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GEO Overview

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ET
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0.000
0.000(0.000%)
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ET
OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

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High
14.470
Open
13.550
VWAP
13.94
Vol
3.49M
Mkt Cap
1.89B
Low
13.280
Amount
48.72M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
8.01
Total Shares
134.36M
EV
3.47B
EV/OCF(TTM)
47.81
P/S(TTM)
0.75
The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.
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Events Timeline

(ET)
2026-03-06
07:10:00
GXO Logistics Appoints Mark Suchinski as CFO
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2026-03-05 (ET)
2026-03-05
16:30:00
GEO Group CFO Resigns, Shayn March Appointed Successor
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2026-02-20 (ET)
2026-02-20
10:20:00
Geo Group Shares Drop 18.2% to $12.53
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2026-02-13 (ET)
2026-02-13
12:30:00
Immigration and Customs Enforcement Plans to Spend $38.3B to Retrofit Detention Centers
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link
2026-02-12 (ET)
2026-02-12
10:10:00
Geo Group Shares Drop 17.9% to $13.00
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2026-02-12
06:10:00
Company Reports Q4 Revenue of $707.7M Exceeding Expectations
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2026-02-12
06:10:00
Sees 2026 Revenue of $2.9B to $3.1B
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News

Fool
6.5
03-10Fool
Apis Capital Fully Exits GEO Group Position
  • Complete Exit: Apis Capital fully exited its position in GEO Group by selling 860,000 shares in Q4 2025 for approximately $17.62 million, reducing its stake from 3.9% to zero, indicating a pessimistic outlook on the company's future prospects.
  • Poor Stock Performance: As of February 17, 2026, GEO Group's shares were priced at $14.58, reflecting a 46.8% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 58.4 percentage points, raising concerns about its financial health.
  • Deteriorating Financials: The company's free cash flow has plummeted from a three-year high of $212 million to -$125 million, coupled with over $1.6 billion in debt, presenting a substantial risk to investors due to this troubling financial combination.
  • Declining Operating Margin: GEO Group's operating margin has decreased from 16.2% three years ago to 11.4% recently, indicating challenges in operational efficiency and profitability that could impact its competitive position in the market.
seekingalpha
5.0
03-05seekingalpha
GEO Group CFO Transition and Future Outlook
  • Executive Transition: GEO Group announced that CFO Mark Suchinski will leave the company effective March 31, 2026, with current EVP of Finance Shayn March set to take over on April 1, 2026, ensuring continuity and stability in financial management.
  • Revenue Target: The company has outlined a revenue target of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion for 2026, driven by new ICE contracts that are expected to propel record growth, highlighting its sensitivity and adaptability to policy dynamics.
  • Market Sentiment: Despite the high sensitivity to policy changes, the market remains optimistic about GEO Group's potential paths to rebound, indicating investor confidence in the company's strategic adjustments.
  • Uncertainty Factors: The backlash against deportation policies introduces fresh uncertainties for DHS contractors, which could impact GEO Group's operational environment and future contract acquisitions.
Newsfilter
5.0
03-05Newsfilter
GEO Group Announces CFO Departure and Successor Appointment
  • CFO Departure Announcement: GEO Group's CFO Mark Suchinski has notified the company of his decision to leave effective March 31, 2026, to pursue a position in another industry, which may impact the continuity of the company's financial strategy.
  • New CFO Appointment: Shayn March has been appointed as the new CFO effective April 1, 2026, bringing 17 years of experience at GEO, which positions him well to support the company's future growth.
  • Management Welcomes New CFO: Chairman and CEO George C. Zoley expressed confidence in Shayn's appointment, highlighting the potential for significant growth opportunities and enhanced shareholder value, reflecting the company's optimistic outlook.
  • Company Overview: GEO Group is a leading diversified government service provider with approximately 75,000 beds across 95 facilities and a workforce of nearly 20,000, focusing on design and support services for secure facilities and community reentry centers.
Yahoo Finance
6.0
02-27Yahoo Finance
GEO Group Price Target Downgrade Analysis
  • Price Target Adjustment: Noble Capital lowered its price target for GEO Group from $35 to $28 while maintaining an Outperform rating, reflecting expectations of slower growth post-earnings report, which may impact investor confidence.
  • Financial Performance: In its fiscal Q4 report for 2025, GEO Group reported total revenues of $707.7 million and a net income of $31.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA at $126 million, indicating stability in revenue and profitability but raising concerns about future growth potential.
  • Market Outlook: JonesResearch also cut its price target from $37 to $33 while maintaining a Buy rating, suggesting optimism across all segments, particularly the ISAP opportunity, although challenges are anticipated until the 100,000 detention capacity is reached.
  • Business Structure: GEO Group operates across various segments including US Secure, Electronic Monitoring, Re-entry, and International Services, showcasing diversified strengths; however, increasing market competition may affect its long-term growth strategy.
stocktwits
7.0
02-20stocktwits
ICE Plans to Reduce Detention Facility Network
  • Detention Network Reduction: According to a Bloomberg report, ICE plans to reduce its network from over 200 detention centers to only 34 government-owned locations, significantly impacting revenue sources for GEO Group and CoreCivic, which together hold about 58% of ICE detainees.
  • High Contract Dependency: Contracts from ICE account for nearly half of GEO's projected revenue of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion for 2026, while ICE revenues represent 40% of CoreCivic's total fourth-quarter revenue, indicating a high sensitivity to changes in ICE policy.
  • New Contracts and Expansion: In 2025, GEO Group entered into new contracts to provide approximately 6,000 beds across four facilities, increasing ICE's total capacity from about 20,000 to approximately 26,000 beds, although future reliance will primarily be on government facilities, with private companies still involved in service provision.
  • Negative Market Reaction: Shares of GEO and CoreCivic fell by 52% and 12%, respectively, following the announcement of ICE's reduction plan, reflecting market concerns over the policy change, while retail investor sentiment trended towards 'bullish'.
moomoo
2.0
02-20moomoo
GEO Group Falls 16.2%, CoreCivic Declines 11.4%
  • GEO Group Performance: The GEO Group reported a decline of 16.2% in its stock value.

