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ASML Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy ASML Holding NV (ASML) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
1455.030
1 Day change
-1.45%
52 Week Range
1547.220
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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ASML Holding NV is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock's strong financial performance, positive analyst ratings, durable demand signals, and AI-driven growth potential outweigh short-term market fluctuations. Despite a recent drop in price, the company's fundamentals and future prospects make it a compelling long-term investment.

Technical Analysis

ASML shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an upward trend. The MACD histogram is positive at 14.26, though contracting, suggesting potential consolidation. RSI is neutral at 46.025, and the stock is trading near its pivot level of 1407.62, with support at 1308.386 and resistance at 1506.854.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q1 financial performance with revenue up 7.75% YoY and EPS up 13.31% YoY.

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, citing durable demand, AI-driven growth, and strong revenue momentum through 2027/

  • ASML's valuation is at its lowest in a decade, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

  • Positive demand signals from AI and HPC applications, supported by TSMC's raised capex guidance.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Short-term market sentiment is cautious, with ASML's Q2 outlook below consensus due to weaker-than-expected demand from China.

  • Gross margin dropped by 1.87% YoY in Q1, indicating slight pressure on profitability.

  • Recent stock price decline of 4.79% in regular trading reflects market caution.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, ASML reported revenue growth of 7.75% YoY to $8.77 billion, net income growth of 11.38% YoY to $2.76 billion, and EPS growth of 13.31% YoY to $7.15. However, gross margin dropped slightly to 52.98%, down 1.87% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are overwhelmingly positive on ASML, with multiple firms raising price targets and maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings. Price targets range from EUR 1,450 to $1,971, citing strong demand, AI-driven growth, and durable revenue momentum through 2027/28.

Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to rise
12 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1476.500
sliders
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
Current: 1476.500
sliders
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
Freedom Broker
Egor Tolmachev
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$950
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
Reason
Freedom Broker
Egor Tolmachev
Price Target
$950
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Freedom Broker analyst Egor Tolmachev upgraded ASML to Buy from Hold with a price target of $1,650, up from $950. The firm sees improving visibility for the company following its \"broad-based\" Q1 beat. The report reinforces the \"AI-driven upcycle thesis,\" the analyst tells investors in a research note. Freedom says ASML is experiencing \"durable demand signals.\"
Berenberg
Tammy Qiu
Buy
maintain
2026-04-16
New
Reason
Berenberg
Tammy Qiu
Price Target
2026-04-16
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Berenberg analyst Tammy Qiu raised the firm's price target on ASML to EUR 1,570 from EUR 1,500 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
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