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  5. HCI
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HCI

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
236.24M
+45.94%
5.080
+1538.71%
246.23M
+13.77%
5.320
-0.56%
243.11M
+9.55%
4.870
-5.98%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.27% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 1.44%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.27%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+20.34%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+1.44%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast HCI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HCI is 221.25 USD with a low forecast of 190.00 USD and a high forecast of 255.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HCI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HCI is 221.25 USD with a low forecast of 190.00 USD and a high forecast of 255.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 173.010
sliders
Low
190.00
Averages
221.25
High
255.00
Current: 173.010
sliders
Low
190.00
Averages
221.25
High
255.00
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Outperform -> Perform
downgrade
2025-11-13
Reason
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Price Target
2025-11-13
downgrade
Outperform -> Perform
Reason
As previously reported, Oppenheimer downgraded HCI Group to Perform from Outperform. The firm notes that over the past two years, the stock is up 133% vs. the S&P's 51% and is up 59% year-to-date vs. S&P's 16%. While Oppenheimer's still holds the company and its management in high regard, it thinks certain key fundamentals have changed since its Outperform rating. Specifically, key legislative reforms initiated in 2023 have dramatically improved the Florida homeowners market, leading to a more competitive environment today, which limits organic growth opportunities over the next 18-24 months, while growth from Citizens depopulation has largely played out, all of which put more pressure on core margins.
Oppenheimer
Michael Phillips
Outperform -> Perform
downgrade
2025-11-13
Reason
Oppenheimer
Michael Phillips
Price Target
2025-11-13
downgrade
Outperform -> Perform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Michael Phillips downgraded HCI Group to Perform from Outperform.
Citizens JMP
Outperform
maintain
$225 -> $255
2025-11-10
Reason
Citizens JMP
Price Target
$225 -> $255
2025-11-10
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Citizens JMP raised the firm's price target on HCI Group to $255 from $225 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. HCI Group posted a strong quarter, and as the business has scaled and profitability has improved, the volatility from storm activity has been substantially reduced, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the shares remain significantly undervalued.
Truist
Buy
maintain
$190 -> $234
2025-11-09
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$190 -> $234
2025-11-09
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist raised the firm's price target on HCI Group (HCI) to $234 from $190 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm cites the company's reported Q3 upside along with lower assumed losses, offset by slight dilution from the Exzeo (XZO) IPO, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Compass Point
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$148 -> $205
2025-05-30
Reason
Compass Point
Price Target
$148 -> $205
2025-05-30
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
Compass Point upgraded HCI Group to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $205, up from $148.
Citizens JMP
Outperform
maintain
$210 -> $225
2025-05-19
Reason
Citizens JMP
Price Target
$210 -> $225
2025-05-19
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Citizens JMP raised the firm's price target on HCI Group to $225 from $210 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm walked away from spending time with management last week with a continued high degree of confidence in the legacy HCI and the soon-to-be-spun-off Exzeo businesses long-term, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Citizens continues to view shares of HCI as undervalued.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Hci Group Inc (HCI.N) is 10.09, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -61.88. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Hci Group Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PE
-61.88
Current PE
10.09
Overvalued PE
278.18
Undervalued PE
-401.95

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-756.69
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
1065.34
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
-2578.72

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
1.43
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
1.97
Undervalued PS
0.89
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Net Margin - %

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds areBuying! The buying amount has increased 2084.66% over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Financial AI Agent
Financial AI Agent

HCI News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-06
16:30:19
HCI Group announces Q3 diluted earnings per share of $4.90, surpassing consensus estimate of $2.81.
select
2025-11-05 (ET)
2025-11-05
10:30:15
Exzeo Debuts at $21, IPO Set at $21 per Share
select
2025-11-05
10:23:17
Exzeo Set to Launch with Opening Price Between $22 and $24, IPO Valued at $21
select
Sign Up For More Events
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News

[object Object]
Preview
4.0
11-26NASDAQ.COM
Daily Upgrade Report for Validea's John Neff Strategy - November 26, 2025
  • Validea's Low PE Investor Model: Today's upgrades for Validea's Low PE Investor model, based on John Neff's strategy, highlight stocks like HCI Group Inc., SLR Investment Corp., Ellington Financial Inc., Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc., and First Business Financial Services Inc., with ratings improving significantly due to strong fundamentals and valuations.

