US and Iran Reach Deal to End War and Reopen Strait of Hormuz
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 18 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Oil Price Volatility: Since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran on February 28, oil prices and global stocks have experienced significant volatility, resulting in widespread damage to Middle Eastern oil infrastructure and a shutdown of oil shipments through the vital Strait of Hormuz, impacting global energy supply.
- Energy ETF Performance: The Vanguard Energy ETF has delivered a 25% return year-to-date but has lost about 11% of its value since reaching an all-time high on March 27, indicating uncertainty in the future of energy stocks amid geopolitical tensions.
- Market Reaction: The S&P 500 index is up 10.4% year-to-date and has gained about 19% since hitting a 2026 low on March 30, but this may be bad news for energy stocks as the Vanguard Energy ETF and the S&P 500 have been moving in opposite directions since late March.
- Investment Advice: Although the Vanguard Energy ETF has achieved an average annual return of 21.1% over the past five years, the complex situation in the Middle East suggests that oil prices could plummet in the future, leading to a recommendation for long-term investors to be cautious and avoid heavy investments in oil stocks.
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Analyst Views on CVX
Wall Street analysts forecast CVX stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 174.010
Low
158.00
Averages
176.95
High
206.00
Current: 174.010
Low
158.00
Averages
176.95
High
206.00
About CVX
Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company. The Company produces crude oil and natural gas; manufactures transportation fuels, lubricants, petrochemicals and additives; and develops technologies that enhance its business and industry. The Company’s segments include Upstream and Downstream. Upstream operations consist primarily of exploring for, developing, producing and transporting crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation and regasification associated with LNG; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage and marketing of natural gas; carbon capture and storage; and a gas-to-liquids plant. Downstream operations consist primarily of the refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufacturing and marketing of renewable fuels, and transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment and rail car.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Tech Stock Volatility: Nvidia's stock is down 14% from its May high, while AMD, Applied Materials, and Micron Technology have seen declines of 11.5%, 22%, and 24% respectively, reflecting investor caution towards tech stocks that may influence future investment decisions.
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See More
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- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices surged over 7% to a two-week high as the US launched strikes against Iran, raising concerns about potential disruptions to energy supplies and pushing inflation expectations higher, which in turn lifted the 10-year Treasury note yield to a 1.5-month high of 4.59%.
- Mortgage Applications Decline: US MBA mortgage applications fell by 2.2% in the week ending July 3, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.6% and the refinancing sub-index down 4.1%, indicating that high interest rates are negatively impacting housing demand and could further suppress the recovery in the real estate market.
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See More
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- Resource Recovery Improvement: The surfactant technology developed by Chevron can enhance production from newly drilled wells by up to 20% in the first year and reduce production decline in existing wells by 5%-8%, significantly improving resource recovery efficiency.
- Market Application Prospects: Under the agreement, ZL will market products and services under the Vantis brand utilizing the licensed technology, supporting applications in shale and tight reservoirs, including base well enhanced oil recovery programs and new well optimization efforts to meet urgent market energy demands.
- Industry Response: Ryder Booth, Chevron's Chief Technology and Engineering Officer, stated that with current global energy constraints, oil and gas companies need to boost market supply, and this collaboration provides an effective solution for increasing production, highlighting Chevron's leadership in the industry.
See More
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- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.49%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.96%, and the Nasdaq 100 index decreased by 0.19%, reflecting investor concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East, prompting a flight to safety.
- Oil Price Surge: WTI crude oil prices surged over 4% to a two-week high following U.S. military strikes against Iran, raising fears of potential disruptions in energy supplies and further boosting inflation expectations.
- Mortgage Applications Drop: U.S. MBA mortgage applications fell by 2.2% in the week ending July 3, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.6% and refinancing down 4.1%, indicating the negative impact of high interest rates on housing demand.
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See More
