Wall Street Volatility and Investment Opportunities Amid Corrections
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy META?
Source: Fool
- Market Volatility: Over the past five weeks, major Wall Street indexes like the Dow Jones and Nasdaq have seen corrections of 10% and 12.6%, respectively, illustrating normal market fluctuations post-highs, prompting investors to remain vigilant and seize buying opportunities.
- Meta Platforms Investment Opportunity: Meta's stock is down over 33% from its all-time high, and despite pressures from AI infrastructure investments, it generates 98% of its revenue from advertising and holds $81.6 billion in cash, showcasing strong market competitiveness and future investment potential.
- Adobe's Growth Potential: Adobe's stock has plummeted 66% since its peak in 2021, yet its Q1 subscription revenue grew by 13% with cash flow hitting $2.96 billion, indicating a robust business foundation amid AI evolution, and its P/E ratio is below historical averages.
- Lyft's Market Outlook: Although Lyft's stock has fallen 84% from its peak, the global ride-share market is projected to grow tenfold from 2025 to 2033, with Lyft's active users increasing by 18% to 29.2 million, highlighting its future growth potential and market position.
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Analyst Views on META
Wall Street analysts forecast META stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
37 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 536.380
Low
655.15
Averages
824.71
High
1117
Current: 536.380
Low
655.15
Averages
824.71
High
1117
About META
Meta Platforms, Inc. is building human connections, powered by artificial intelligence and immersive technologies. The Company's products enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) and mixed reality (MR) headsets, augmented reality (AR), and wearables. It also helps people discover and learn about what is going on in the world around them, enabling people to share their experiences, ideas, photos, videos, and other content with audiences ranging from their closest family members and friends to the public at large. The Company's segments include Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). FoA segment includes Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp and Threads. RL segment includes its virtual, augmented, and mixed reality related consumer hardware, software and content. Its product offerings in VR include its Meta Quest devices, as well as software and content available through the Meta Horizon Store.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Meta Platforms Inc's Intrinsic Value Analysis
- Intrinsic Value Assessment: According to GuruFocus's Discounted Earnings model, Meta Platforms Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $730.56, while its current trading price is $536.38, indicating a 26.58% margin of safety, suggesting the company is modestly undervalued and may attract investor interest.
- Growth Stage Assumptions: In the growth stage, Meta's earnings per share (EPS) without non-recurring items is set at $23.38, with an expected growth rate of 22.70%, reflecting the company's strong growth potential over the next decade, which could drive stock price appreciation.
- Discount Rate Calculation: GuruFocus employs an 11% discount rate, which includes a 4.33% 10-year Treasury yield and a 6% risk premium; this choice of discount rate is crucial for assessing the present value of future earnings and impacts investor decision-making.
- Traditional Model Comparison: Using the traditional free cash flow model, Meta's intrinsic value is calculated at $560.10, showing a 4.23% margin of safety, indicating that under different valuation methods, Meta's market pricing holds a degree of reasonableness, prompting investors to consider multiple valuation models.
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- Subscription Service Testing: Meta is testing a premium subscription service called Instagram Plus on its Instagram app, allowing users to view Stories without notifying the poster, enhancing user privacy and potentially attracting more subscribers.
- New Feature Rollout: The subscription will offer unlimited audience list creation and the ability to see how many times a Story has been viewed, enhancing user engagement and content management capabilities, which may increase user retention.
- Market Testing Regions: The service is currently being tested in Mexico, Japan, and the Philippines, with pricing varying by country, demonstrating Meta's flexible pricing strategy aimed at maximizing user acceptance and market penetration.
- User Base Impact: With approximately 3 billion monthly active users, Instagram may account for about 40% of Meta's total revenue, and if successfully launched, this service could significantly boost the company's revenue and competitive position in the market.
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US Stocks Surge on Hopes for End to Iran War
- Market Rally: The S&P 500 index rose by 2.91%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 2.49%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 3.43%, reflecting market optimism regarding the potential end of the Iran war, which could lower energy prices and ease inflation concerns.
- Consumer Confidence Boost: The US March consumer confidence index unexpectedly increased by 0.8 to 91.8, surpassing the anticipated decline to 87.9, indicating a strengthening consumer outlook that may drive spending and economic growth.
