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  3. GEO
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GEO

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
667.23M
+9.79%
0.233
+111.36%
694.30M
+14.83%
0.243
+73.81%
733.65M
+15.32%
0.300
+42.86%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.4% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -16.82%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.4%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+40.67%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-16.82%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEO is 34.00 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 37.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEO is 34.00 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 37.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 17.160
sliders
Low
30.00
Averages
34.00
High
37.00
Current: 17.160
sliders
Low
30.00
Averages
34.00
High
37.00
JonesResearch
Buy
downgrade
$50 -> $37
2025-11-07
Reason
JonesResearch
Price Target
$50 -> $37
2025-11-07
downgrade
Buy
Reason
JonesResearch lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $37 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The pathway toward $3B+ in annualized revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring has begun tot show for FY26, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm revised its estimates downward, however, to account for slower-than-expected growth, but noted that it remains bullish on all segments of GEO, in particular the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program opportunity.
JonesResearch
Jason Weaver
Buy
maintain
$50 -> $45
2025-08-07
Reason
JonesResearch
Jason Weaver
Price Target
$50 -> $45
2025-08-07
maintain
Buy
Reason
JonesResearch analyst Jason Weaver lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $45 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the Q2 report the Q2 beat. The firm cites alternatives to detention growth for the target cut. Geo's Intensive Supervision Appearance Program commentary disappointed, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Texas Capital
Raj Sharma
Buy
initiated
$30
2025-06-30
Reason
Texas Capital
Raj Sharma
Price Target
$30
2025-06-30
initiated
Buy
Reason
Texas Capital analyst Raj Sharma initiated coverage of Geo Group with a Buy rating and $30 price target.
Texas Capital
NULL -> Buy
initiated
$30
2025-06-30
Reason
Texas Capital
Price Target
$30
2025-06-30
initiated
NULL -> Buy
Reason
Texas Capital initiated coverage of Geo Group with a Buy rating and $30 price target. The company is the largest private prison and immigrant monitoring company in the U.S., and the Trump election victory has made it even more certain that the Administration will carry through on its commitment to increase funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement monitoring, the analyst tells investors in a research note. With substantial interest in expanding monitoring use in immigration enforcement, Geo faces a huge opportunity to increase revenues and expand margins, the firm added.
Wedbush
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$46 -> $36
2025-05-08
Reason
Wedbush
Price Target
$46 -> $36
2025-05-08
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Jones Trading
Matthew Erdner
Strong Buy
Reiterates
$55
2025-03-21
Reason
Jones Trading
Matthew Erdner
Price Target
$55
2025-03-21
Reiterates
Strong Buy
Reason
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Geo Group Inc (GEO.N) is 15.11, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.92. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Geo Group Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
12.92
Current PE
15.11
Overvalued PE
19.50
Undervalued PE
6.33

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.53
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
8.99
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
6.08

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
0.64
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
1.00
Undervalued PS
0.28
Financial AI Agent
Financial AI Agent

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
AI Stock Picker
AI Stock Picker

GEO News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-06
06:17:00
Geo Group revises 2025 adjusted EPS forecast to 84c-87c, down from 84c-94c; consensus remains at 91c.
select
2025-11-06
06:15:09
Geo Group projects Q4 GAAP EPS between 23c and 27c, below consensus of 31c
select
2025-11-06
06:14:09
Geo Group announces Q3 adjusted earnings per share of 25 cents, surpassing consensus estimate of 23 cents.
select
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events

News

[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-14NASDAQ.COM
Significant Options Activity on Thursday: LYFT, AMKR, GEO

  • Amkor Technology Options Trading: Amkor Technology Inc. (AMKR) experienced a significant options trading volume of 20,311 contracts, with a notable focus on the $24.59 strike put option expiring January 16, 2026, which saw 14,110 contracts traded.

  • GEO Group Options Trading: GEO Group Inc. (GEO) had an options trading volume of 11,157 contracts, particularly highlighting the $28 strike call option expiring April 17, 2026, with 4,906 contracts traded.

  • Trading Volume Context: The options trading volumes for both companies represented over 50% of their average daily trading volumes over the past month, indicating heightened investor interest.

  • Further Information: For more details on available options expirations for LYFT, AMKR, or GEO, resources can be found at StockOptionsChannel.com.

[object Object]
Preview
4.0
11-08Benzinga
Jones Trading Reaffirms Buy Rating on GEO Group, Adjusts Price Target to $37

  • Real-time Intelligence: Benzinga Pro offers the fastest news alerts for traders, helping them stay informed and make timely decisions in the stock market.

  • Exclusive Content: The platform provides exclusive stories and insights generated by Benzinga reporters, enhancing the trading experience for its users.

  • Community Engagement: Over 10,000 serious traders are part of the Benzinga Pro community, indicating a robust network for sharing market intelligence.

  • Market Winning Tools: Benzinga Pro is designed to equip traders with the tools and information necessary to succeed in the markets daily.

[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-06NASDAQ.COM
GEO Group Increases Share Buyback Authorization to $500 Million

  • Share Repurchase Authorization: The GEO Group, Inc. has increased its share repurchase authorization to $500 million and extended the program's expiration date to December 31, 2029.

  • Current Repurchase Status: The company currently has approximately $458.4 million available under the share repurchase program.

  • Stock Performance: In pre-market trading, GEO's stock is priced at $17, reflecting a 1.13 percent increase on the New York Stock Exchange.

  • Disclaimer: The views expressed in the report are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.

Sign Up For More News

People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) stock price today?

The current price of GEO is 17.16 USD — it has increased 0.35 % in the last trading day.

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What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s business?

The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.

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What is the price predicton of GEO Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEO is 34.00 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 37.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 682.34M USD, increased 13.13 % YoY.

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What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 1.24 USD, increased 552.63 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.4% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -16.82%.
arrow icon

How many employees does Geo Group Inc (GEO). have?

Geo Group Inc (GEO) has 16500 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) market cap?

Today GEO has the market capitalization of 2.39B USD.

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