UiPath Shares Down, Options Activity Moderate
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 27 2026
0mins
Should l Buy PATH?
Moderately bullish activity in UiPath (PATH), with shares down 12c near $10.59. Options volume relatively light with 24k contracts traded and calls leading puts for a put/call ratio of 0.12, compared to a typical level near 0.5. Implied volatility (IV30) is higher by 0.3 points near 94.94, in the highest 10% of observations over the past year, suggesting an expected daily move of $0.63. Put-call skew flattened, suggesting a modestly bullish tone.Looking ahead: UiPath (PATH) will report earnings after the close on 2026-03-11.Option markets are pricing in a 50% probability of a move greater than 14.15% or $1.50.
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Analyst Views on PATH
Wall Street analysts forecast PATH stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
15 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 11.590
Low
14.00
Averages
16.54
High
19.00
Current: 11.590
Low
14.00
Averages
16.54
High
19.00
About PATH
UiPath, Inc. is an enterprise automation and artificial intelligence (AI) software company. The Company is focused on building and managing automations, starting with computer vision technology and user interface automations in its initial robotic process automation (RPA) offering. Its AI-powered UiPath Platform offers a robust set of capabilities that allows its customers to discover opportunities for automation, automate using a digital workforce that seamlessly collaborates with humans, and operate a mission critical automation program at scale. It enables employees to quickly build automations for both existing and new processes and to automate an array of actions, including logging into applications, extracting information from documents, moving folders, filling in forms, reading emails, and updating information fields and databases. Its platform allows users to design and combine UI automations, API integrations, and AI-based document understanding in a single workflow.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Earnings Decline: Expected earnings per share are projected to drop to $0.20 from $0.26 last year, yet UiPath has exceeded earnings estimates for 16 consecutive quarters, demonstrating its profitability stability.
- Annual Recurring Revenue Growth: The third quarter revealed that net-new ARR increased year-over-year for the first time, marking significant progress in customer acquisition and retention, potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
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- Revenue Forecast: Projected revenue for Q4 is $464.49 million, reflecting the company's ongoing growth potential in the automation sector, and achieving this target could enhance market expectations for future performance.
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- Short Squeeze Anticipation: With short interest rising from 7.9% in mid-December to a record 15.7%, there is widespread expectation of a significant short squeeze following the earnings report, particularly as retail investor sentiment has shifted to 'extremely bullish', indicating potential for a price surge.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite a 3.2% drop in UiPath's stock on Tuesday, it partially recovered in after-hours trading, having risen over 16% in the past nine sessions, which underscores strong market anticipation for the upcoming earnings report, even as the stock remains down about 30% year-to-date.
- Position in AI Market: UiPath is gaining attention amid rising enterprise adoption of AI tools, focusing on automating repetitive business tasks and deepening partnerships with players like OpenAI, SAP, and Deloitte, highlighting its strategic significance in the rapidly evolving AI-driven automation market.
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- Mixed Signals: The overall messaging from the session was inconsistent, contributing to confusion among participants.
- Expectations vs. Reality: Anticipated outcomes did not materialize, leading to disappointment among stakeholders.
- Future Implications: The session's lack of decisive action may have repercussions for future discussions and decisions.
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- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts anticipate UiPath's Q4 revenue to reach $464.8 million, reflecting a 9.7% increase from $423.7 million in the same quarter last year, indicating the company's sustained competitiveness in a growing market.
- Earnings Decline: Expected earnings per share are projected to drop to $0.20 from $0.26 last year, yet UiPath has exceeded earnings estimates for 16 consecutive quarters, demonstrating its profitability stability.
- Annual Recurring Revenue Growth: The third quarter revealed that net-new ARR increased year-over-year for the first time, marking significant progress in customer acquisition and retention, potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- AI Opportunities Amid Market Pressure: With increasing pressure from AI technologies impacting the industry, UiPath must showcase financial growth and management's perspective on AI opportunities in its earnings report to bolster investor confidence and drive stock price recovery.