- Strength in China: China's March manufacturing PMI rose to 50.4, better than the expected 50.1, signaling signs of economic recovery that could positively impact global growth prospects and further support US stock performance.
- Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year Treasury note yield dropped to 4.28%, a one-week low, reflecting reduced inflation worries, which may provide support for the stock market and enhance investor interest in equities.
See More
Apple's Crackdown on AI Coding Apps Threatens Innovation
- Update Blocked: Apple has blocked updates for at least two popular AI coding apps, including Replit, citing safety concerns, a move that risks pushing developers to other platforms and undermining Apple's leadership in the developer ecosystem.
- Market Potential: The AI coding tools market has rapidly emerged in the past 18 months, with companies now valued in the billions, and Apple's restrictive measures could lead to innovation flourishing outside its ecosystem, impacting App Store revenues.
- User Experience Impacted: Many beginners and non-professional developers rely on tools like Replit for app development, and Apple's restrictions may alienate these users, affecting their loyalty to the iPhone and future app development intentions.
- Strategic Misstep Risk: While Apple aims to protect its App Store, it may inadvertently drive developers to open web platforms, risking a loss of competitive advantage in future app ecosystems, reminiscent of the challenges faced in the 1990s.
See More
Apple Hinders Development of AI Coding Tools
- Founding Mission Divergence: As Apple celebrates its 50th anniversary, it diverges from its founding mission by hindering the development of AI coding tools, particularly through restrictions on updates for apps like Replit, significantly impacting ordinary users' ability to create and potentially driving future developers away.
- App Store Policy Controversy: Apple has blocked updates for Replit citing safety concerns, despite the app allowing users to create and test software within a browser, highlighting Apple's stringent control over its App Store, which may undermine user trust in the iPhone ecosystem.
- Increased Market Competition: With the rise of vibe coding tools valued in the billions, the App Store has seen a 60% year-over-year increase in releases, indicating the potential of this emerging market, and Apple's continued obstruction could lead to a loss of market share.
- Risk of Developer Exodus: Apple's strategy may push developers towards open web platforms, deteriorating the iPhone app ecosystem; historically, Apple has faced crises due to excessive control, and failing to adapt could lead to a repeat of past mistakes.
See More
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- Strategic Partnership: Nvidia's collaboration with Marvell Technology aims to integrate Marvell's custom AI chips with Nvidia's AI computing ecosystem, which is expected to enhance Nvidia's market share in the custom AI chip sector, further solidifying its leadership in AI computing.
- Investment Strategy: Nvidia's $2 billion investment for a 2.5% stake in Marvell not only provides financial support for Marvell's future growth but also allows Nvidia to benefit from any potential Marvell deals, thereby increasing its competitiveness in the AI data center market.
- Technological Interconnectivity: By extending its NVLink technology to Marvell's custom processors, Nvidia is expected to improve product compatibility, attracting more enterprises to invest in AI data centers and expanding its total addressable market.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the partnership, Nvidia's stock surged by 5.6%, indicating a positive market response to the collaboration, and despite a challenging overall market environment, this move could provide new momentum for Nvidia's future earnings growth.
See More
Meta Platforms Inc's Intrinsic Value Analysis
- Intrinsic Value Assessment: According to GuruFocus's Discounted Earnings model, Meta Platforms Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $730.56, while its current trading price is $536.38, indicating a 26.58% margin of safety, suggesting the company is modestly undervalued and may attract investor interest.
- Growth Stage Assumptions: In the growth stage, Meta's earnings per share (EPS) without non-recurring items is set at $23.38, with an expected growth rate of 22.70%, reflecting the company's strong growth potential over the next decade, which could drive stock price appreciation.
- Discount Rate Calculation: GuruFocus employs an 11% discount rate, which includes a 4.33% 10-year Treasury yield and a 6% risk premium; this choice of discount rate is crucial for assessing the present value of future earnings and impacts investor decision-making.
- Traditional Model Comparison: Using the traditional free cash flow model, Meta's intrinsic value is calculated at $560.10, showing a 4.23% margin of safety, indicating that under different valuation methods, Meta's market pricing holds a degree of reasonableness, prompting investors to consider multiple valuation models.
See More
Meta Tests Instagram Plus Subscription Service Offering Exclusive Features
- Subscription Service Testing: Meta is testing a premium subscription service called Instagram Plus on its Instagram app, allowing users to view Stories without notifying the poster, enhancing user privacy and potentially attracting more subscribers.
