NSSC Valuation

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc

Add to Watchlist

Advanced Chart

37.400

+3.76(11.177%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

NSSC Relative Valuation

NSSC's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, NSSC is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 29.07 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 32.05. The fair price of NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) is between 177.52 to 195.80 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 37.40 USD , NAPCO Security Technologies Inc is Undervalued By 78.93%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

177.52-195.80

Current Price：37.40

78.93%

Undervalued

29.07

Trailing

Forward

20.42

EV/EBITDA

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) has a current EV/EBITDA of 20.42. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 23.03. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 13.72, Undervalued between 13.72 and 18.38, Fairly Valued between 27.69 and 18.38, Overvalued between 27.69 and 32.35, and Strongly Overvalued above 32.35. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 20.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

22.56

EV/EBIT

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) has a current EV/EBIT of 22.56. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 26.28. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.42, Undervalued between 12.42 and 19.35, Fairly Valued between 33.22 and 19.35, Overvalued between 33.22 and 40.15, and Strongly Overvalued above 40.15. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 22.56 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.11

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) has a current PS of 6.11. The 5-year average PS is 5.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.14, Undervalued between 3.14 and 4.50, Fairly Valued between 7.21 and 4.50, Overvalued between 7.21 and 8.57, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.57. The current Forward PS of 6.11 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

23.52

P/OCF

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) has a current P/OCF of 23.52. The 5-year average P/OCF is 32.54. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 11.22, Undervalued between 11.22 and 21.88, Fairly Valued between 43.21 and 21.88, Overvalued between 43.21 and 53.87, and Strongly Overvalued above 53.87. The current Forward P/OCF of 23.52 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

24.86

P/FCF

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) has a current P/FCF of 24.86. The 5-year average P/FCF is 35.67. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.17, Undervalued between 9.17 and 22.42, Fairly Valued between 48.91 and 22.42, Overvalued between 48.91 and 62.16, and Strongly Overvalued above 62.16. The current Forward P/FCF of 24.86 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 7.84. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 8.21 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -4.49% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 7.77, the current P/B ratio is about 0.87% higher. NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.29%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 2.56%, the current FCF yield is approximately 67.16% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.49% , the current FCF yield is about 72.41% lower.

7.84

P/B

Median3y

8.21

Median5y

7.77

4.29

FCF Yield

Median3y

2.56

Median5y

2.49

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for NSSC's competitors is 2.06, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. NAPCO Security Technologies Inc Corp (NSSC) exhibits a P/S ratio of 6.11, which is 197.13% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 0.78%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

NSSC.O

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc

Healthcare Services Group Inc

Montrose Environmental Group Inc

CRA International Inc

1.76

9.00%

1.29B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of NSSC decreased by 18.82% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 50.33M to 50.72M.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed -4.87%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of NSSC in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

0.78%

50.33M → 50.72M

Revenue Growth

-14.73%

26.89 → 22.93

Margin Expansion

-4.87%

32.75 → 31.15

P/E Change

-18.82%