Upstart Holdings: AI Lending Platform Recovery
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy UPST?
Source: Fool
- Significant Revenue Growth: Upstart's revenue increased by 35% year-over-year in Q4 2025, reaching $18.6 million, indicating a gradual recovery in its business as interest rates decline, reflecting a rebound in market demand for its credit evaluation platform.
- Surge in Transaction Volume: The same quarter saw an 86% increase in transaction volume, suggesting that Upstart's platform is attracting more borrowers, further driving revenue growth and laying the groundwork for future market share expansion.
- Diversified Funding Channels: Upstart partnered with 11 institutional lenders in Q4 and plans to add 13 more in 2026, a financing strategy that reduces its exposure to interest rate fluctuations while enhancing liquidity.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects revenue to reach $1.4 billion by 2026, a 40% increase, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 35% through 2028, indicating strong confidence in its long-term growth strategy despite the challenges posed by interest rate risks.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy UPST?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on UPST
Wall Street analysts forecast UPST stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 34.570
Low
20.00
Averages
56.73
High
80.00
Current: 34.570
Low
20.00
Averages
56.73
High
80.00
About UPST
Upstart Holdings, Inc. is an artificial intelligence (AI) lending marketplace. The Company’s platform includes personal loans, automotive retail and refinance loans, home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), and small dollar loans. It applies artificial intelligence models and cloud applications to the process of underwriting consumer credit. Its AI marketplace connects consumers with its lending partner. Its consumers can access Upstart-powered loans via Upstart.com, through a lender-branded product on its lending partners’ own websites, and through auto dealerships that use its Upstart Auto Retail software. Its platform enables lenders provide a product their customers want, rather than letting customers seek loans from competitors. Its cloud-based software platform incorporates technologies and software development approaches to allow for development of new features, such as cloud-native technologies, data integrity and security, and configurable multi-tenant architecture, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Mission Lane Applies for National Bank Charter
- National Bank Charter Application: Mission Lane, a credit card startup based in Richmond, Virginia, has applied for a national bank charter with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, aiming to focus on credit card operations if approved.
- Business Scope Limitations: The application indicates that Mission Lane Bank will not accept deposits or make commercial loans, a strategy that will allow the company to concentrate on credit card operations, thereby reducing risk and enhancing operational efficiency.
- Credit Protection Product: The company plans to offer an optional credit protection product designed to provide users with additional financial security, which could further enhance customer appeal and improve market competitiveness.
- Industry Trend: Mission Lane is the latest fintech to apply for a bank charter, following Upstart Holdings and several other fintech firms, reflecting the ongoing interest and demand for bank charters within the industry.
See More
Class Action Lawsuit Announced for Upstart Holdings
- Class Action Initiation: Rosen Law Firm has announced a class action lawsuit against Upstart Holdings, Inc. for securities purchases between May 14, 2025, and November 4, 2025, with investors able to apply as lead plaintiffs by June 8, 2026, indicating that legal proceedings are underway.
- Potential Compensation Opportunity: Investors who purchased Upstart securities during the class period may be entitled to compensation without any out-of-pocket costs through a contingency fee arrangement, which alleviates financial burdens on investors.
- Allegations of Misrepresentation: The lawsuit alleges that Upstart failed to disclose flaws in Model 22's risk-separation processes, which overreacted to negative macroeconomic signals, leading to an overstatement of loan approval rates and negatively impacting revenue forecasts, potentially causing investor losses.
- Law Firm Credentials: Rosen Law Firm specializes in securities class actions and has recovered over $438 million for investors in 2019 alone, being ranked as the top firm for securities class action settlements in 2017, showcasing its expertise and success in this legal domain.
See More
Class Action Lawsuit Announced for Upstart Holdings
- Class Action Initiation: Rosen Law Firm has announced a class action lawsuit on behalf of purchasers of Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: UPST) securities between May 14, 2025, and November 4, 2025, indicating potential investor losses due to misleading statements.
- Compensation Structure: Investors joining the class action can do so without any out-of-pocket expenses through a contingency fee arrangement, significantly lowering the barrier to participation and encouraging broader investor involvement.
- Law Firm Credentials: Rosen Law Firm is recognized for its successful track record in securities class actions, having recovered over $438 million for investors in 2019 alone, demonstrating its capability and experience in handling such cases effectively.
