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ASML Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy ASML Holding NV (ASML) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
1386.680
1 Day change
0.24%
52 Week Range
1547.220
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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ASML is a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. Despite short-term price fluctuations, the company's robust financial performance, strong analyst ratings, and positive long-term growth outlook make it a compelling investment opportunity.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding (-18.517), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 33.618, close to oversold levels, suggesting potential for a rebound. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 1356.95), which could provide a good entry point for long-term investors. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, with multiple firms maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings.

  • ASML reported record bookings and strong revenue growth, driven by AI demand and advanced logic.

  • The company forecasts double-digit revenue growth into FY

  • ASML's dominance in the EUV lithography market and integration of AI into operations position it well for future growth.

  • Share buyback program enhances shareholder value.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Concerns over capacity and margins have led to short-term profit-taking.

  • Slowing China business could pose a risk, although offset by AI demand.

  • The MACD and recent price action indicate bearish momentum in the short term.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, ASML achieved a 14.51% YoY revenue increase to €11.31 billion, a 15.07% YoY net income increase to €3.31 billion, and a 16.99% YoY EPS growth to €8.54. Gross margin improved slightly to 52.16%. The company forecasts 14% revenue growth for 2026, with revenues between €34 billion and €39 billion.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are overwhelmingly positive on ASML, with multiple firms raising price targets significantly. The highest target is $1,911, and the consensus is that ASML's strong AI-driven demand and record order intake signal a strong upcycle. Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight, citing conservative guidance and potential upside.

Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to rise
12 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1383.400
sliders
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
Current: 1383.400
sliders
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
BofA
Didier Scemama
Buy
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
Reason
BofA
Didier Scemama
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA analyst Didier Scemama raised the firm's price target on ASML to $1,886 from $1,868 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is raising estimates on tight Foundry/DRAM supply, noting that it raised its calendar year 2026-28 EPS estimates by a range of 4%-6%.
Bernstein
David Dai
Outperform
maintain
2026-01-29
Reason
Bernstein
David Dai
Price Target
2026-01-29
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Bernstein analyst David Dai raised the firm's price target on ASML to $1,911 from $1,642 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm says that despite strong results, ASML stock closed down on capacity, margin concerns and profit taking, creating a buying opportunity.
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