GEO PE Ratio & Valuation,Is GEO Overvalued

GEO Relative Valuation

GEO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GEO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Geo Group Inc (GEO) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 14.66 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 12.95. The fair price of Geo Group Inc (GEO) is between 10.32 to 22.28 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

10.32-22.28

Current Price：16.65

Fair

14.66

7.20

EV/EBITDA

Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.20. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.52. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.63, Undervalued between 4.63 and 6.07, Fairly Valued between 8.96 and 6.07, Overvalued between 8.96 and 10.41, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.41. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.20 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

10.89

EV/EBIT

Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current EV/EBIT of 10.89. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 10.94. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.40, Undervalued between 6.40 and 8.67, Fairly Valued between 13.21 and 8.67, Overvalued between 13.21 and 15.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.49. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 10.89 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.80

Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current PS of 0.80. The 5-year average PS is 0.64. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.08, Undervalued between -0.08 and 0.28, Fairly Valued between 1.00 and 0.28, Overvalued between 1.00 and 1.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.36. The current Forward PS of 0.80 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.37

P/OCF

Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current P/OCF of 5.37. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.56. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.28, Undervalued between -0.28 and 2.14, Fairly Valued between 6.99 and 2.14, Overvalued between 6.99 and 9.41, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.41. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.37 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.29

P/FCF

Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current P/FCF of 8.29. The 5-year average P/FCF is 6.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.41, Undervalued between -1.41 and 2.46, Fairly Valued between 10.18 and 2.46, Overvalued between 10.18 and 14.05, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.05. The current Forward P/FCF of 8.29 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.50. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.59 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -5.95% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.31, the current P/B ratio is about 14.07% higher. Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 10.98%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 18.22% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

1.50

P/B

Median3y

1.59

Median5y

1.31

1.14

FCF Yield

Median3y

10.98

Median5y

18.22

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GEO's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Geo Group Inc Corp (GEO) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 13.13%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GEO decreased by 40.49% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 4.36 to 25.49.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 13.13%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GEO in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

13.13%

603.13M → 682.34M

Revenue Growth

484.63%

4.36 → 25.49

Margin Expansion

-538.25%

-2.25 → 9.87

P/E Change

-40.49%

27.98 → 16.65

Mkt Cap Growth

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is Geo Group Inc (GEO) currently overvalued or undervalued?

What is Geo Group Inc (GEO) fair value?

GEO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average , adjusted by weights. The fair price of Geo Group Inc (GEO) is between 10.32 to 22.28 according to relative valuation methord.

How does GEO's valuation metrics compare to the industry average?

What is the current P/B ratio for Geo Group Inc (GEO) as of Dec 16 2025?

As of Dec 16 2025, Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a P/B ratio of 1.50. This indicates that the market values GEO at 1.50 times its book value.

What is the current FCF Yield for Geo Group Inc (GEO) as of Dec 16 2025?

As of Dec 16 2025, Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a FCF Yield of 0.00%. This means that for every dollar of Geo Group Inc’s market capitalization, the company generates 0.00 cents in free cash flow.

What is the current Forward P/E ratio for Geo Group Inc (GEO) as of Dec 16 2025?

As of Dec 16 2025, Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a Forward P/E ratio of 14.66. This means the market is willing to pay $14.66 for every dollar of Geo Group Inc’s expected earnings over the next 12 months.

What is the current Forward P/S ratio for Geo Group Inc (GEO) as of Dec 16 2025?

As of Dec 16 2025, Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a Forward P/S ratio of 0.00. This means the market is valuing GEO at $0.00 for every dollar of expected revenue over the next 12 months.

GEO Valuation