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BABA Earnings

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
$
113.840
-3.340(-2.850%)
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(BABA) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: CNY
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q42025-05-15Pre-Market1.481.73+16.89240.00B236.45B-1.48-7.57-6.63
FY2025Q32025-02-20Pre-Market3.082.94-4.55279.21B280.15B+0.34+8.09+10.57
FY2025Q12024-08-15Pre-Market2.122.26+6.60247.45B243.24B-1.70+0.09+5.11
FY2024Q42024-05-14-0.921.05+14.13219.80B221.87B+0.94-6.02+4.35
FY2024Q22023-11-16-1.861.82-2.15224.79B224.79B--9.14-9.31
FY2024Q12023-08-10-1.662.47+48.80224.92B234.16B+4.11+4.60-6.04
-2023-05-18-0.921.15+25.00----5.41-10.44
-2023-02-23-1.892.44+29.10----0.65-5.10
-2022-11-17-1.371.50+9.49---+7.80+0.43
-2022-08-04-0.831.40+68.67---+1.79-3.44

BABA Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd reported performance for FY2025Q4, announced on 2025-05-15. The company achieved an EPS of 1.73, compared to analyst estimates of 1.48 by 16.89% . Revenue for the quarter reached 236.45B compared to expectations of 240.00B by -1.48% .
The stock price reacted with a -7.57% one-day change and a -6.63% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

BABA Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(BABA) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q1 project quarter revenue of 257.08B and an EPS of 17.04.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Downward by -0.71%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -4.24%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.64% . These revisions correlate with a -12.97% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between BABA's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
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-0.71%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
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-4.24%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q1 2026
Revise Downward
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-1.64%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-12.97%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:1.07T
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:70.93
Stock Price113.84

BABA Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q4 (2025-05-15,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.73 (Actual) vs.1.48 (Estimate) (16.89%)
Revenue: 236.45B (Actual) vs. 240.00B (Estimate) (-1.48%)
Price Reaction: -7.57%(1-Day), -6.63%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-02-20,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.94 (Actual) vs.3.08 (Estimate) (-4.55%)
Revenue: 280.15B (Actual) vs. 279.21B (Estimate) (0.34%)
Price Reaction: 8.09%(1-Day), 10.57%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2024-08-15,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.26 (Actual) vs.2.12 (Estimate) (6.60%)
Revenue: 243.24B (Actual) vs. 247.45B (Estimate) (-1.70%)
Price Reaction: 0.09%(1-Day), 5.11%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how BABA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, BABA sees a -4.28% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.38% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.64%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in MAR/2025, the stock changed -0.36% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -8.12% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-16
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with increased EPS, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA, alongside optimistic AI-driven growth and cloud monetization. Shareholder returns are substantial, with significant share repurchases and dividends. Despite some unclear responses in the Q&A, the positive trends in AI and cloud, along with stable e-commerce monetization, outweigh concerns. The sentiment is positive, likely resulting in a 2%-8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-15
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 7% revenue increase and a 36% rise in adjusted EBITDA. AI and cloud investments show promising growth, with triple-digit AI revenue growth and an 18% increase in cloud revenue. Shareholder returns are robust, with substantial dividends and share repurchases. Despite some concerns about profit margins due to infrastructure investments, the overall sentiment is positive, especially with optimistic guidance on AI and e-commerce. The Q&A highlights confidence in future growth, supporting a positive stock price outlook.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-21
The earnings call reveals strong financial metrics, such as a significant GAAP Net Income increase and robust revenue growth across multiple segments, including cloud and international commerce. Despite a decrease in free cash flow, the guidance remains optimistic with expectations of breakeven in loss-making businesses. The Q&A highlights strategic investments in AI and cloud, with a focus on future monetization. The ongoing share repurchase program further supports a positive outlook. Overall, the factors indicate a likely positive stock price movement in the short term.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-20
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance, with significant revenue and income growth, especially in international commerce and cloud segments. The Q&A section highlights management's optimism about AI and cloud investments, despite some uncertainties in monetization pathways. The share repurchase program and future profitability outlook add to positive sentiment. However, concerns about capex impact on profitability and unclear guidance on AI monetization slightly temper the outlook. Overall, the positive financial results and strategic focus on AI and cloud suggest a likely positive stock price movement.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-15
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Basic financial performance shows slight growth in key areas but also significant declines, notably in free cash flow and some EBITA metrics. Product development and market strategy are positive, with strong international growth and cloud integration. However, concerns arise from unclear management responses and increased expenses. The shareholder return plan is positive with a large share repurchase program. Overall, the sentiment is neutral due to balanced positive and negative factors, with the lack of clear guidance and mixed financial results tempering optimism.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-15
The earnings call showed mixed results: while there were positive developments in AI revenue growth and international commerce, there were declines in key areas like GAAP net income and free cash flow. The Q&A section highlighted strong AI demand and strategic growth, but management's vague responses to some questions raise concerns. The shareholder return plan is positive, but the financial performance and unclear guidance suggest a neutral impact on the stock price.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of BABA’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?

BABA reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2025-05-15, showcasing a revenue of 236.45B against an estimate of 240.00B, resulting in a -1.48% surprise. The EPS was 1.73, surpassing the expected 1.48 by 16.89% . The stock experienced a -7.57% price change on the earnings day and a -6.63% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did BABA’s stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for BABA for 2026/Q1?

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How does BABA’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from BABA’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary?