stock That We Are Not?

  • Options Market Activity: Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) has seen significant implied volatility in its options, particularly the Dec. 19, 2025 $40 Call, indicating that investors expect a major price movement in the stock.

  • Analyst Sentiment: The company currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and has experienced mixed earnings estimate revisions from analysts, with the consensus estimate for the current quarter decreasing from 91 cents to 85 cents per share.

  • Trading Strategy Insight: High implied volatility often attracts options traders looking to sell premium, as they anticipate that the stock may not move as much as expected by expiration, potentially leading to profitable trades.

  • Investment Recommendations: Zacks Investment Research suggests exploring lesser-known AI firms for potential high returns, alongside their ongoing recommendations for stocks to watch in the near term.

[object Object]
Preview
2.0
11-14Benzinga
Seeking a Squeeze? Check Out the 10 Most Shorted Stocks

  • Investor Sentiment and Short Interest: Short interest data reflects investor sentiment and potential risks in the stock market, indicating skepticism or confidence in a company's future performance.

  • Heavily Shorted Stocks: A stock is deemed heavily shorted when a large percentage of its shares are borrowed and sold by investors anticipating a price drop, with notable examples including Lucid Group (LCID) and Choice Hotels (CHH).

  • Short Squeeze Dynamics: When prices rise due to news or buying momentum, short-sellers may rush to cover their positions, leading to rapid price surges, similar to recent trends seen with meme stocks like GameStop.

  • Risks and Volatility: Investing in highly shorted stocks can be risky due to their volatility and underlying business uncertainties, making it crucial for investors to conduct thorough due diligence before trading.

[object Object]
Preview
7.0
11-08SeekingAlpha
Northern Oil and Gas sets 2025 guidance at $132,500–$134,000 BOE per day and expands multi-basin deal opportunities.

  • Management Insights: CEO Nicholas O'Grady described Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. as stable with a disciplined capital allocation strategy, highlighting a recent minerals and royalty deal that adds low-risk assets to the portfolio. The company anticipates over $300 million in additional liquidity and a strong exit into 2026.

  • Operational Performance: President Adam Dirlam reported that Q3 was one of the busiest periods in company history, with increased annual production guidance and a focus on high-quality asset transactions. The company achieved an average daily production of 131,000 BOE per day, marking an 8% increase from the previous year.

  • Financial Results: The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $387.1 million and free cash flow of $118.9 million, maintaining a streak of positive free cash flow for 23 consecutive quarters. However, a net loss of $129 million was recorded due to a significant noncash impairment charge.

  • Future Outlook: Management raised production guidance for the year and expects material gas growth in 2026, while also emphasizing the importance of disciplined capital allocation in response to commodity price fluctuations. The sentiment among analysts remained cautiously optimistic regarding the company's operational execution and growth potential.

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FAQ

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What is Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) stock price today?

The current price of NOG is 24.64 USD — it has increased 3.1 % in the last trading day.

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What is Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG)'s business?

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. is a real asset company that focuses on acquiring and investing in non-operated minority working and mineral interests in the hydrocarbon producing basins. The Company is engaged as a non-operator in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States, primarily in the Williston Basin, the Permian Basin, the Appalachian Basin and the Uinta Basin. Its portfolio comprises 300,000 acres of low-breakeven land with over 10,000 wells. Diversified by basin and across commodity type, its wells are operated by over 100 public and private operators. It engages in oil and natural gas exploration and production by participating on a proportionate basis alongside third-party interests in wells drilled and completed in spacing units that include its acreage. In addition, it acquires wellbore-only working interests in wells in which it does not hold the underlying leasehold interests from third parties.

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What is the price predicton of NOG Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast NOG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NOG is 28.86 USD with a low forecast of 25.00 USD and a high forecast of 34.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Northern Oil and Gas Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 485.87M USD, decreased -5.75 % YoY.

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What is Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Northern Oil and Gas Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to -1.33 USD, decreased -144.93 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 1.56% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -0.81%.
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How many employees does Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG). have?

Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) has 49 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) market cap?

Today NOG has the market capitalization of 2.41B USD.

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