1-Day-Price-Prediction
+0.08%
1-Week Prediction
+1.69%
1-Month Prediction
+1.37%
2026 Prediction
-9.99%
2030 Prediction
+12.23%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that BABA stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $146.84, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $149.2. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $148.74. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $132.09, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $164.70. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. BABA has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
BABA stock price ended at $146.75 on Wednesday, after losing -2.75%
The Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock price decreased by -2.75% on the last trading day (07 Jan 2026), dropping from 148.38 to 146.75. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.21% , ranging from a day low of $146.61 to a day high of 148.38. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -2.79% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -395.58K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 12.60M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.86B.
BABA Technical Signals
BABA(Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Corp) has 1 buy signal and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-12-22. The total price change during this trend is -2.79%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of BABA over the last 5 trading days is 1.89B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
BABA Moving Average Analysis
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Thursday, January 8, 2026, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $157.75, and $161.96. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $144.15, and $139.94. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
BABA Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(BABA) as of 10 Dec 2025 is 23.83%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 155.96 to 158.82. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
1
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
1 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
BABA Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $86.46 and $161.50.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 13.15%
In Jan 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $132.09. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $120.67 and a high of $140.97.
Feb 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.60%
In Feb 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $143.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $131.74 and a high of $158.40.
Mar 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.60%
In Mar 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $143.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $135.86 and a high of $145.44.
Apr 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.60%
In Apr 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $143.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $127.86 and a high of $161.50.
May 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.60%
In May 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $143.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $139.45 and a high of $143.93.
Jun 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.18%
In Jun 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $130.96. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $111.32 and a high of $143.75.
Jul 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.42%
In Jul 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $105.74. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $86.46 and a high of $117.97.
Aug 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.43%
In Aug 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $133.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $117.51 and a high of $138.73.
Sep 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.90%
In Sep 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $131.80. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $129.40 and a high of $149.32.
Oct 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 16.26%
In Oct 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $135.72. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $123.08 and a high of $153.98.
Nov 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.13%
In Nov 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $133.23. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $131.74 and a high of $151.73.
Dec 2026: BABA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.97%
In Dec 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $131.88. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $129.22 and a high of $145.08.
BABA Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Alibaba Group Holding Ltd(BABA), our algorithm predicts BABA's 1-month price at $191.61, with an 23.03%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.38%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock, as of Sunday, January 4, 2026 , forecasts a 23.03% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SONY.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.38%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
BABA
No data
SONY
Up: 23.03%Similarity: 94.38%
BABA Seasonality Analysis
Based on BABA's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in January is80.95%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in BABA. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.95%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (80.95%), while November has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Should I buy Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. BABA has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (80.95%), while November has the lowest probability (36.36%).
How has Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
BABA's stock price rose by 13.42% in 2024,increased by 72.55% in 2025, and went down by 5.77%in 2026.
Which bullish technical signals does BABA have?
Bullish technical signals of BABA include: WILLR_14 < -80.
Which bearish technical signals does BABA have?
Bearish technical signals of BABA include: AO_5_34 < 0, MOM_10 < 0, MACD_12_26_9 < 0.
Is BABA a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
BABA has 1 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for BABA is Sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of BABA.
What is the trend of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA)'s moving average?
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of January 08 2026, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for BABA stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) stock, as of January 04 2026, forecasts a 23.03% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SONY stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.38%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $131.88. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $129.22 and a high of $145.08.
What is price prediction 2030 for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $144.58. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $139.73 and a high of $155.81.