Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that RGLD stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $157.31, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $154.55. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $170.67. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $0.00, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $0.00. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RGLD has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
RGLD stock price ended at $154.05 on Thursday, after losing-2.3%
The Royal Gold Inc stock price decreased by -2.3% on the last trading day (17 Jul 2025), dropping from 158.08 to 157.67. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.24% , ranging from a day low of $156.185 to a day high of 159.68. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -11.23% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -210.21K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 791.43K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 124.87M.
RGLD Technical Signals
RGLD(Royal Gold Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-07-14. The total price change during this trend is -1.35%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of RGLD over the last 5 trading days is 160.91M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
RGLD Moving Average Analysis
Royal Gold Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, July 18, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $182.23, and $191.71. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $151.55, and $142.07. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
RGLD Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Royal Gold Inc(RGLD) as of 11 Jul 2025 is 26.12%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 159.79 to 159.96. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 < 30
29.552
Bullish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
9.704
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-102.034
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
0.286
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-92.356
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.
Royal Gold Inc Stock Forecast 2026
RGLD Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Royal Gold Inc(RGLD), our algorithm predicts RGLD's 1-month price at $157.85, with an -1.32%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.52%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Royal Gold Inc (RGLD.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 13, 2025 , forecasts a -1.32% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with FMBH.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.52%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
RGLD
No Data
FMBH
Down: -1.32%Similarity: 95.52%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
FMBH.O
95.52%
-1.32%
AUTL.O
95.38%
-23.64%
SLRX.O
94.99%
+51.79%
RIME.O
94.82%
-9.09%
INBK.O
94.43%
+0.97%
NVRI.N
94.39%
+2.52%
FTLF.O
94.37%
+8.76%
IBRX.O
94.37%
-21.90%
DFIN.N
94.35%
+8.35%
FAT.O
94.34%
+9.84%
RGLD Seasonality Analysis
Based on RGLD's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is64.29%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in RGLD. In contrast,Marchoffers the highest probability of positive returns at76.92%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Royal Gold Inc (RGLD.O) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (76.92%), while February has the lowest probability (38.46%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Royal Gold Inc (RGLD.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RGLD has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Royal Gold Inc (RGLD.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Royal Gold Inc (RGLD.O) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (76.92%), while February has the lowest probability (38.46%).
How has Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
RGLD's stock price rose by 3.54% in 2023,increased by 10.05% in 2024, and went up by 14.5%in 2025.
Is RGLD a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
RGLD has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for RGLD is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of RGLD.
What is the trend of Royal Gold Inc (RGLD)'s moving average?
Royal Gold Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of July 18 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for RGLD stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Royal Gold Inc (RGLD.O) stock, as of July 13 2025, forecasts a -1.32% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with FMBH stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.52%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for RGLD Stock?
RGLD stock is predicted to reach **$185-$195** by end of 2025, driven by strong financial performance and rising gold prices. The stock shows moderate technical strength with RSI around 44 and MACD slightly positive. Institutional buying and gold's expected surge to $2,844/oz further support the bullish outlook.
What is price prediction 2030 for RGLD Stock?
### **Price Prediction for RGLD Stock by 2030**
Based on current trends and analysis, RGLD stock is predicted to reach **$185 by 2030**, driven by rising gold prices and strong financial performance. The stock could potentially reach **$195** if gold surpasses $3,000 per ounce as predicted by analysts.