
ASML Earnings
ASML Holding NV
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
- Earnings
Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of ASML Holding NV(ASML) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of ASML Holding NV earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: EUR
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
FY2025Q2 | 2025-07-16 | Pre-Market | 5.95 | 6.88 | +15.63 | 7.54B | 7.69B | +2.01 | -8.33 | -12.56 |
FY2025Q1 | 2025-04-16 | Pre-Market | 6.12 | 6.31 | +3.10 | 7.78B | 7.74B | -0.52 | -7.06 | -6.51 |
FY2024Q4 | 2025-01-29 | Pre-Market | 7.18 | 7.30 | +1.67 | 9.06B | 9.26B | +2.27 | +4.29 | +7.03 |
FY2024Q2 | 2024-07-17 | - | 3.87 | 4.32 | +11.63 | 6.07B | 6.24B | +2.89 | -12.74 | -12.67 |
FY2024Q1 | 2024-04-17 | - | 2.84 | 3.38 | +19.01 | 5.40B | 5.29B | -2.01 | -7.09 | -7.71 |
FY2023Q4 | 2024-01-24 | - | 5.12 | 5.60 | +9.38 | 6.89B | 7.24B | +4.97 | +8.85 | +11.52 |
FY2023Q3 | 2023-10-18 | - | 5.00 | 5.23 | +4.60 | 6.75B | 6.67B | -1.09 | -4.17 | -1.29 |
- | 2023-07-19 | - | 4.98 | 5.37 | +7.83 | - | - | - | -5.45 | -9.21 |
- | 2023-04-19 | - | 4.59 | 5.31 | +15.69 | - | - | - | -3.07 | -5.84 |
- | 2023-01-25 | - | 4.62 | 4.70 | +1.73 | - | - | - | +1.72 | -1.37 |
ASML Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, ASML Holding NV reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-07-16. The company achieved an EPS of 6.88, compared to analyst estimates of 5.95 by 15.63% . Revenue for the quarter reached 7.69B compared to expectations of 7.54B by 2.01% .
The stock price reacted with a -8.33% one-day change and a -12.56% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in ASML Holding NV growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
ASML Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, ASML Holding NV(ASML) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 7.72B and an EPS of 5.33.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 2.1%. For the upcoming Q3 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -5.66% . These revisions correlate with a 5.72% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in ASML Holding NV long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between ASML's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
No Change

0.00%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward

+2.1%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q3 2025
Revise Downward

-5.66%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up

+5.72%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:32.21B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:23.95
—
Stock Price711.25
ASML Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
ASML Holding NV revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-16,Pre-Market):
EPS: 6.88 (Actual) vs.5.95 (Estimate) (15.63%)
Revenue: 7.69B (Actual) vs. 7.54B (Estimate) (2.01%)
Price Reaction: -8.33%(1-Day), -12.56%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-16,Pre-Market):
EPS: 6.31 (Actual) vs.6.12 (Estimate) (3.10%)
Revenue: 7.74B (Actual) vs. 7.78B (Estimate) (-0.52%)
Price Reaction: -7.06%(1-Day), -6.51%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-01-29,Pre-Market):
EPS: 7.30 (Actual) vs.7.18 (Estimate) (1.67%)
Revenue: 9.26B (Actual) vs. 9.06B (Estimate) (2.27%)
Price Reaction: 4.29%(1-Day), 7.03%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ASML performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ASML sees a +1.99% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.75% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -3.31%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed -1.26% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -5.73% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
ASML Holding NV (ASML) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-16
The earnings call shows strong financial performance with net sales at the upper end of guidance and gross margin above expectations. Despite a shift in EUV growth and lower unit shipments, the upgrade business and High NA tools offer value. The dividend and share buyback plans are positive, while AI drives demand. The Q&A highlights cautious customer behavior and tariff uncertainties, but overall sentiment remains positive, supported by strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance.
ASML Holding NV (ASML) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-18
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: while financial performance shows strong gross margins and a significant share repurchase program, uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment and supply chain challenges pose risks. The Q&A session indicates confidence in future growth, but management's lack of clarity on key metrics and the impact of tariffs adds to uncertainty. Despite a positive dividend announcement, the overall sentiment remains neutral, reflecting a balance between positive financial metrics and external challenges.
ASML Holding NV (ASML) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-16
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with a gross margin above guidance and a substantial share buyback program, which are positive indicators. While free cash flow was negative, the optimistic outlook on EUV adoption and customer productivity milestones signal potential growth. The Q&A session highlighted positive sentiments towards technology adoption and market demand, despite some uncertainties around tariffs and growth specifics. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, suggesting a likely positive stock price movement.
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-16
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance, with net sales and installed base management sales exceeding guidance. Despite lower order intake and higher inventory, free cash flow improved. The Q&A session revealed cautious sentiment due to regulatory pressures and demand uncertainties, but management's optimistic outlook on High NA systems and DUV growth outside China offsets these concerns. The dividend announcement and steady cash reserves further support a positive outlook. While some guidance was lowered, the overall sentiment remains positive, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-17
The earnings call showed strong financial performance with net sales of EUR6.2 billion and a gross margin of 51.5%, both above guidance. The company's strategic focus on EUV and High NA systems, along with a robust backlog of EUR39 billion, suggests solid future demand. Shareholder returns are also positive with significant dividends and share repurchases. Despite some concerns about trade restrictions, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong bookings and a promising outlook for 2025 revenues.
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FAQ

What were the key highlights of ASML’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?
ASML reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-07-16, showcasing a revenue of 7.69B against an estimate of 7.54B, resulting in a 2.01% surprise. The EPS was 6.88, surpassing the expected 5.95 by 15.63% . The stock experienced a -8.33% price change on the earnings day and a -12.56% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

How did ASML’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ASML for 2025/Q3?

How does ASML’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

What should investors expect from ASML’s next earnings report?
