TSMC and ASML Report Strong Earnings but Stocks Decline
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy ASML?
Source: Newsfilter
- Strong TSMC Performance: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year profit increase in Q1, reaching a record level driven by robust demand for AI chips, yet its stock fell about 2%, indicating market concerns over high expectations.
- Revenue Structure Shift: The high-performance computing segment accounted for 61% of TSMC's overall revenue in Q1, up from 55% in the previous quarter, despite an 11% decline in smartphone revenue, highlighting market demand diversity and challenges.
- Cautious ASML Outlook: ASML raised its forward guidance and reported strong Q1 results, but its stock declined due to concerns over shrinking sales to China, reflecting investor caution regarding future growth prospects.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: TSMC expects capital expenditures to reach $52-$56 billion in 2026, significantly up from $40.5 billion in 2025, indicating the company's commitment to expanding advanced chip manufacturing capabilities, but also raising concerns about its ability to scale capacity quickly.
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Analyst Views on ASML
Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1481.770
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
Current: 1481.770
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
About ASML
ASML Holding N.V. is a holding company based in the Netherlands. The Company operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The Company operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The Company offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
ASML Q1 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: ASML reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of €7.15, surpassing expectations by €0.54, indicating strong performance in the semiconductor equipment market and reinforcing its industry leadership.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of €8.77 billion, a 13.3% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by €110 million, reflecting sustained demand for advanced lithography machines that drove overall performance.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: ASML expects Q2 2026 total net sales between €8.4 billion and €9.0 billion, with a gross margin between 51% and 52%, showcasing confidence in future market conditions and ongoing growth potential.
- Increased Dividend: ASML intends to declare a total dividend of €7.50 per ordinary share for 2025, a 17% increase from 2024, which not only reflects enhanced profitability but also provides higher returns for shareholders, boosting investor confidence.
See More
TSMC and ASML Report Strong Earnings but Stocks Decline
- Record Profits for TSMC: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year profit increase in Q1, reaching a new high, indicating robust demand for AI chips; however, its stock fell about 2%, reflecting market caution regarding future expectations.
- Rising Revenue from High-Performance Computing: The high-performance computing segment accounted for 61% of TSMC's total revenue in Q1, up from 55% in the previous quarter, highlighting the company's strengthened position in the AI market, despite an 11% decline in smartphone revenue.
- ASML Delivery Expectations: ASML anticipates delivering 80 low numerical aperture EUV machines in 2027, a figure that fell short of market expectations for 90 units, leading to a 3% drop in stock price following the earnings report.
- Increased Capital Expenditure Plans: TSMC expects capital expenditures to reach $52-$56 billion in 2026, significantly up from $40.5 billion in 2025, demonstrating the company's commitment to expanding advanced chip manufacturing capacity, although the market remains cautious about achieving its targeted 30% annual growth.
See More
TSMC and ASML Report Strong Earnings but Stocks Decline
- Strong TSMC Performance: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year profit increase in Q1, reaching a record level driven by robust demand for AI chips, yet its stock fell about 2%, indicating market concerns over high expectations.
- Revenue Structure Shift: The high-performance computing segment accounted for 61% of TSMC's overall revenue in Q1, up from 55% in the previous quarter, despite an 11% decline in smartphone revenue, highlighting market demand diversity and challenges.
- Cautious ASML Outlook: ASML raised its forward guidance and reported strong Q1 results, but its stock declined due to concerns over shrinking sales to China, reflecting investor caution regarding future growth prospects.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: TSMC expects capital expenditures to reach $52-$56 billion in 2026, significantly up from $40.5 billion in 2025, indicating the company's commitment to expanding advanced chip manufacturing capabilities, but also raising concerns about its ability to scale capacity quickly.
See More
U.S. Stocks Edge Up as PepsiCo and TSMC Shine
- PepsiCo's Quarter Performance: PepsiCo achieved its first volume growth in North American food business in two years, with CEO Ramon Laguarta addressing the industry's threat from GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, leading to a 1% rise in shares, demonstrating the company's resilience and adaptability in a competitive consumer goods market.
