United Airlines Shares Surge 7.9% Amid Ceasefire
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy UAL?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Stock Price Surge: United Airlines (UAL) shares rose 7.9% in the last trading session, closing at $96.3, with trading volume significantly above average, indicating strong market confidence in its future performance.
- Oil Price Impact: The recent U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire eased concerns over disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a drop in oil prices, which further bolstered airline stocks, including United Airlines.
- Earnings Expectations: The airline is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.13 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 24.2%, with revenues projected at $14.24 billion, up 7.8% from the previous year, showcasing strong growth potential in both revenue and earnings.
- Earnings Estimate Revision: Despite optimistic earnings and revenue growth expectations, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 32.9% over the past 30 days, and such negative trends typically hinder stock price appreciation, prompting investors to closely monitor UAL's future performance.
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Analyst Views on UAL
Wall Street analysts forecast UAL stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 89.290
Low
115.00
Averages
139.07
High
156.00
Current: 89.290
Low
115.00
Averages
139.07
High
156.00
About UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is a holding company. The Company transports people and cargo throughout North America and to destinations in Asia, Europe, Africa, the Pacific, the Middle East and Latin America. The Company, through United Airlines, Inc., and its regional carriers, operates across six continents, with hubs at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (ORD), Denver International Airport (DEN), George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR), San Francisco International Airport (SFO), Washington Dulles International Airport (IAD) and A.B. Won Pat International Airport (GUM). Its hub and spoke system allow it to transport passengers between a large number of destinations with frequent services. The Company has contractual relationships with various regional carriers to provide regional aircraft service branded as United Express. It provides freight and mail transportation services (Air Cargo).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Price Surge: United Airlines (UAL) shares rose 7.9% in the last trading session, closing at $96.3, with trading volume significantly above average, indicating strong market confidence in its future performance.
- Oil Price Impact: The recent U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire eased concerns over disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a drop in oil prices, which further bolstered airline stocks, including United Airlines.
- Earnings Expectations: The airline is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.13 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 24.2%, with revenues projected at $14.24 billion, up 7.8% from the previous year, showcasing strong growth potential in both revenue and earnings.
- Earnings Estimate Revision: Despite optimistic earnings and revenue growth expectations, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 32.9% over the past 30 days, and such negative trends typically hinder stock price appreciation, prompting investors to closely monitor UAL's future performance.
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- Airlines Stock Fluctuation: Rising oil prices led to a decline in airline stocks, with Alaska Air dropping approximately 2%, while United Airlines, American Airlines, and Delta Air Lines each fell by 1%.
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- Military Deployment Continues: Trump stated that U.S. military forces will remain deployed in and around Iran until Tehran fully complies with what he calls the 'real agreement', indicating a sustained U.S. military presence in the Middle East that may escalate regional tensions.
- Escalating Threats to Iran: Trump warned that any breach of the agreement would trigger a military response larger than ever seen before, which could raise market concerns about potential disruptions in energy supplies, thereby affecting oil price volatility.
- Strained NATO Relations: Trump criticized NATO for not supporting the U.S. when needed, highlighting a deterioration in relations with traditional allies that could impact future international cooperation and security policies.
- Iran Accuses U.S. of Violating Agreement: Iran's parliamentary speaker accused the U.S. of violating the two-week ceasefire agreement, citing actions such as Israeli attacks on Lebanon, which could further deteriorate U.S.-Iran relations and affect global market stability.
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- Fragile Ceasefire: Just a day after the U.S.-Iran ceasefire was announced, Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf accused the U.S. of violating three key terms, leading to a loss of market confidence and potential disruptions in global energy supply chains.
- Market Reaction: The ceasefire initially triggered a relief rally across global markets; however, following Iran's accusations, Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose in Asian trading, indicating market uncertainty about future developments.
- Strait of Hormuz Traffic: Although the ceasefire agreement mandates the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to normal shipping traffic, actual vessel traffic remains low, raising concerns about energy supply and further contributing to oil price volatility.
- Fed Policy Signals: Minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting indicate that officials still expect to lower interest rates this year, providing additional support for risk assets, but escalating geopolitical risks could undermine this outlook.
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- Stock Surge: American Airlines Group (AAL) shares rose 5.55% to $11.41, driven by easing U.S.-Iran tensions and falling oil prices, which boosted market sentiment regarding airline profitability.
- Volume Spike: Trading volume reached 101 million shares, approximately 53% above the three-month average of 65.6 million shares, indicating strong investor interest and market activity in airline stocks.
- Sector Impact: Airline stocks surged as a result of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement, with Delta Air Lines and United Airlines gaining 3.75% and 7.84% respectively, reflecting a reassessment of fuel costs and geopolitical risks by investors.
- Future Outlook: Despite a year-to-date decline of over 25% in American Airlines' stock price, strong projected revenue for 2026 and a new focus on premium customers could position the airline for a rebound in the coming months.
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- Market Sentiment Rebound: Global stock markets surged on Wednesday as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with the S&P 500 rising 2.51%, the Dow Jones up 2.85%, and the Nasdaq 100 increasing by 2.90%, reflecting a positive market response to easing geopolitical tensions.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: The ceasefire news led to a more than 15% drop in crude oil prices to a 1.5-week low, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets, with the German 10-year Bund yield falling to a 3-week low, indicating a more optimistic outlook for the economy.
- Fed Policy Expectations: Although the market discounts only a 1% chance of a 25 bp rate hike at the upcoming April 28-29 FOMC meeting, the minutes from the March FOMC indicated heightened concerns among participants regarding upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment, suggesting a more cautious approach to future monetary policy.
- Strong Tech Stock Performance: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks saw significant gains on Wednesday, with Intel rising over 11%, driving the Nasdaq 100's increase, highlighting the tech sector's crucial role in the market recovery and further boosting investor confidence in technology stocks.
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