  • CoreCivic Performance: CoreCivic experienced a decrease of 11.4% in its stock value.

Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 0.000
sliders
Low
30.00
Averages
32.50
High
35.00
Current: 0.000
sliders
Low
30.00
Averages
32.50
High
35.00
Noble Capital
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$35 -> $28
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
Reason
Noble Capital
Price Target
$35 -> $28
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Noble Capital lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $28 from $35 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm is lowering its price target to reflect slower than anticipated growth after the company reported Q4 results and gave 2026 guidance.
JonesResearch
Buy
downgrade
$37 -> $33
2026-02-13
Reason
JonesResearch
Price Target
$37 -> $33
2026-02-13
downgrade
Buy
Reason
JonesResearch lowered the firm's price target on Geo Group to $33 from $37 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm remains bullish on all segments, in particular the ISAP opportunity, but notes that the ISAP ramp may continue to face headwinds until 100,000 detention capacity is full.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for GEO
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Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Geo Group Inc (GEO.N) is 14.03, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.07. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Geo Group Inc's fair value, Click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PE
13.07
Current PE
14.03
Overvalued PE
19.75
Undervalued PE
6.39

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.46
Current EV/EBITDA
6.96
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
8.91
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
6.02

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PS
0.65
Current PS
0.76
Overvalued PS
1.02
Undervalued PS
0.29

Financials

AI Analysis
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Quarterly

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Whales Holding GEO

C
Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC
Holding
GEO
+9.40%
3M Return
R
Rubric Capital Management LP
Holding
GEO
+4.83%
3M Return
P
Pentwater Capital Management LP
Holding
GEO
-5.54%
3M Return
D
Discovery Capital Management, LLC
Holding
GEO
-8.80%
3M Return

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) stock price today?

The current price of GEO is 14.08 USD — it has increased 2.33

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s business?

The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.

What is the price predicton of GEO Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast GEO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEO is32.50 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 35.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 707.70M USD, increased 16.45

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Geo Group Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.23 USD, increased 109.09

How many employees does Geo Group Inc (GEO). have?

Geo Group Inc (GEO) has 18000 emplpoyees as of March 11 2026.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) market cap?

Today GEO has the market capitalization of 1.89B USD.