See More
UiPath Achieves AIUC 1 Certification, Enhancing Market Trust
- AIUC 1 Certification Milestone: UiPath has become the first enterprise automation platform to achieve AIUC 1 certification after undergoing over 2000 technical evaluations, enhancing the security and reliability of its AI agents, which is expected to boost client trust in its automation solutions.
- Upcoming Earnings Report: UiPath is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on March 11, with analysts forecasting earnings per share of $0.20, down from $0.26 a year earlier, and a revenue estimate of $464.49 million, indicating pressure on the company's revenue growth.
- Short-Term Strength vs. Long-Term Struggles: While UiPath's stock is currently trading 8.8% above its 20-day simple moving average, it remains 16.3% below its 100-day moving average, reflecting short-term strength but long-term challenges, with a modest 3.17% increase over the past year.
- Significant ETF Influence: UiPath holds substantial weight in key ETFs such as XOVR and WCLD, at 4.20% and 2.12% respectively, suggesting that significant inflows or outflows could directly impact its stock price, further influencing market performance.
See More
UiPath to Report Q4 Earnings on March 11
- Earnings Release Date: UiPath is set to report its Q4 earnings on March 11, with significant market attention expected, which may influence the company's stock price.
- Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast an EPS of $0.26 for Q4, indicating market confidence in the company's profitability; if actual results meet expectations, it could bolster investor sentiment.
- Revenue Forecast: Projected revenue for Q4 is $464.49 million, reflecting the company's ongoing growth potential in the automation sector, and achieving this target could enhance market expectations for future performance.
- Stock Performance: UiPath's stock closed at $11.59 on Tuesday, with the market adopting a cautious stance ahead of the earnings report, as investors closely monitor the potential impact of the results on the stock price.
See More
Oracle Reports Strong Q4 Earnings, Raises Revenue Outlook
- Earnings Beat: Oracle reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results, with stock surging 10% in pre-market trading, indicating increased market confidence in its future growth and potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Long-Term Outlook Raised: The company raised its long-term revenue expectations, reflecting strong performance and sustained demand in the cloud computing sector, which could drive improvements in earnings over the coming quarters.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Investor sentiment towards the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) shifted from neutral to bearish, indicating caution ahead of the upcoming consumer price index (CPI) data release, which may impact overall market trends.
- Geopolitical Impact: G7 leaders are set to discuss the implications of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz on global energy markets, with the International Energy Agency potentially considering the release of record reserves to stabilize oil prices, which could significantly affect energy-related stocks.
See More
UiPath Set to Report Earnings Amid Short Squeeze Anticipation
- Earnings Outlook: UiPath is set to report its quarterly results after market close on Wednesday, with analysts expecting revenue to rise nearly 10% to $464.8 million, although adjusted profit is projected to decline by 2% to $0.25 per share, reflecting cautious optimism about the company's future performance.
- Short Squeeze Anticipation: With short interest rising from 7.9% in mid-December to a record 15.7%, there is widespread expectation of a significant short squeeze following the earnings report, particularly as retail investor sentiment has shifted to 'extremely bullish', indicating potential for a price surge.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite a 3.2% drop in UiPath's stock on Tuesday, it partially recovered in after-hours trading, having risen over 16% in the past nine sessions, which underscores strong market anticipation for the upcoming earnings report, even as the stock remains down about 30% year-to-date.
- Position in AI Market: UiPath is gaining attention amid rising enterprise adoption of AI tools, focusing on automating repetitive business tasks and deepening partnerships with players like OpenAI, SAP, and Deloitte, highlighting its strategic significance in the rapidly evolving AI-driven automation market.
See More
Stocks Close Steady as Oil Prices Drop Significantly
- Session Outcome: The recent session concluded with a lack of significant developments, leaving many feeling underwhelmed.
- Mixed Signals: The overall messaging from the session was inconsistent, contributing to confusion among participants.
- Expectations vs. Reality: Anticipated outcomes did not materialize, leading to disappointment among stakeholders.
- Future Implications: The session's lack of decisive action may have repercussions for future discussions and decisions.
See More
