GEO Stock: Price, Forecast, Financials & AI Analysis

High

Open

VWAP

Vol

Mkt Cap

Low

Amount

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

Total Shares

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2026Q1

FY2026Q2

667.23M

+9.79%

0.233

+111.36%

694.30M

+14.83%

0.243

+73.81%

733.65M

+15.32%

0.300

+42.86%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.4% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -4.11%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.4%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+32.01%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-4.11%

In Past 3 Month

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEO is 34.00 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 37.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 0.000

Low

30.00

Averages

34.00

High

37.00

Current: 0.000

Low

30.00

Averages

34.00

High

37.00

JonesResearch

Buy

downgrade

$50 -> $37

2025-11-07

Reason

JonesResearch

Price Target

$50 -> $37

2025-11-07

downgrade

Buy

Reason

JonesResearch lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $37 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The pathway toward $3B+ in annualized revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring has begun tot show for FY26, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm revised its estimates downward, however, to account for slower-than-expected growth, but noted that it remains bullish on all segments of GEO, in particular the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program opportunity.

JonesResearch

Jason Weaver

Buy

maintain

$50 -> $45

2025-08-07

Reason

JonesResearch

Jason Weaver

Price Target

$50 -> $45

2025-08-07

maintain

Buy

Reason

JonesResearch analyst Jason Weaver lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $45 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the Q2 report the Q2 beat. The firm cites alternatives to detention growth for the target cut. Geo's Intensive Supervision Appearance Program commentary disappointed, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Texas Capital

Raj Sharma

Buy

initiated

$30

2025-06-30

Reason

Texas Capital

Raj Sharma

Price Target

$30

2025-06-30

initiated

Buy

Reason

Texas Capital analyst Raj Sharma initiated coverage of Geo Group with a Buy rating and $30 price target.

Texas Capital

NULL -> Buy

initiated

$30

2025-06-30

Reason

Texas Capital

Price Target

$30

2025-06-30

initiated

NULL -> Buy

Reason

Texas Capital initiated coverage of Geo Group with a Buy rating and $30 price target. The company is the largest private prison and immigrant monitoring company in the U.S., and the Trump election victory has made it even more certain that the Administration will carry through on its commitment to increase funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement monitoring, the analyst tells investors in a research note. With substantial interest in expanding monitoring use in immigration enforcement, Geo faces a huge opportunity to increase revenues and expand margins, the firm added.

Wedbush

Outperform

NULL

downgrade

$46 -> $36

2025-05-08

Reason

Wedbush

Price Target

$46 -> $36

2025-05-08

downgrade

Outperform

NULL

Reason

Wedbush lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $36 from $46 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm explains that when it raised its price target in January 2025, Wedbush put its Geo valuation at the highest level it had traded in the pre-COVID years. The firm's decision to move to that valuation was based on its "erroneous view" that ATD/ISAP monitoring would ramp back to the previous highs fairly quickly after Trump's inauguration. Since that has not happened and since the Trump Administration appears more intent on incarceration than monitoring for now, Wedbush is lowering its valuation to a 12.5-turns FY26 EV/AEBITDA multiple.

Jones Trading

Matthew Erdner

Strong Buy

Reiterates

$55

2025-03-21

Reason

Jones Trading

Matthew Erdner

Price Target

$55

2025-03-21

Reiterates

Strong Buy

Reason

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Geo Group Inc (GEO.N) is 14.03, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.01. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Geo Group Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PE

13.01

Current PE

14.03

Overvalued PE

19.59

Undervalued PE

6.42

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

7.49

Current EV/EBITDA

6.96

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

8.92

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

6.06

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PS

0.64

Current PS

0.76

Overvalued PS

1.01

Undervalued PS

0.28

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

N/A

Total Revenue

N/A

Operating Profit

N/A

Net Income after Tax

N/A

EPS - Diluted

N/A

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Gross Profit Margin - %

N/A

FCF Margin - %

N/A

Net Margin - %

N/A

ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.

Sold

Bought

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

GEO News & Events

Events Timeline

No data

News

8.0

01-09NASDAQ.COM

GEO Group Sees Options Trading Volume of 8,968 Contracts, 52% of Daily Average

5.0

2025-12-29NASDAQ.COM

Shay Capital Reduces GEO Group Holdings by 927,016 Shares, Valuation Drops by $22.75 Million

5.0

2025-12-29Fool

Shay Capital Reduces GEO Group Stake by $22.75 Million

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) stock price today?

The current price of GEO is 17.5 USD — it has increased 4.54 % in the last trading day.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s business?

The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.

What is the price predicton of GEO Stock?

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 682.34M USD, increased 13.13 % YoY.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 1.24 USD, increased 552.63 % YoY.

What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s fundamentals?

How many employees does Geo Group Inc (GEO). have?

Geo Group Inc (GEO) has 16500 emplpoyees as of January 10 2026.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) market cap?

Today GEO has the market capitalization of 2.44B USD.