NOG Relative Valuation
NOG's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, NOG is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 7.78 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 5.36. The fair price of Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) is between 16.63 to 25.18 according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
16.63-25.18
Current Price：24.64
Fair
7.78
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
3.27
EV/EBITDA
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) has a current EV/EBITDA of 3.27. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 3.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.41, Undervalued between 2.41 and 2.78, Fairly Valued between 3.52 and 2.78, Overvalued between 3.52 and 3.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.89. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 3.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
7.75
EV/EBIT
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) has a current EV/EBIT of 7.75. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 5.25. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.19, Undervalued between 2.19 and 3.72, Fairly Valued between 6.77 and 3.72, Overvalued between 6.77 and 8.30, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.30. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 7.75 falls within the Overvalued range.
1.12
PS
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) has a current PS of 1.12. The 5-year average PS is 1.35. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.77, Undervalued between 0.77 and 1.06, Fairly Valued between 1.64 and 1.06, Overvalued between 1.64 and 1.92, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.92. The current Forward PS of 1.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
1.87
P/OCF
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) has a current P/OCF of 1.87. The 5-year average P/OCF is 2.17. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.39, Undervalued between 1.39 and 1.78, Fairly Valued between 2.57 and 1.78, Overvalued between 2.57 and 2.96, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.96. The current Forward P/OCF of 1.87 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
9.92
P/FCF
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) has a current P/FCF of 9.92. The 5-year average P/FCF is 6.38. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.18, Undervalued between -0.18 and 3.10, Fairly Valued between 9.66 and 3.10, Overvalued between 9.66 and 12.95, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.95. The current Forward P/FCF of 9.92 falls within the Overvalued range.
Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.00 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -46.58% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -1.93, the current P/B ratio is about -155.38% higher. Northern Oil and Gas Inc (NOG) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -10.90%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -8.91% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
1.07
P/B
Median3y
2.00
Median5y
-1.93
-6.08
FCF Yield
Median3y
-10.90
Median5y
-8.91
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for NOG's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Northern Oil and Gas Inc Corp (NOG) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -5.75%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of NOG decreased by 31.92% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 6.16 to 13.54.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -5.75%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of NOG in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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FAQ
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