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MS Earning Date, Transcript Summary & Report

Morgan Stanley
$
129.350
+2.290(+1.800%)

MS Earnings Prediction

The chart below shows how MS performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MS sees a -2.65% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.32% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.74%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.

MS Key Earning Data

2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
27.85B
10.11%
7.42%
Gross Margin
--
--
--
Operating Margin
19.68%
14.29%
3.14%
Net Margin
15.69%
14.61%
9.26%
EPS
2.60
28.71%
17.12%
No Data Available

MS Earnings Analysis

Morgan Stanley Corporation (MS.N) Earnings Conference Call

Positive

  • Earnings Per Share Beat: Morgan Stanley reported a strong EPS of $2.60, exceeding expectations of $2.21.

  • Record Revenue Achievement: The firm achieved record revenues of $7.7 billion in Q1 2025, demonstrating robust financial performance.

  • Wealth Management Asset Growth: Wealth management added $94 billion in net new assets, bringing total assets to $7.7 trillion, indicating strong client engagement.

  • Record Institutional Securities Revenue: Institutional securities generated record revenues of $9 billion, up 28% year-over-year, showcasing the strength of their equity franchise.

  • Strong Return on Tangible Equity: The firm maintained a strong return on tangible equity (ROTCE) of 23%, reflecting effective capital management.

  • CET1 Ratio Strength: Morgan Stanley's CET1 ratio stands at 15.3%, highlighting a solid capital position and financial strength.

  • Investment Banking Revenue Surge: The investment banking segment reported revenues of $1.6 billion, supported by increased financial sponsor engagement and a recovery in deal activity.

  • Record Equity Revenue Growth: Equity revenues reached a record $4.1 billion, up 45% from the prior year, driven by strong client activity and market engagement.

  • Wealth Management Profitability: Wealth management revenues were $7.3 billion with a reported margin of 27%, indicating effective cost management and profitability.

  • Stock Buyback Commitment: The firm bought back $1 billion of common stock during the quarter, demonstrating commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Negative

  • Economic Uncertainty and Growth: The company faces increased economic uncertainty, with economists warning of a material increase in recession risks, although the consensus remains on softer growth rather than negative growth.

  • Trade Policy Uncertainty: There is a lack of clarity regarding trade policy and its potential effects on the real economy, leading to unpredictability in market conditions.

  • Client Activity Deferral: Some clients are deferring strategic activities due to the current market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties, which could impact future business opportunities.

  • Operational Efficiency Concerns: The efficiency ratio for the first quarter was 68%, indicating that operational costs are relatively high compared to revenues, which could be a concern for profitability.

  • Severance Charges Analysis: Severance charges of $144 million were incurred during the quarter, reflecting performance management and alignment with business needs, which could indicate underlying issues within the workforce.

  • Investment Banking Revenue Volatility: Investment banking revenues were $1.6 billion, but the activity was described as sensitive to market conditions, suggesting potential volatility in future revenues.

  • Micro Revenue Decline: The firm experienced a decline in micro revenue due to tighter credit spreads limiting secondary market opportunities, which could affect overall revenue generation.

  • Liquidity Outflows Analysis: Liquidity and overlay services had outflows of $19 billion, which, although consistent with seasonal trends, were more moderate than expected, indicating potential challenges in maintaining client assets.

Key Financial Performance iconKey Financial Performance
Operating Highlights iconOperating Highlights
Risks or Challenges iconRisks or Challenges
Strategic Initiatives & Outlook iconStrategic Initiatives & Outlook
Shareholder Return Plan iconShareholder Return Plan

MS FAQs

How does MS typically perform around its earnings report dates?

MS's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -2.65% change leading up to the report and a +0.32% change in the 10 days following the release.

Is Morgan Stanley (MS) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?

How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?

MS Earnings Deck

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

MS Earning Call Sentiment

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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MS.N

1.8%
Positive
Earnings call data shows strong financial performance with a 28% revenue increase, improved EPS, and solid ROTCE. Despite some risks, management's optimistic guidance, wealth management growth, and robust client engagement in equities and fixed income support a positive outlook. The Q&A reveals analysts' concerns about market volatility and recruitment, but management's confidence in international business and proprietary products mitigates these. Overall, the financial health and strategic investments suggest a positive stock price movement, assuming the market cap is not significantly large.