Quarterly Results
IBM Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, IBM remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 19.23B and an EPS of 4.31.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.39%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 1.95%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.2% . These revisions correlate with a 4.58% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in IBM long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+0.39%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+1.95%
In Past 3 Month
Unlock the reason behind revisions!
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
+0.2%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
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+4.58%
In Past 3 Month
Earnings Forecast
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Currency: USD
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how IBM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, IBM sees a -1.81% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.16% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.65%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.87% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 6.70% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of IBM's latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?
IBM reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2026-01-21, showcasing a revenue of 0.00 against an estimate of 19.21B, resulting in a 0% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 4.33 by 0% . The stock experienced a 0% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did IBM's stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?
Following IBM's FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2026-01-21, the stock price moved by % on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a % change. Historically, IBM's stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.81% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.16% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for IBM for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate IBM’s annual revenue to reach 19.23B, while the EPS is projected at 4.31. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.39% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.2% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does IBM's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between IBM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.39%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.2% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from IBM's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, IBM's stock price typically moves by -1.81% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.16% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 4.31 and revenue of 19.23B.
What is the sentiment in International Business Machines Corp (IBM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance, with significant growth in EBITDA, operating EPS, and segment margins. Positive factors include raised free cash flow guidance, strong AI and software growth, and promising infrastructure contributions. Although consulting growth is cautious, the overall outlook is optimistic with raised guidance and strategic partnerships. The lack of detailed organic growth rates and potential M&A impacts are minor concerns. Considering these factors, the stock price is likely to experience a positive movement in the short term.