GEO Relative Valuation
GEO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GEO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Geo Group Inc (GEO) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 15.11 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 12.92. The fair price of Geo Group Inc (GEO) is between 10.12 to 22.09 according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
10.12-22.09
Current Price：17.16
Fair
15.11
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
7.27
EV/EBITDA
Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.27. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.62, Undervalued between 4.62 and 6.08, Fairly Valued between 8.99 and 6.08, Overvalued between 8.99 and 10.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.45. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
10.99
EV/EBIT
Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current EV/EBIT of 10.99. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 10.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.36, Undervalued between 6.36 and 8.66, Fairly Valued between 13.28 and 8.66, Overvalued between 13.28 and 15.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.59. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 10.99 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
0.82
PS
Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current PS of 0.82. The 5-year average PS is 0.64. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.08, Undervalued between -0.08 and 0.28, Fairly Valued between 1.00 and 0.28, Overvalued between 1.00 and 1.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.36. The current Forward PS of 0.82 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
5.46
P/OCF
Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current P/OCF of 5.46. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.55. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.30, Undervalued between -0.30 and 2.13, Fairly Valued between 6.98 and 2.13, Overvalued between 6.98 and 9.40, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.40. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.46 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
8.42
P/FCF
Geo Group Inc. (GEO) has a current P/FCF of 8.42. The 5-year average P/FCF is 6.30. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.43, Undervalued between -1.43 and 2.43, Fairly Valued between 10.16 and 2.43, Overvalued between 10.16 and 14.02, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.02. The current Forward P/FCF of 8.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.54. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.59 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -2.83% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.31, the current P/B ratio is about 17.71% higher. Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 11.06%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 18.34% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
1.54
P/B
Median3y
1.59
Median5y
1.31
1.13
FCF Yield
Median3y
11.06
Median5y
18.34
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for GEO's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Geo Group Inc Corp (GEO) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 13.13%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of GEO decreased by 38.67% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 4.36 to 25.49.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 13.13%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of GEO in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.
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