- TSMC Profit Surge: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year profit increase, despite facing challenges with shortages of industrial gases; management noted a 'little bit softer' memory pricing, indicating ongoing demand and competitive pressures in advanced chip manufacturing that could impact future profitability.
- J.B. Hunt Transport Services: J.B. Hunt indicated the start of a new cycle with positive demand signals, reporting a first-quarter earnings beat and a 1% premarket share increase, reflecting potential growth opportunities in the transportation sector.
- Analyst Rating Changes: JPMorgan downgraded Corning to hold and cut its price target from $175 to $115, citing the need for greater earnings visibility to support stock upside, indicating a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
See More
TSMC Profits Surge 58% Amid AI Chip Demand
- Profit Surge: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year increase in net profit for the latest quarter, indicating strong demand for AI chips and minimal short-term impact from supply chain disruptions, with the stock slightly rising post-earnings release.
- Advanced Technology Revenue: Advanced technology products accounted for 74% of total wafer revenue, reflecting key customers like Apple’s preference for smaller nanometer products, which enhances the company's market share and competitive edge.
- Capacity Expansion: To meet the growing demand, TSMC plans to add production facilities in Taiwan, with capital expenditures expected to be at the high end of a $52 billion to $56 billion range, representing a 37% increase compared to last year.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: As market demand for AI technologies continues to rise, TSMC's robust performance not only solidifies its leadership position in the semiconductor industry but also lays a foundation for future investments and technological innovations.
See More
Global Equities Reach Record Highs Amid Truce Talks
- Market Surge: Global equities have surged, with the S&P 500 rising 0.80% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 1.59%, both reaching record highs amid optimism surrounding the first direct talks between Israel and Lebanon in over 30 years, indicating strong investor confidence in market prospects.
- Japan's Performance: The Nikkei 225 index hit a new high, driven by a broader rally in Asian markets, particularly in technology and consumer cyclical stocks, reflecting investor confidence in the region's economic recovery.
- China's Economic Growth: China's GDP grew by 5% in the first quarter, exceeding economists' forecast of 4.8%, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics, showcasing the resilience of the Chinese economy despite potential global demand shocks from the Iran conflict.
- World Bank Caution: The World Bank president cautioned in an interview that economic disruptions related to conflicts could last for months, even if the current fragile ceasefire holds, posing a potential threat to global economic recovery.
See More
ASML Q1 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: ASML reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of €7.15, surpassing expectations by €0.54, indicating strong performance in the semiconductor equipment market and reinforcing its industry leadership.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of €8.77 billion, a 13.3% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by €110 million, reflecting sustained demand for advanced lithography machines that drove overall performance.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: ASML expects Q2 2026 total net sales between €8.4 billion and €9.0 billion, with a gross margin between 51% and 52%, showcasing confidence in future market conditions and ongoing growth potential.
- Increased Dividend: ASML intends to declare a total dividend of €7.50 per ordinary share for 2025, a 17% increase from 2024, which not only reflects enhanced profitability but also provides higher returns for shareholders, boosting investor confidence.
See More
TSMC and ASML Report Strong Earnings but Stocks Decline
- Record Profits for TSMC: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year profit increase in Q1, reaching a new high, indicating robust demand for AI chips; however, its stock fell about 2%, reflecting market caution regarding future expectations.
- Rising Revenue from High-Performance Computing: The high-performance computing segment accounted for 61% of TSMC's total revenue in Q1, up from 55% in the previous quarter, highlighting the company's strengthened position in the AI market, despite an 11% decline in smartphone revenue.
- ASML Delivery Expectations: ASML anticipates delivering 80 low numerical aperture EUV machines in 2027, a figure that fell short of market expectations for 90 units, leading to a 3% drop in stock price following the earnings report.
