BABA Forecast — Price Prediction for 2025. Should I Buy BABA?
1-Day-Price-Prediction
-0.96%
1-Week Prediction
-1.5%
1-Month Prediction
+1.1%
2026 Prediction
-12.5%
2030 Prediction
+9.1%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we have generated comprehensiveBABA stock price predictions for multiple time horizons. Our models indicate potential volatility in the short term, with specific targets calculated for the 1-day and 1-week outlooks.
Looking further ahead, our analysts have pinpointed significant trend shifts in the longer-term data. We have exclusive projections available for the 1-month forecast, a detailed 2026 projection, and a long-range 2030 forecast that reveals potential upside or downside risks.
Unlock the full analysis to access these precise price targets and see exactly where our models predict BABA is heading. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our premium data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. BABA has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
BABA stock price ended at $166.31 on Monday, after rising10.17%
The Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock price increased by 10.17% on the last trading day (12 Jan 2026), rising from 157.47 to 166.31. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 6.53% , ranging from a day low of $157.41 to a day high of 167.69. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 9.24% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 23.88M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 35.32M shares were traded, amounting to approximately -33.73M.
BABA Technical Signals
BABA(Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Corp) has 5 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is an uptrend starting from 2026-01-08. The total price change during this trend is +7.66%. Recently, the price has increased significantly while volume increased, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of BABA over the last 5 trading days is 2.93B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
BABA Moving Average Analysis
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, January 13, 2026, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $168.97, and $177.53. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $141.26, and $132.69. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
BABA Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(BABA) as of 10 Dec 2025 is 23.83%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 155.96 to 158.82. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
14.07
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
166.31
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
307.249
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-1.129
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.249
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
83.07
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-6.155
Bearish
BABA Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Month
Min. Price
Avg. Price
Max. Price
Potential ROI
Jan 2026
$120.67
$132.09
$140.97
+13.15%
Feb 2026
$131.74
$143.12
$158.40
+22.60%
Mar 2026
$135.86
$143.12
$145.44
+22.60%
Apr 2026
$127.86
$143.12
$161.50
+22.60%
May 2026
$139.45
$143.12
$143.93
+22.60%
Jun 2026
$111.32
$130.96
$143.75
+12.18%
Jul 2026
$86.46
$105.74
$117.97
-9.42%
Aug 2026
$117.51
$133.59
$138.73
+14.43%
Sep 2026
$129.40
$131.80
$149.32
+12.90%
Oct 2026
$123.08
$135.72
$153.98
+16.26%
Nov 2026
$131.74
$133.23
$151.73
+14.13%
Dec 2026
$129.22
$131.88
$145.08
+12.97%
In 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $86.46 and $161.50.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 13.15%
In Jan 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $132.09. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $120.67 and a high of $140.97.
Feb 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.60%
In Feb 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $143.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $131.74 and a high of $158.40.
Mar 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.60%
In Mar 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $143.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $135.86 and a high of $145.44.
Apr 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.60%
In Apr 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $143.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $127.86 and a high of $161.50.
May 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.60%
In May 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $143.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $139.45 and a high of $143.93.
Jun 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.18%
In Jun 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $130.96. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $111.32 and a high of $143.75.
Jul 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.42%
In Jul 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $105.74. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $86.46 and a high of $117.97.
Aug 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.43%
In Aug 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $133.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $117.51 and a high of $138.73.
Sep 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.90%
In Sep 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $131.80. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $129.40 and a high of $149.32.
Oct 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 16.26%
In Oct 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $135.72. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $123.08 and a high of $153.98.
Nov 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.13%
In Nov 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $133.23. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $131.74 and a high of $151.73.
Dec 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.97%
In Dec 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $131.88. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $129.22 and a high of $145.08.
BABA Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(BABA), our algorithm predicts BABA's 1-month price at $161.07, with an 6.7%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.08%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock, as of Sunday, January 11, 2026 , forecasts a 6.7% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with C.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.08%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
BABA
No data
C
Up: 6.7%Similarity: 92.08%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
C.N
92.08%
+6.70%
VIPS.N
91.94%
+1.70%
GPUS.A
91.88%
+25.00%
GRPN.O
91.18%
-26.79%
UNM.N
91.03%
+6.68%
OMEX.O
90.94%
+34.24%
TSE.N
90.89%
+4.53%
FWRD.O
90.79%
+0.49%
CPB.N
90.73%
+4.14%
PAAS.N
90.57%
+4.85%
BABA Seasonality Analysis
Based on BABA's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in January is80.95%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in BABA. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.95%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (80.95%), while November has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. BABA has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (80.95%), while November has the lowest probability (36.36%).
How has Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
BABA's stock price rose by 13.42% in 2024,increased by 72.55% in 2025, and went up by 6.79%in 2026.
Which bullish technical signals does BABA have?
Bullish technical signals of BABA include: MOM_10 > 0, close > fibonacci_R1, Price crosses above 5-day SMA, Price crosses above 10-day SMA, Price crosses above 60-day SMA.
Is BABA a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
BABA has 5 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for BABA is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of BABA.
What is the trend of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA)'s moving average?
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of January 13 2026, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for BABA stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock, as of January 11 2026, forecasts a 6.7% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with C stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.08%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $131.88. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $129.22 and a high of $145.08.
What is price prediction 2030 for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $144.58. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $139.73 and a high of $155.81.
Positive
Negative