- Case Details Unveiled: The lawsuit alleges that Upstart failed to disclose flaws in Model 22's risk assessment, which negatively impacted revenue forecasts, leading to investor losses when the truth emerged, underscoring the importance of corporate governance and transparency.
See More
Upstart Faces Class Action Lawsuit Risks
- Class Action Initiation: Bragar Eagel & Squire has filed a class action lawsuit against Upstart in the Northern District of California on behalf of investors who purchased securities between May 14 and November 4, 2025, indicating significant legal risks that could impact the company's stock performance.
- False Statement Allegations: The lawsuit alleges that Upstart made false and misleading statements regarding the risk assessment capabilities of its Model 22, leading to a severe loss of investor confidence in the company's financial health, which may result in future financial losses.
- Loss Claim Deadline: Affected investors must apply to be lead plaintiffs by June 8, 2026, which may prompt more investors to act quickly, potentially affecting Upstart's shareholder structure and market confidence.
- Legal Consultation Opportunity: Bragar Eagel & Squire offers free consultations, encouraging affected investors to reach out, demonstrating the firm's proactive approach to legal matters, which could influence its reputation and the outcomes of future litigation.
See More
Upstart Holdings Faces Class Action Lawsuit Over Misleading Statements
- Class Action Reminder: The Schall Law Firm has alerted investors about a class action lawsuit against Upstart Holdings for violations of the Securities Exchange Act, affecting those who purchased securities between May 14 and November 4, 2025, which may impact the company's reputation and stock price.
- False Statement Allegations: The complaint alleges that Upstart made false and misleading statements regarding its 'Model 22' AI, overstating its accuracy, which led to investor losses when the truth emerged, potentially resulting in legal liabilities for the company.
- Legal Consultation Opportunity: Affected shareholders are encouraged to contact the Schall Law Firm before June 8, 2026, to discuss their rights and participate in the lawsuit, indicating potential risks for the company regarding legal issues and declining investor confidence.
- Market Reaction Expectations: As the lawsuit progresses, Upstart's stock price may face further pressure, prompting investors to monitor the case's developments to assess its impact on the company's future financial performance.
See More
Investment Trends in the Fintech Sector
- Revenue Growth Highlights: In 2025, five fintech companies including Lemonade, Nu Holdings, Robinhood, SoFi, and Upstart achieved at least 35% year-over-year revenue growth, with two exceeding 50%, indicating strong growth potential in the sector.
- Profitability Improvement: Block expects a 26% adjusted operating margin in 2026, while PayPal generated $5.6 billion in free cash flow on $33.2 billion in revenue in 2025, showcasing the profitability advantage of established fintech players.
- Valuation Attractiveness: PayPal's stock currently trades 84% below its historical peak, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1, highlighting its appeal as an investment opportunity amid market fluctuations.
- Diversity in Investment Strategy: When selecting stocks, investors should consider various factors such as growth, profitability, and valuation to develop a strategy that aligns with their individual investment philosophy, thereby maximizing returns in the fintech space.
See More
Mission Lane Applies for National Bank Charter
- National Bank Charter Application: Mission Lane, a credit card startup based in Richmond, Virginia, has applied for a national bank charter with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, aiming to focus on credit card operations if approved.
- Business Scope Limitations: The application indicates that Mission Lane Bank will not accept deposits or make commercial loans, a strategy that will allow the company to concentrate on credit card operations, thereby reducing risk and enhancing operational efficiency.
- Credit Protection Product: The company plans to offer an optional credit protection product designed to provide users with additional financial security, which could further enhance customer appeal and improve market competitiveness.
- Industry Trend: Mission Lane is the latest fintech to apply for a bank charter, following Upstart Holdings and several other fintech firms, reflecting the ongoing interest and demand for bank charters within the industry.
See More
Class Action Lawsuit Announced for Upstart Holdings
- Class Action Initiation: Rosen Law Firm has announced a class action lawsuit against Upstart Holdings, Inc. for securities purchases between May 14, 2025, and November 4, 2025, with investors able to apply as lead plaintiffs by June 8, 2026, indicating that legal proceedings are underway.
- Potential Compensation Opportunity: Investors who purchased Upstart securities during the class period may be entitled to compensation without any out-of-pocket costs through a contingency fee arrangement, which alleviates financial burdens on investors.