- Increased Capital Expenditure Plans: TSMC expects capital expenditures to reach $52-$56 billion in 2026, significantly up from $40.5 billion in 2025, demonstrating the company's commitment to expanding advanced chip manufacturing capacity, although the market remains cautious about achieving its targeted 30% annual growth.
See More
TSMC and ASML Report Strong Earnings but Stocks Decline
- Strong TSMC Performance: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year profit increase in Q1, reaching a record level driven by robust demand for AI chips, yet its stock fell about 2%, indicating market concerns over high expectations.
- Revenue Structure Shift: The high-performance computing segment accounted for 61% of TSMC's overall revenue in Q1, up from 55% in the previous quarter, despite an 11% decline in smartphone revenue, highlighting market demand diversity and challenges.
- Cautious ASML Outlook: ASML raised its forward guidance and reported strong Q1 results, but its stock declined due to concerns over shrinking sales to China, reflecting investor caution regarding future growth prospects.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: TSMC expects capital expenditures to reach $52-$56 billion in 2026, significantly up from $40.5 billion in 2025, indicating the company's commitment to expanding advanced chip manufacturing capabilities, but also raising concerns about its ability to scale capacity quickly.
See More
U.S. Stocks Edge Up as PepsiCo and TSMC Shine
- PepsiCo's Quarter Performance: PepsiCo achieved its first volume growth in North American food business in two years, with CEO Ramon Laguarta addressing the industry's threat from GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, leading to a 1% rise in shares, demonstrating the company's resilience and adaptability in a competitive consumer goods market.
- TSMC Profit Surge: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year profit increase, despite facing challenges with shortages of industrial gases; management noted a 'little bit softer' memory pricing, indicating ongoing demand and competitive pressures in advanced chip manufacturing that could impact future profitability.
- J.B. Hunt Transport Services: J.B. Hunt indicated the start of a new cycle with positive demand signals, reporting a first-quarter earnings beat and a 1% premarket share increase, reflecting potential growth opportunities in the transportation sector.
- Analyst Rating Changes: JPMorgan downgraded Corning to hold and cut its price target from $175 to $115, citing the need for greater earnings visibility to support stock upside, indicating a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
See More
TSMC Profits Surge 58% Amid AI Chip Demand
- Profit Surge: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year increase in net profit for the latest quarter, indicating strong demand for AI chips and minimal short-term impact from supply chain disruptions, with the stock slightly rising post-earnings release.
- Advanced Technology Revenue: Advanced technology products accounted for 74% of total wafer revenue, reflecting key customers like Apple’s preference for smaller nanometer products, which enhances the company's market share and competitive edge.
- Capacity Expansion: To meet the growing demand, TSMC plans to add production facilities in Taiwan, with capital expenditures expected to be at the high end of a $52 billion to $56 billion range, representing a 37% increase compared to last year.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: As market demand for AI technologies continues to rise, TSMC's robust performance not only solidifies its leadership position in the semiconductor industry but also lays a foundation for future investments and technological innovations.
See More
Global Equities Reach Record Highs Amid Truce Talks
- Market Surge: Global equities have surged, with the S&P 500 rising 0.80% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 1.59%, both reaching record highs amid optimism surrounding the first direct talks between Israel and Lebanon in over 30 years, indicating strong investor confidence in market prospects.
- Japan's Performance: The Nikkei 225 index hit a new high, driven by a broader rally in Asian markets, particularly in technology and consumer cyclical stocks, reflecting investor confidence in the region's economic recovery.
- China's Economic Growth: China's GDP grew by 5% in the first quarter, exceeding economists' forecast of 4.8%, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics, showcasing the resilience of the Chinese economy despite potential global demand shocks from the Iran conflict.
- World Bank Caution: The World Bank president cautioned in an interview that economic disruptions related to conflicts could last for months, even if the current fragile ceasefire holds, posing a potential threat to global economic recovery.
See More
