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GEO Overview

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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close
0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close
0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Loading chart...

High
22.170
Open
21.195
VWAP
21.59
Vol
2.91M
Mkt Cap
2.91B
Low
20.830
Amount
62.80M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
9.52
Total Shares
133.62M
EV
4.42B
EV/OCF(TTM)
27.97
P/S(TTM)
1.10
The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.
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Events Timeline

(ET)
2026-05-06
06:20:00
Sees Q2 Revenue of $715M-$725M
select
2026-05-06
06:20:00
Sees 2026 Revenue of $2.95B to $3.10B
select
2026-05-06
06:10:00
Company Reports Q1 Revenue of $705.2M Exceeding Expectations
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2026-03-23 (ET)
2026-03-23
10:40:00
House Oversight Committee Investigates Former DHS Secretary's Aide
select
link
2026-03-06 (ET)
2026-03-06
07:10:00
GXO Logistics Appoints Mark Suchinski as CFO
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2026-03-05 (ET)
2026-03-05
16:30:00
GEO Group CFO Resigns, Shayn March Appointed Successor
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2026-02-20 (ET)
2026-02-20
10:20:00
Geo Group Shares Drop 18.2% to $12.53
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2026-02-13 (ET)
2026-02-13
12:30:00
Immigration and Customs Enforcement Plans to Spend $38.3B to Retrofit Detention Centers
select
link

