NSSC

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc

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41.990

-0.41(-0.967%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

42.900

Open

42.900

VWAP

41.83

Vol

560.42K

Mkt Cap

1.50B

Low

41.095

Amount

23.44M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

29.11

Total Shares

36.87M

1.41B

EV/OCF(TTM)

26.39

P/S(TTM)

8.52

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. is a manufacturer and designer of high-tech electronic security devices, cellular communication services for intrusion and fire alarm systems, as well as a provider of school safety solutions. It offers a diversified array of security products, encompassing access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems and video surveillance products. These products are used for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial and governmental applications, and are sold to independent distributors, dealers and installers of security equipment. It manufactures and markets various products for alarm systems, including automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panel and area detectors. Its video surveillance systems typically consist of one or more video cameras, a control panel and a video monitor or PC.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2026Q2

FY2026Q3

46.51M

+5.69%

0.304

+1.33%

47.55M

+10.76%

0.310

+10.71%

48.96M

+11.36%

0.320

+14.29%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) for FY2026, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 6.46% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 47.90%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2026

Revise Upward

+6.46%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2026

Revise Upward

+10.45%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+47.90%

In Past 3 Month

6 Analyst Rating

-3.95% Downside

Wall Street analysts forecast NSSC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NSSC is 40.33 USD with a low forecast of 36.00 USD and a high forecast of 45.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

5 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

-3.95% Downside

Current: 41.990

Low

36.00

Averages

40.33

High

45.00

-3.95% Downside

Current: 41.990

Low

36.00

Averages

40.33

High

45.00

Craig-Hallum

Jeremy Hamblin

Hold

Buy

upgrade

$40

2025-08-26

Reason

Craig-Hallum

Jeremy Hamblin

Price Target

$40

2025-08-26

upgrade

Hold

Buy

Reason

Craig-Hallum analyst Jeremy Hamblin upgraded Napco Security to Buy from Hold with a $40 price target.

DA Davidson

Buy

maintain

$33 -> $45

2025-08-26

Reason

DA Davidson

Price Target

$33 -> $45

2025-08-26

maintain

Buy

Reason

DA Davidson raised the firm's price target on Napco Security to $45 from $33 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after its Q4 results. The firm is positive on the company's RSR - recurring service revenue - upside and what it believes to be effectively the end of multi-quarter destocking at its largest distributors, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Demand appears healthy, with tariff and annual price increases contributing to Equipment sales in Q1 of FY26, the firm added.

Lake Street

Hold

Buy

upgrade

$26 -> $39

2025-08-26

Reason

Lake Street

Price Target

$26 -> $39

2025-08-26

upgrade

Hold

Buy

Reason

Lake Street upgraded Napco Security to Buy from Hold with a price target of $39, up from $26, after the company reported revenue and EPS above expectations, driven by equipment revenue outperformance. Although there remains some macro uncertainty, the firm thinks Q4 likely represented the last quarter of tough year-over-year comps for the equipment business and that it has better line of sight to a return to growth this year.

Craig-Hallum

Jeremy Hamblin

Hold

Buy

upgrade

$40

2025-08-26

Reason

Craig-Hallum

Jeremy Hamblin

Price Target

$40

2025-08-26

upgrade

Hold

Buy

Reason

As previously reported, Craig-Hallum analyst Jeremy Hamblin upgraded Napco Security to Buy from Hold with a $40 price target after an impressive Q4 beat with momentum carrying into FY26. The demand environment has markedly improved following the noise from tariffs with Equipment Revs normalizing while inventories have been significantly reduced. Most importantly, the company saw high margin Recurring Service Revs inflect higher in Q4 with the highest sequential growth in six quarters and momentum continuing through July with annualized RSR accelerating from Q3 and implying likely upside for Q1, the firm says.

Lake Street

Jaeson Schmidt

Buy

Hold

downgrade

$28 -> $26

2025-08-25

Reason

Lake Street

Jaeson Schmidt

Price Target

$28 -> $26

2025-08-25

downgrade

Buy

Hold

Reason

Lake Street analyst Jaeson Schmidt downgraded Napco Security to Hold from Buy with a price target of $26, down from $28. While the firm thinks Napco's revenues were "better than feared" given the challenging current backdrop and does not believe there has been a significant change in Napco's long-term growth opportunities or position in the market, it thinks shares will likely remain range-bound at current levels until there is better visibility into stabilization.

Mizuho

Outperform

initiated

$39

2025-07-10

Reason

Mizuho

Price Target

$39

2025-07-10

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Mizuho initiated coverage of Napco Security with an Outperform rating and $39 price target. The firm says Napco is a leading player in security with locking, alarms, and access control offerings. The company's "key differentiator" is its StarLink radio and associated services, which enables a premium margin profile, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Mizuho believes Napco's "unique" market position will benefit from a secular copper telephone wire replacement cycle.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC.O) is 32.70, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 32.06. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess NAPCO Security Technologies Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

32.06

Current PE

32.70

Overvalued PE

40.95

Undervalued PE

23.18

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

23.03

Current EV/EBITDA

25.34

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

27.71

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

18.36

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Overvalued

5Y Average PS

5.89

Current PS

7.74

Overvalued PS

7.25

Undervalued PS

4.54

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

FY2025Q4

YoY :

+0.78%

50.72M

Total Revenue

FY2025Q4

YoY :

-13.45%

12.09M

Operating Profit

FY2025Q4

YoY :

-14.05%

11.63M

Net Income after Tax

FY2025Q4

YoY :

-8.33%

0.33

EPS - Diluted

FY2025Q4

YoY :

+2.39%

14.12M

Free Cash Flow

FY2025Q4

YoY :

-4.50%

52.83

Gross Profit Margin - %

FY2025Q4

YoY :

+22.13%

28.31

FCF Margin - %

FY2025Q4

YoY :

-14.73%

22.93

Net Margin - %

FY2025Q4

YoY :

-20.01%

24.98

ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

Volume

3-6

Months

0.0

Volume

6-9

Months

0.0

Volume

0-12

Months

0.0

Volume

Bought

0-3

0.0

Volume

Months

3-6

8.4K

Volume

Months

6-9

24.2K

Volume

Months

0-12

0.0

Volume

Months

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

NSSC News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-08-25 (ET)

2025-08-25

08:58:50

Napco Security announces Q4 earnings per share of 33 cents, down from 36 cents a year ago.

2025-08-25

07:04:40

Napco Security announces Q4 earnings per share of $50.72 million, up from $50.33 million last year.

2025-05-05 (ET)

2025-05-05

07:03:52

Napco Security reports Q3 EPS 28c vs. 36c last year

News

7.0

09-18Globenewswire

Former Louisiana Attorney General Continues Investigation into NAPCO Security: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Probes Officers and Directors of NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. - NSSC

8.0

09-10NASDAQ.COM

Upcoming Ex-Dividend Dates for Acadian Asset Management, NAPCO Security Technologies, and Automatic Data Processing

8.0

09-05NASDAQ.COM

Boost Yield of NSSC to 12.8% Through Options