- New Feature Rollout: The subscription will offer unlimited audience list creation and the ability to see how many times a Story has been viewed, enhancing user engagement and content management capabilities, which may increase user retention.
- Market Testing Regions: The service is currently being tested in Mexico, Japan, and the Philippines, with pricing varying by country, demonstrating Meta's flexible pricing strategy aimed at maximizing user acceptance and market penetration.
- User Base Impact: With approximately 3 billion monthly active users, Instagram may account for about 40% of Meta's total revenue, and if successfully launched, this service could significantly boost the company's revenue and competitive position in the market.
See More
US Stocks Surge on Hopes for End to Iran War
- Market Rally: The S&P 500 index rose by 2.91%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 2.49%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 3.43%, reflecting market optimism regarding the potential end of the Iran war, which could lower energy prices and ease inflation concerns.
- Consumer Confidence Boost: The US March consumer confidence index unexpectedly increased by 0.8 to 91.8, surpassing the anticipated decline to 87.9, indicating a strengthening consumer outlook that may drive spending and economic growth.
- Strength in China: China's March manufacturing PMI rose to 50.4, better than the expected 50.1, signaling signs of economic recovery that could positively impact global growth prospects and further support US stock performance.
- Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year Treasury note yield dropped to 4.28%, a one-week low, reflecting reduced inflation worries, which may provide support for the stock market and enhance investor interest in equities.
See More
Apple's Crackdown on AI Coding Apps Threatens Innovation
- Update Blocked: Apple has blocked updates for at least two popular AI coding apps, including Replit, citing safety concerns, a move that risks pushing developers to other platforms and undermining Apple's leadership in the developer ecosystem.
- Market Potential: The AI coding tools market has rapidly emerged in the past 18 months, with companies now valued in the billions, and Apple's restrictive measures could lead to innovation flourishing outside its ecosystem, impacting App Store revenues.
- User Experience Impacted: Many beginners and non-professional developers rely on tools like Replit for app development, and Apple's restrictions may alienate these users, affecting their loyalty to the iPhone and future app development intentions.
- Strategic Misstep Risk: While Apple aims to protect its App Store, it may inadvertently drive developers to open web platforms, risking a loss of competitive advantage in future app ecosystems, reminiscent of the challenges faced in the 1990s.
See More
Apple Hinders Development of AI Coding Tools
- Founding Mission Divergence: As Apple celebrates its 50th anniversary, it diverges from its founding mission by hindering the development of AI coding tools, particularly through restrictions on updates for apps like Replit, significantly impacting ordinary users' ability to create and potentially driving future developers away.
- App Store Policy Controversy: Apple has blocked updates for Replit citing safety concerns, despite the app allowing users to create and test software within a browser, highlighting Apple's stringent control over its App Store, which may undermine user trust in the iPhone ecosystem.
- Increased Market Competition: With the rise of vibe coding tools valued in the billions, the App Store has seen a 60% year-over-year increase in releases, indicating the potential of this emerging market, and Apple's continued obstruction could lead to a loss of market share.
- Risk of Developer Exodus: Apple's strategy may push developers towards open web platforms, deteriorating the iPhone app ecosystem; historically, Apple has faced crises due to excessive control, and failing to adapt could lead to a repeat of past mistakes.
See More
Nvidia Partners with Marvell to Strengthen AI Market Position
- Strategic Partnership: Nvidia's collaboration with Marvell Technology aims to integrate Marvell's custom AI chips with Nvidia's AI computing ecosystem, which is expected to enhance Nvidia's market share in the custom AI chip sector, further solidifying its leadership in AI computing.
- Investment Strategy: Nvidia's $2 billion investment for a 2.5% stake in Marvell not only provides financial support for Marvell's future growth but also allows Nvidia to benefit from any potential Marvell deals, thereby increasing its competitiveness in the AI data center market.
- Technological Interconnectivity: By extending its NVLink technology to Marvell's custom processors, Nvidia is expected to improve product compatibility, attracting more enterprises to invest in AI data centers and expanding its total addressable market.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the partnership, Nvidia's stock surged by 5.6%, indicating a positive market response to the collaboration, and despite a challenging overall market environment, this move could provide new momentum for Nvidia's future earnings growth.
See More
