The stock has shown significant weakness recently, with the price declining from $26.74 to $25.34 (-5.24%) in the last trading session [Relevant Data]. Key technical indicators suggest bearish momentum:

RSI (14) at 32.74 indicates approaching oversold conditions
MACD shows negative divergence with -1.00 reading
Stock is trading below both 5-day and 10-day moving averages

Fundamental Factors

S&P Global recently revised GEO Group's outlook to positive from stable and affirmed its 'B' credit rating. Key positive factors include:

Steady operating performance with leverage below 4x
Strong positioning to benefit from potential increased ICE demand
$70 million investment announced for expanded detention capacity

Risk Factors

Contract renewal risks, particularly the federal electronic monitoring services contract expiring July 2025
Outstanding labor-related litigation in multiple states
Potential cash outflows from settlements/regulatory fines

Analyst Consensus

Based on recent analyst coverage:

Average Price Target: $40.67 (60.49% upside)
Ratings: 33.33% Strong Buy, 66.67% Buy
Price targets range: $30-$55

Conclusion

Given the current technical weakness despite positive fundamental developments, it would be prudent to SELL GEO stock at current levels and look for better entry points. The stock may find support around the $24.75 level based on Fibonacci analysis.

What is price prediction 2025 for GEO Stock?

Based on recent technical analysis and market data, GEO stock is projected to reach $42.00 by end of 2025, supported by S&P Global's positive outlook revision and steady operating performance maintaining leverage below 4x. The company's strategic position to benefit from potential increased ICE demand and recent $70 million investment in expanded detention capacity could drive significant growth, though contract renewal risks and legal challenges remain key variables.

What is surpport and resistant level for GEO Stock?

The S1 support level for GEO Stock is $25.28 ,The R1 resistant level for GEO Stock is $28.62.

What is the current price of GEO Stock?

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of GEO Stock was $25.74.

What is the target price of GEO Stock?

The target price for GEO Stock according to analyst rating is 41.50, with the highest price target at 46.00 and the lowest at 37.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on GEO Stock overall.

What is the market cap of Geo Group Inc?

The market cap of GEO is $3.5B.

Is Geo Group Inc (GEO) overvalued?

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here are 5 concise sentences about GEO's valuation:

GEO's current trading price of $25.34 appears overvalued when compared to its technical indicators, with RSI-14 at 32.74 showing oversold conditions and trading below all major moving averages (SMA 5,10,20,60). The stock has recently experienced significant selling pressure, dropping 5.24% in the latest trading session with above-average volume, suggesting market participants are actively reducing positions. According to recent analyst coverage, while the average price target is $38.50 with a high estimate of $55.00, the stock's current technical weakness and deteriorating market sentiment indicate these targets may be overly optimistic. S&P Global's recent credit rating update highlights steady operating performance but also notes risks related to contract renewals and ongoing legal issues that could impact financial stability. The stock's current price level appears stretched relative to its fundamentals and technical indicators, suggesting limited upside potential in the near term.

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO)'s business?

The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. It is specialized in designing, financing, development and support services for facilities, processing centers and community reentry centers. Its worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 100 facilities totaling approximately 81,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees. Its U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses its United States-based public-private partnership secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment conducts its services in the United States, and consists of its electronic monitoring and supervision services. Its Reentry Services segment consists of various community-based and reentry services. Its International Services segment primarily consists of its public-private partnership secure services operations in Australia and South Africa.

What is price prediction 2030 for GEO Stock?

Based on analyst forecasts and market trends, GEO stock is projected to reach $38-42 by 2030, driven by strong institutional demand and positive analyst sentiment with recent price targets averaging $38.5. The company's strategic focus on detention facilities and community reentry centers, combined with improving financial metrics and debt management (debt-to-equity ratio of 1.36), supports this growth trajectory. Recent analyst coverage shows bullish sentiment with targets ranging from $30 to $55, suggesting significant upside potential over the long term.