United Airlines Cuts Capacity Amid Rising Fuel Prices
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy UAL?
Source: seekingalpha
- Capacity Reduction Plan: United Airlines plans to cut capacity by 5% in the near term across less profitable routes in response to soaring fuel prices, which CEO Scott Kirby predicts will remain above $100 per barrel and could reach $175, leading to an additional $11 billion in annual jet fuel expenses.
- Record Demand: Despite high fuel prices, United Airlines has experienced the strongest demand ever, with the company achieving its ten highest booked revenue weeks in history over the past ten weeks, indicating a robust market for air travel as passengers rush to book tickets ahead of anticipated fare increases.
- Route Adjustments: In response to rising oil prices, United will cancel about three percentage points of capacity during off-peak periods in Q2 and Q3, having already pulled TLV and DXB services, which accounts for an additional one point of capacity, resulting in a total short-term reduction of about five points, with plans to restore full schedules in the fall.
- Long-Term Growth Goals: Despite the short-term capacity cuts, United remains on track to take delivery of approximately 120 new jets, including 20 new 787s in 2027 and an additional 130 new aircraft by April 2028, reflecting the company's confidence in its future growth trajectory.
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Analyst Views on UAL
Wall Street analysts forecast UAL stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 94.150
Low
115.00
Averages
139.07
High
156.00
Current: 94.150
Low
115.00
Averages
139.07
High
156.00
About UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is a holding company. The Company transports people and cargo throughout North America and to destinations in Asia, Europe, Africa, the Pacific, the Middle East and Latin America. The Company, through United Airlines, Inc., and its regional carriers, operates across six continents, with hubs at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (ORD), Denver International Airport (DEN), George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR), San Francisco International Airport (SFO), Washington Dulles International Airport (IAD) and A.B. Won Pat International Airport (GUM). Its hub and spoke system allow it to transport passengers between a large number of destinations with frequent services. The Company has contractual relationships with various regional carriers to provide regional aircraft service branded as United Express. It provides freight and mail transportation services (Air Cargo).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Capacity Reduction Plan: United Airlines plans to cut capacity by 5% in the near term across less profitable routes in response to soaring fuel prices, which CEO Scott Kirby predicts will remain above $100 per barrel and could reach $175, leading to an additional $11 billion in annual jet fuel expenses.
- Record Demand: Despite high fuel prices, United Airlines has experienced the strongest demand ever, with the company achieving its ten highest booked revenue weeks in history over the past ten weeks, indicating a robust market for air travel as passengers rush to book tickets ahead of anticipated fare increases.
- Route Adjustments: In response to rising oil prices, United will cancel about three percentage points of capacity during off-peak periods in Q2 and Q3, having already pulled TLV and DXB services, which accounts for an additional one point of capacity, resulting in a total short-term reduction of about five points, with plans to restore full schedules in the fall.
- Long-Term Growth Goals: Despite the short-term capacity cuts, United remains on track to take delivery of approximately 120 new jets, including 20 new 787s in 2027 and an additional 130 new aircraft by April 2028, reflecting the company's confidence in its future growth trajectory.
See More
- Industry Challenge Response: United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby reassured employees that the company is well-prepared to tackle industry challenges, including the war in Iran and soaring fuel prices, emphasizing that its long-term strategy and financial strength will support ongoing growth investments.
- Rising Fuel Costs: Jet fuel prices have more than doubled recently, potentially adding $11 billion in annual expenses if sustained; however, Kirby noted that demand remains at record levels, with the last ten weeks marking the strongest revenue period in United's history.
- Investment Plans: United plans to assume oil prices will remain elevated until 2027, tactically adjusting flight schedules to reduce unprofitable routes while continuing major investments in aircraft, technology, and infrastructure, expecting to take delivery of about 120 new aircraft in 2026.
- Enhancing Competitiveness: Kirby stressed that United will not resort to cost-cutting or deferring investments but will use this period to strengthen its competitive position, aiming to become the world's most brand-loyal airline, urging employees to focus on customers and each other.
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