NSSC

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc

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Advanced Chart

30.420

+0.72(2.424%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

30.435

Open

29.870

VWAP

30.24

Vol

267.37K

Mkt Cap

1.08B

Low

29.840

Amount

8.09M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

19.76

Total Shares

36.87M

995.37M

EV/OCF(TTM)

18.70

P/S(TTM)

6.18

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. is a manufacturer and designer of high-tech electronic security devices, cellular communication services for intrusion and fire alarm systems, as well as a provider of school safety solutions. It offers a diversified array of security products, encompassing access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems and video surveillance products. These products are used for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial and governmental applications, and are sold to independent distributors, dealers and installers of security equipment. It manufactures and markets various products for alarm systems, including automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panel and area detectors. Its video surveillance systems typically consist of one or more video cameras, a control panel and a video monitor or PC.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q2

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

45.60M

+6.2%

44.38M

+0.85%

44.26M

-12.06%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.45% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 33.54%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+0.45%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+33.54%

In Past 3 Month

5 Analyst Rating

-6.97% Downside

Wall Street analysts forecast NSSC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NSSC is 28.30 USD with a low forecast of 24.50 USD and a high forecast of 33.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

-6.97% Downside

Current: 30.420

Low

24.50

Averages

28.30

High

33.00

-6.97% Downside

Current: 30.420

Low

24.50

Averages

28.30

High

33.00

Mizuho

Outperform

initiated

$39

2025-07-10

Reason

Mizuho

Price Target

$39

2025-07-10

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Mizuho initiated coverage of Napco Security with an Outperform rating and $39 price target. The firm says Napco is a leading player in security with locking, alarms, and access control offerings. The company's "key differentiator" is its StarLink radio and associated services, which enables a premium margin profile, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Mizuho believes Napco's "unique" market position will benefit from a secular copper telephone wire replacement cycle.

DA Davidson

Matt Summerville

Buy

maintain

$30 -> $33

2025-06-25

Reason

DA Davidson

Matt Summerville

Price Target

$30 -> $33

2025-06-25

maintain

Buy

Reason

DA Davidson analyst Matt Summerville raised the firm's price target on Napco Security to $33 from $30 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm's recent non-deal roadshow has preserved its long-term favorable stance on the stock, with a sell-through that seems to be healthy despite some known inventory rationalization efforts continuing to take place among some of its largest distributors, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Lake Street

Jaeson Schmidt

Strong Buy

Maintains

$30 → $28

2025-03-25

Reason

Lake Street

Jaeson Schmidt

Price Target

$30 → $28

2025-03-25

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

Lake Street lowered the firm's price target on Napco Security to $28 from $30 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Napco had attributed the fiscal Q2 miss primarily to temporary headwinds at two large distributors and since that time the firm thinks the macro environment has remained soft and likely continued to create headwinds, says the analyst, who is lowering estimates to better reflect the challenging macro backdrop.

Needham

James Ricchiuti

Strong Buy

Maintains

$40 → $37

2025-03-21

Reason

Needham

James Ricchiuti

Price Target

$40 → $37

2025-03-21

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

Needham analyst James Ricchiuti lowered the firm's price target on Napco Security to $37 from $40 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is trimming its revenue and EPS estimates for Napco, even though it is less concerned about tariff headwinds for the company given that it manufactures its products in the Dominican Republic, the analyst tells investors in a research note. This puts Napco in a better position than competitors that source product from China and Mexico, Needham added, cutting its FY25 EPS view by 3c to $1.09 and its FY26 view by 6c to $1.20.

Needham

James Ricchiuti

Strong Buy

Maintains

$52 → $40

2025-02-04

Reason

Needham

James Ricchiuti

Price Target

$52 → $40

2025-02-04

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

TD Cowen

Lance Vitanza

Strong Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$46 → $27

2025-02-04

Reason

TD Cowen

Lance Vitanza

Price Target

$46 → $27

2025-02-04

Downgrades

Strong Buy

Hold

Reason

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC.O) is 26.13, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 32.21. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess NAPCO Security Technologies Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

32.21

Current PE

26.13

Overvalued PE

41.02

Undervalued PE

23.40

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

23.15

Current EV/EBITDA

0.00

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

27.77

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

18.53

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PS

5.83

Current PS

0.00

Overvalued PS

7.21

Undervalued PS

4.46

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

FY2025Q3

YoY :

-10.77%

43.96M

Total Revenue

FY2025Q3

YoY :

-23.10%

11.15M

Operating Profit

FY2025Q3

YoY :

-23.29%

10.12M

Net Income after Tax

FY2025Q3

YoY :

-22.22%

0.28

EPS - Diluted

FY2025Q3

YoY :

+11.15%

13.31M

Free Cash Flow

FY2025Q3

YoY :

+6.32%

57.16

Gross Profit Margin - %

FY2025Q3

YoY :

+22.71%

28.04

FCF Margin - %

FY2025Q3

YoY :

-14.04%

23.02

Net Margin - %

FY2025Q3

YoY :

-12.09%

27.48

ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

26.3K

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

Volume

3-6

Months

0.0

Volume

6-9

Months

0.0

Volume

0-12

Months

0.0

Volume

Bought

0-3

0.0

Volume

Months

3-6

8.4K

Volume

Months

6-9

24.2K

Volume

Months

0-12

0.0

Volume

Months

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

26.3K

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

NSSC News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-05-05 (ET)

2025-05-05

07:03:52

Napco Security reports Q3 EPS 28c vs. 36c last year

2024-11-06 (ET)

2024-11-06

06:39:20

Napco Security's locking products selected for Pasadena schools

News

7.0

07-18Globenewswire

Important Notice to Long-Term Shareholders of Centene Corporation (NYSE: CNC); DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: DV); Napco Security Technologies, Inc, (NASDAQ: NSSC); and Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (NASDAQ: TMCI); Grabar Law Office is Investigating Claims on Your Behalf

7.0

07-14Globenewswire

Important Notice to Long-Term Shareholders of Methode Electronics, Inc. (NYSE: MEI); Manhattan Associates, Inc. (NASDAQ: MANH); Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: NSSC); and Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (NASDAQ: TMCI); Grabar Law Office is Investigating Claims on Your Behalf

2.0

07-10NASDAQ.COM

NSSC Crosses Above Key Moving Average Level