- Allegations of Misrepresentation: The lawsuit alleges that Upstart failed to disclose flaws in Model 22's risk-separation processes, which overreacted to negative macroeconomic signals, leading to an overstatement of loan approval rates and negatively impacting revenue forecasts, potentially causing investor losses.
- Law Firm Credentials: Rosen Law Firm specializes in securities class actions and has recovered over $438 million for investors in 2019 alone, being ranked as the top firm for securities class action settlements in 2017, showcasing its expertise and success in this legal domain.
See More
Class Action Lawsuit Announced for Upstart Holdings
- Class Action Initiation: Rosen Law Firm has announced a class action lawsuit on behalf of purchasers of Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: UPST) securities between May 14, 2025, and November 4, 2025, indicating potential investor losses due to misleading statements.
- Compensation Structure: Investors joining the class action can do so without any out-of-pocket expenses through a contingency fee arrangement, significantly lowering the barrier to participation and encouraging broader investor involvement.
- Law Firm Credentials: Rosen Law Firm is recognized for its successful track record in securities class actions, having recovered over $438 million for investors in 2019 alone, demonstrating its capability and experience in handling such cases effectively.
- Case Details Unveiled: The lawsuit alleges that Upstart failed to disclose flaws in Model 22's risk assessment, which negatively impacted revenue forecasts, leading to investor losses when the truth emerged, underscoring the importance of corporate governance and transparency.
See More
Upstart Faces Class Action Lawsuit Risks
- Class Action Initiation: Bragar Eagel & Squire has filed a class action lawsuit against Upstart in the Northern District of California on behalf of investors who purchased securities between May 14 and November 4, 2025, indicating significant legal risks that could impact the company's stock performance.
- False Statement Allegations: The lawsuit alleges that Upstart made false and misleading statements regarding the risk assessment capabilities of its Model 22, leading to a severe loss of investor confidence in the company's financial health, which may result in future financial losses.
- Loss Claim Deadline: Affected investors must apply to be lead plaintiffs by June 8, 2026, which may prompt more investors to act quickly, potentially affecting Upstart's shareholder structure and market confidence.
- Legal Consultation Opportunity: Bragar Eagel & Squire offers free consultations, encouraging affected investors to reach out, demonstrating the firm's proactive approach to legal matters, which could influence its reputation and the outcomes of future litigation.
See More
Upstart Holdings Faces Class Action Lawsuit Over Misleading Statements
- Class Action Reminder: The Schall Law Firm has alerted investors about a class action lawsuit against Upstart Holdings for violations of the Securities Exchange Act, affecting those who purchased securities between May 14 and November 4, 2025, which may impact the company's reputation and stock price.
- False Statement Allegations: The complaint alleges that Upstart made false and misleading statements regarding its 'Model 22' AI, overstating its accuracy, which led to investor losses when the truth emerged, potentially resulting in legal liabilities for the company.
- Legal Consultation Opportunity: Affected shareholders are encouraged to contact the Schall Law Firm before June 8, 2026, to discuss their rights and participate in the lawsuit, indicating potential risks for the company regarding legal issues and declining investor confidence.
- Market Reaction Expectations: As the lawsuit progresses, Upstart's stock price may face further pressure, prompting investors to monitor the case's developments to assess its impact on the company's future financial performance.
See More
Investment Trends in the Fintech Sector
- Revenue Growth Highlights: In 2025, five fintech companies including Lemonade, Nu Holdings, Robinhood, SoFi, and Upstart achieved at least 35% year-over-year revenue growth, with two exceeding 50%, indicating strong growth potential in the sector.
- Profitability Improvement: Block expects a 26% adjusted operating margin in 2026, while PayPal generated $5.6 billion in free cash flow on $33.2 billion in revenue in 2025, showcasing the profitability advantage of established fintech players.
- Valuation Attractiveness: PayPal's stock currently trades 84% below its historical peak, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1, highlighting its appeal as an investment opportunity amid market fluctuations.
- Diversity in Investment Strategy: When selecting stocks, investors should consider various factors such as growth, profitability, and valuation to develop a strategy that aligns with their individual investment philosophy, thereby maximizing returns in the fintech space.
See More
