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GEO Overview

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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close
0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
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0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close
0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
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Intellectia

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High
17.030
Open
16.510
VWAP
16.76
Vol
2.12M
Mkt Cap
2.17B
Low
16.440
Amount
35.47M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
8.64
Total Shares
132.71M
EV
3.75B
EV/OCF(TTM)
51.59
P/S(TTM)
0.87
The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.
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Events Timeline

(ET)
2026-03-23
10:40:00
House Oversight Committee Investigates Former DHS Secretary's Aide
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link
2026-03-06 (ET)
2026-03-06
07:10:00
GXO Logistics Appoints Mark Suchinski as CFO
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2026-03-05 (ET)
2026-03-05
16:30:00
GEO Group CFO Resigns, Shayn March Appointed Successor
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2026-02-20 (ET)
2026-02-20
10:20:00
Geo Group Shares Drop 18.2% to $12.53
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2026-02-13 (ET)
2026-02-13
12:30:00
Immigration and Customs Enforcement Plans to Spend $38.3B to Retrofit Detention Centers
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link
2026-02-12 (ET)
2026-02-12
10:10:00
Geo Group Shares Drop 17.9% to $13.00
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2026-02-12
06:10:00
Sees 2026 Revenue of $2.9B to $3.1B
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News

Yahoo Finance
7.0
03-29Yahoo Finance
Supreme Court to Hear Landmark Birthright Citizenship Case
  • Legal Challenge Intensifies: The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on President Trump's executive order to end birthright citizenship this Wednesday, marking one of the most significant constitutional challenges of the 2026 term that could affect millions of children born in the U.S.
  • Core Constitutional Dispute: The case centers on the Citizenship Clause of the 14th Amendment, which states that 'all persons born or naturalized in the United States are citizens,' while the Trump administration seeks to adopt a narrower 'jurisdictional' theory that would exclude children of those without legal status.
  • Market and Policy Implications: A ruling in favor of Trump's policy could create immediate administrative and economic ripple effects, impacting areas such as healthcare eligibility and future labor force projections, potentially leading to significant adjustments in social service systems.
  • Political and Judicial Independence: The timing of the case is sensitive, as Trump has escalated his criticism of the judiciary, and legal analysts suggest this case could serve as a political tool for him, potentially resulting in a landmark victory for his immigration agenda or framing the conservative-led court as an obstacle to his domestic security goals.
seekingalpha
5.0
03-24seekingalpha
Markwayne Mullin Confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security
  • Confirmation Appointment: The Senate confirmed Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security with a 54-45 vote, marking a strong stance on immigration policy under the Trump administration, with Mullin, a first-term Republican senator, tasked with enforcing immigration crackdowns.
  • Funding Crisis: The Department of Homeland Security faces a partial shutdown due to immigration enforcement errors that have stripped funding from much of its operations, despite its critical role in Trump's immigration plans, highlighting the complexities and challenges of policy implementation.
  • Investigation Initiated: Democrats on the House Oversight Committee have launched a new inquiry into Corey Lewandowski, the top aide to former Secretary Kristi Noem, seeking details from Geo Group, the largest private prison company in the U.S., about meetings and discussions with Lewandowski, reflecting ongoing scrutiny of immigration policy execution.
  • Political Impact: Mullin's appointment and the funding crisis at the Department of Homeland Security may affect the enforcement of Trump's immigration policies, further exacerbating tensions between parties and potentially having far-reaching implications for future legislation and policy direction.
seekingalpha
7.0
03-23seekingalpha
House Oversight Committee Launches Inquiry into GEO Group's Corey Lewandowski
  • Inquiry Initiated: The House Oversight Committee has launched a new inquiry into Corey Lewandowski, requesting GEO Group to provide details of meetings he had after Trump's election, highlighting increased regulatory scrutiny on the private prison industry.
  • Stock Fluctuations: GEO Group's stock rose 4.5% to $17.17 in Monday trading, reflecting market optimism about potential future contracts, despite recent contract reductions raising investor concerns.
  • Contract Disputes: After Trump's election, GEO's stock surged to $35.05 but fell to $16.43 due to contracts not meeting expectations, illustrating the company's high sensitivity to government policy changes and their direct impact on stock performance.
  • Conflict of Interest Allegations: Interactions between GEO Group and senior officials in Trump's inner circle have raised concerns about Lewandowski potentially profiting from DHS contracts, further intensifying scrutiny on the company's governance and compliance practices.
Marketbeat
3.0
03-23Marketbeat
GEO Group: A Risky Investment with Significant Reward Possibilities
  • Company Overview: GEO Group operates in government contracting, immigration enforcement, and politics, focusing on secure facilities and community reentry centers across multiple countries, generating significant revenue primarily from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).

