Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis for RGLD:

Technical Analysis:

• Current price: $149.22 (as of Feb 12, 2025)
• Strong upward momentum with RSI(14) at 64.02, indicating bullish sentiment without being overbought
• Price is trading above all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200,250 day SMAs), suggesting strong bullish trend
• Currently trading near upper Bollinger Band (BBP: 0.82), showing strong momentum

Recent Performance & Catalysts:

• Stock has shown impressive strength, rising from $120 levels in early January to current $149+ levels
• RBC Capital maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $170, suggesting ~14% upside potential
• The company will present at Renmark Financial Communications Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow on February 19, 2025

Fundamental Strength:

• Strong quarterly performance with revenue of $193.84M and net profit of $96.24M
• Company maintains a portfolio of 175 properties across five continents, including 42 producing mines
• Benefits from current gold price strength, with gold up 6.4% in January 2025

Buy/Sell Decision: Based on technical strength, analyst confidence, and positive gold price momentum, RGLD appears positioned for continued upside. The stock is showing strong momentum while maintaining reasonable valuation metrics. Current price levels present a favorable entry point for investors looking for gold sector exposure.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a comprehensive analysis for RGLD's price prediction in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock shows strong technical momentum with:

• RSI(14) at 64.02 indicating moderate bullish momentum
• MACD trending positive with 2.06 value and 0.84 histogram
• Trading above all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200,250 day)
• Currently near upper Bollinger Band (150.70) suggesting potential resistance

Price Targets from Major Banks

Recent analyst price targets for 2025:

• Jefferies: $178 (upgraded from $154)
• RBC Capital: $165
• Average analyst consensus: $168.14

Growth Catalysts

Key factors supporting higher prices:

• Expected 10% YoY sales growth
• Strong geographic revenue diversification:
  • North America: 40%
  • South America: 35%
  • Africa: 25%
• Optimization at Mount Milligan mine
• Ramp-up at Pueblo Viejo mine
• Healthy balance sheet for new acquisitions

Gold Price Environment

Major bank gold price forecasts for 2025:

• Goldman Sachs: $3,000/oz
• Deutsche Bank: $2,725/oz (range $2,450-$3,050)
• HSBC: More moderate gains expected
• JPMorgan: $3,000/oz with potential H1 weakness

Price Prediction 2025

Based on technical strength, analyst upgrades, and positive gold price outlook, RGLD is likely to reach $175-180 by end of 2025. The key drivers are continued operational improvements at major mines, strategic acquisitions, and supportive gold prices above $2,500/oz.

The S1 support level for RGLD Stock is $139.27 ,The R1 resistant level for RGLD Stock is $147.43.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-13, the price of RGLD Stock was $149.81.

The target price for RGLD Stock according to analyst rating is 169.17, with the highest price target at 186.00 and the lowest at 140.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on RGLD Stock overall.

The market cap of RGLD is $9.7B.

Based on the comprehensive data analysis, RGLD appears to be fairly valued with a slight premium. The company's P/E ratio has increased from 30.97 to 33.21 year-over-year, while its EV/EBITDA ratio shows a modest increase from 16.84 to 17.30, indicating stable but premium valuation metrics compared to industry averages. Recent analyst coverage from RBC Capital maintains a Buy rating with a $170 price target, suggesting potential upside from current levels of $149.22. The company's strong financial performance, including stable revenue growth and improved gross margins from 53.48% to 56.62%, supports the current valuation levels. Technical indicators show RSI at 64.02 and positive MACD values, suggesting balanced momentum without significant overvaluation signals.

Royal Gold, Inc. is a precious metals stream and royalty company engaged in the acquisition and management of precious metal streams, royalties and similar production-based interests. The Company's segments include Acquisition and Management of Stream Interests, and Acquisition and Management of Royalty Interests. The Acquisition and Management of Stream Interests segment includes a metal stream, which is a purchase agreement that provides the right to purchase all or a portion of one or more metals produced from a mine, at a price determined for the life of the transaction by the purchase agreement. The Acquisition and Management of Royalty Interests segment includes non-operating interests in mining projects that provide the right to revenue or metals produced from the project after deducting specified costs, if any. The Company owns interests on approximately 178 properties on five continents, including interests on 37 producing mines and 22 development stage projects.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, I'll provide a comprehensive price prediction for RGLD stock by 2030.

Technical Analysis

Current Market Position & Trends Royal Gold (RGLD) is currently trading at $149.22, showing strong momentum with a bullish trend. The stock has maintained its position above key moving averages, indicating sustained upward momentum.

2030 Price Prediction Analysis

Based on multiple analyst reports and market factors, here's the 2030 price prediction for RGLD:

The stock is expected to reach $210-230 by 2030, primarily driven by three key factors:

1. Gold price trajectory: Multiple analysts including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan project gold prices to reach $3,000/oz in 2025, with continued upward momentum through 2030 due to increasing central bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainties.

2. Revenue growth: Royal Gold's strong position in gold streaming (78.7% of revenue) combined with diversification into copper (9.25%) and silver (8.57%) provides stable cash flows and growth potential as precious metals demand increases.

3. Market fundamentals: The company's robust business model as a streaming/royalty company provides higher margins and lower operational risks compared to traditional miners, supporting sustained growth through market cycles.

This prediction represents approximately a 40-54% upside from current levels over the next 6 years, translating to an average annual return of 6.7-9.2%, which is reasonable given the company's historical performance and industry outlook.

However, Deutsche Bank notes that while bullish on precious metals, they expect some near-term volatility in 2025, which could create better entry points for long-term investors looking to build positions in RGLD.

RGLD has a total of 30 employees.