News

seekingalpha
9.5
05-06seekingalpha
GEO Group Q1 Earnings Exceed Expectations and Raise FY Guidance
  • Earnings Beat: GEO Group reported an adjusted net income of $0.29 per diluted share for Q1, significantly up from $0.14 in the same quarter of 2025, surpassing the market expectation of $0.20, indicating a strong improvement in profitability.
  • Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $705.21 million in Q1, a 16.6% increase from $604.65 million year-over-year, primarily driven by new contracts signed in 2025, reflecting robust market performance.
  • Guidance Upgrade: GEO Group narrowed its 2026 revenue guidance to $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion from the previous range of $2.90 billion to $3.10 billion, while raising its full-year GAAP EPS guidance to $1.15 to $1.25, demonstrating confidence in future performance.
  • EBITDA Increase: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $131.41 million from $99.77 million, indicating successful cost control measures and further strengthening the company's financial health.
seekingalpha
9.5
05-06seekingalpha
GEO Group Q1 2026 Earnings Exceed Expectations
  • Earnings Beat: GEO Group reported a Q1 2026 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.29, exceeding expectations by $0.09, indicating a significant improvement in profitability.
  • Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $705.2 million in Q1, a 16.6% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $16.71 million, reflecting strong growth from contracts signed in 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Increase: The Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA reached $131.4 million, a 32% increase from $99.8 million in Q1 2025, demonstrating improved operational efficiency.
  • Upgraded Financial Guidance: GEO raised its full-year 2026 net income guidance to between $153 million and $166 million, with Adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $525 million to $545 million, showcasing confidence in future performance.
moomoo
7.0
05-06moomoo
GEO Group Stock Soars 25% in Pre-Market Trading Following Increased Annual Profit Outlook
  • Company Performance: Geogroup shares jumped 25% in pre-market trading following a positive annual profit forecast.
  • Market Reaction: The significant increase in share price indicates strong investor confidence in the company's future profitability.
seekingalpha
9.5
05-05seekingalpha
GEO Group Q1 Earnings Announcement Scheduled
  • Earnings Release Date: GEO Group is set to announce its Q1 earnings on May 6 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.20, reflecting a 42.9% year-over-year increase, which could positively influence investor sentiment.
  • Revenue Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q1 stands at $688.49 million, representing a 13.9% year-over-year growth, and achieving this target would further solidify the company's market position, especially in light of new ICE contracts driving growth.
  • Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, GEO has exceeded EPS estimates 38% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, indicating a degree of stability in its financial performance.
  • Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates saw no upward revisions but three downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision and two downward adjustments, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
Yahoo Finance
7.0
03-29Yahoo Finance
Supreme Court to Hear Landmark Birthright Citizenship Case
  • Legal Challenge Intensifies: The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on President Trump's executive order to end birthright citizenship this Wednesday, marking one of the most significant constitutional challenges of the 2026 term that could affect millions of children born in the U.S.
  • Core Constitutional Dispute: The case centers on the Citizenship Clause of the 14th Amendment, which states that 'all persons born or naturalized in the United States are citizens,' while the Trump administration seeks to adopt a narrower 'jurisdictional' theory that would exclude children of those without legal status.
  • Market and Policy Implications: A ruling in favor of Trump's policy could create immediate administrative and economic ripple effects, impacting areas such as healthcare eligibility and future labor force projections, potentially leading to significant adjustments in social service systems.
  • Political and Judicial Independence: The timing of the case is sensitive, as Trump has escalated his criticism of the judiciary, and legal analysts suggest this case could serve as a political tool for him, potentially resulting in a landmark victory for his immigration agenda or framing the conservative-led court as an obstacle to his domestic security goals.
seekingalpha
5.0
03-24seekingalpha
Markwayne Mullin Confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security
  • Confirmation Appointment: The Senate confirmed Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security with a 54-45 vote, marking a strong stance on immigration policy under the Trump administration, with Mullin, a first-term Republican senator, tasked with enforcing immigration crackdowns.
  • Funding Crisis: The Department of Homeland Security faces a partial shutdown due to immigration enforcement errors that have stripped funding from much of its operations, despite its critical role in Trump's immigration plans, highlighting the complexities and challenges of policy implementation.
  • Investigation Initiated: Democrats on the House Oversight Committee have launched a new inquiry into Corey Lewandowski, the top aide to former Secretary Kristi Noem, seeking details from Geo Group, the largest private prison company in the U.S., about meetings and discussions with Lewandowski, reflecting ongoing scrutiny of immigration policy execution.
  • Political Impact: Mullin's appointment and the funding crisis at the Department of Homeland Security may affect the enforcement of Trump's immigration policies, further exacerbating tensions between parties and potentially having far-reaching implications for future legislation and policy direction.
Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 0.000
sliders
Low
30.00
Averages
32.50
High
35.00
Current: 0.000
sliders
Low
30.00
Averages
32.50
High
35.00
Noble Capital
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$35 -> $28
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
Reason
Noble Capital
Price Target
$35 -> $28
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Noble Capital lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $28 from $35 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm is lowering its price target to reflect slower than anticipated growth after the company reported Q4 results and gave 2026 guidance.
JonesResearch
Buy
downgrade
$37 -> $33
2026-02-13
Reason
JonesResearch
Price Target
$37 -> $33
2026-02-13
downgrade
Buy
Reason
JonesResearch lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $33 from $37 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm remains bullish on all segments, in particular the ISAP opportunity, but notes that the ISAP ramp may continue to face headwinds until 100,000 detention capacity is full.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for GEO
Unlock Now

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Geo Group Inc (GEO.N) is 21.37, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.75. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Geo Group Inc's fair value, Click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PE
13.75
Current PE
21.37
Overvalued PE
20.69
Undervalued PE
6.81

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.33
Current EV/EBITDA
8.29
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
8.79
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
5.87

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PS
0.66
Current PS
0.90
Overvalued PS
1.02
Undervalued PS
0.31

Financials

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Whales Holding GEO

D
Discovery Capital Management, LLC
Holding
GEO
+5.08%
3M Return
C
Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC
Holding
GEO
+5.07%
3M Return
R
Rubric Capital Management LP
Holding
GEO
+4.35%
3M Return
P
Pentwater Capital Management LP
Holding
GEO
+2.86%
3M Return

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) stock price today?

The current price of GEO is 21.76 USD — it has increased 2.54

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s business?

The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.

What is the price predicton of GEO Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEO is32.50 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 35.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 705.21M USD, increased 16.63

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.29 USD, increased 107.14

How many employees does Geo Group Inc (GEO). have?

Geo Group Inc (GEO) has 18000 emplpoyees as of May 11 2026.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) market cap?

Today GEO has the market capitalization of 2.91B USD.