  • Stock Performance: GEO's stock has seen a substantial decline of nearly 48% since its post-election highs, with analysts maintaining a bullish outlook despite recent controversies and policy shifts affecting its operations.

  • Risks and Challenges: The company faces significant risks, including policy dependency, litigation exposure, and challenges in securing financing due to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns, which could impact its future earnings.

  • Market Position and Future Outlook: Despite current challenges, GEO is strategically positioned to capitalize on government detention needs, with potential revenue growth from managing idle beds and adapting to policy changes that may reshape its business model.

Yahoo Finance
9.5
03-11Yahoo Finance
Geox SpA Reports 2025 Financial Results with Mixed Outcomes
  • Sales Decline: Geox SpA reported sales of EUR 608.7 million for 2025, an 8.3% year-over-year decline primarily due to the winding down of operations in China and the U.S., necessitating a reassessment of market strategies to address future challenges.
  • Reduced Net Loss: The company successfully decreased its net loss from EUR 30.3 million in 2024 to EUR 16.2 million in 2025, demonstrating effective cost control and improved operational efficiency, which lays a foundation for future profitability.
  • Bank Debt Reduction: Geox SpA reduced its bank debt by over EUR 10 million to EUR 92.6 million, a move that not only alleviates financial burdens but also enhances the company's financial flexibility, aiding future investments and expansions.
  • Retail and Wholesale Sales Decline: Wholesale sales fell by EUR 17.9 million, while retail sales decreased by 3.3% year-over-year, reflecting the negative impact of the overall economic environment on consumer spending, compelling the company to adjust its marketing and product strategies to regain growth.
Fool
6.5
03-10Fool
Apis Capital Fully Exits GEO Group Position
  • Complete Exit: Apis Capital fully exited its position in GEO Group by selling 860,000 shares in Q4 2025 for approximately $17.62 million, reducing its stake from 3.9% to zero, indicating a pessimistic outlook on the company's future prospects.
  • Poor Stock Performance: As of February 17, 2026, GEO Group's shares were priced at $14.58, reflecting a 46.8% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 58.4 percentage points, raising concerns about its financial health.
  • Deteriorating Financials: The company's free cash flow has plummeted from a three-year high of $212 million to -$125 million, coupled with over $1.6 billion in debt, presenting a substantial risk to investors due to this troubling financial combination.
  • Declining Operating Margin: GEO Group's operating margin has decreased from 16.2% three years ago to 11.4% recently, indicating challenges in operational efficiency and profitability that could impact its competitive position in the market.
Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 0.000
sliders
Low
30.00
Averages
32.50
High
35.00
Current: 0.000
sliders
Low
30.00
Averages
32.50
High
35.00
Noble Capital
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$35 -> $28
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
Reason
Noble Capital
Price Target
$35 -> $28
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Noble Capital lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $28 from $35 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm is lowering its price target to reflect slower than anticipated growth after the company reported Q4 results and gave 2026 guidance.
JonesResearch
Buy
downgrade
$37 -> $33
2026-02-13
Reason
JonesResearch
Price Target
$37 -> $33
2026-02-13
downgrade
Buy
Reason
JonesResearch lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $33 from $37 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm remains bullish on all segments, in particular the ISAP opportunity, but notes that the ISAP ramp may continue to face headwinds until 100,000 detention capacity is full.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for GEO
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Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Geo Group Inc (GEO.N) is 14.03, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.10. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Geo Group Inc's fair value, Click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PE
13.10
Current PE
14.03
Overvalued PE
19.82
Undervalued PE
6.39

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.45
Current EV/EBITDA
6.96
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
8.91
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
6.00

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PS
0.65
Current PS
0.76
Overvalued PS
1.02
Undervalued PS
0.29

Financials

AI Analysis
Annual
Quarterly

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Whales Holding GEO

C
Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC
Holding
GEO
+12.01%
3M Return
R
Rubric Capital Management LP
Holding
GEO
-1.10%
3M Return
P
Pentwater Capital Management LP
Holding
GEO
-4.75%
3M Return
D
Discovery Capital Management, LLC
Holding
GEO
-11.77%
3M Return

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) stock price today?

The current price of GEO is 16.81 USD — it has increased 3

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s business?

The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.

What is the price predicton of GEO Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEO is32.50 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 35.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 707.70M USD, increased 16.45

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.23 USD, increased 109.09

How many employees does Geo Group Inc (GEO). have?

Geo Group Inc (GEO) has 18000 emplpoyees as of March 31 2026.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) market cap?

Today GEO has the market capitalization of 2.17B USD.