  • HCI Group Inc. Overview: HCI Group Inc. operates in the property and casualty insurance sector and has seen its rating rise from 62% to 81%, indicating strong interest based on its financial performance and stock valuation.

  • SLR Investment Corp. Overview: SLR Investment Corp., a small-cap value stock in the financial services industry, improved its rating from 58% to 77%, reflecting positive changes in its underlying fundamentals and valuation metrics.

  • John Neff's Investment Legacy: John Neff, known for his conservative investment approach, achieved remarkable returns during his tenure managing the Windsor Fund, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which underscores the effectiveness of his investment strategies.

[object Object]
Preview
8.5
11-20Reuters
Insurance IPOs Reach Highest Level in 20 Years on Wall Street Following Tariff-Induced Turmoil
  • Surge in Insurance IPOs: Insurance companies have seen a significant increase in initial public offerings (IPOs) this year, reaching a 20-year high, as investors seek stability amid economic volatility caused by trade wars and inflation.

  • Strong Performance and Investor Interest: U.S.-listed insurance IPOs have collectively raised $2.64 billion, with companies like American Integrity and Aspen Insurance performing well post-debut, indicating strong investor interest in the sector.

  • Future Outlook for Insurance IPOs: Despite concerns over pricing pressures and claims, the insurance industry is expected to continue attracting investors, with a pipeline of companies ready to go public, particularly those backed by private equity firms.

  • Impact of Government Shutdown: The recent U.S. government shutdown has caused delays in the IPO process, which may affect the number of listings in 2025, pushing momentum into the first half of 2026.

[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-19NASDAQ.COM
Upcoming Ex-Dividend Dates for WaFd, Dynex Capital, and HCI Group
  • Upcoming Ex-Dividend Dates: On 11/21/25, WaFd Inc, Dynex Capital Inc, and HCI Group Inc will trade ex-dividend, with respective dividends of $0.27, $0.17, and $0.40 scheduled for payment on 12/5/25, 12/1/25, and 12/19/25.

  • Expected Price Adjustments: Following the ex-dividend dates, shares of WaFd Inc, Dynex Capital Inc, and HCI Group Inc are expected to open lower by approximately 0.88%, 1.26%, and 0.23%, respectively.

  • Dividend Yields: The estimated annualized yields for the companies are 3.52% for WaFd Inc, 15.10% for Dynex Capital Inc, and 0.92% for HCI Group Inc, indicating varying levels of dividend stability.

  • Current Trading Performance: As of Wednesday trading, shares of WaFd Inc, Dynex Capital Inc, and HCI Group Inc have seen slight increases of about 3.2%, 0.1%, and 0.3%, respectively.

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FAQ

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What is Hci Group Inc (HCI) stock price today?

The current price of HCI is 173.01 USD — it has decreased -3.7 % in the last trading day.

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What is Hci Group Inc (HCI)'s business?

HCI Group, Inc. is a holding company engaged in property and casualty insurance, information technology services, insurance management, real estate and reinsurance. It operates through two operating units. The Company operates through five segments: insurance operations, Exzeo Group, reciprocal exchange operations, real estate operations, and corporate and other. Its insurance business includes property and casualty insurance division and reinsurance operations, excluding the insurance operations under reciprocal exchange operations. The Exzeo Group segment includes insurance solutions, information technology operations, and its management company’s activities. The reciprocal exchange segment represents the insurance operations of CORE and Tailrow, consolidated VIEs. The real estate operations segment includes companies engaged in operating commercial properties the Company owns for investment purposes or for use in its own operations.

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What is the price predicton of HCI Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast HCI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HCI is 221.25 USD with a low forecast of 190.00 USD and a high forecast of 255.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Hci Group Inc (HCI)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Hci Group Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 215.14M USD, increased 23.17 % YoY.

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What is Hci Group Inc (HCI)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Hci Group Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 4.90 USD, increased 842.31 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Hci Group Inc (HCI)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.27% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 1.44%.
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How many employees does Hci Group Inc (HCI). have?

Hci Group Inc (HCI) has 552 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Hci Group Inc (HCI) market cap?

Today HCI has the market capitalization of 2.24B USD.

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